2010 U.S. Catfish Database by Terry Hanson, Auburn University Department of Fisheries and Allied Aquacultures and Dave Sites, Mississippi State University Department of Agricultural Economics May 2011 Fisheries and Allied Aquacultures Departmental Series No. 4 Alabama Agricultural Experiment Station William Batchelor, Director Auburn University Auburn, Alabama Sources: USDA National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS) Mississippi Agricultural Statistics Service (MASS) 2010 U.S. Catfish Database Table of Contents U.S. Farm-Raised Catfish Industry Review: Highlights Introduction Notes Round Weight Processed by U.S. Processors (Foodsize Only) Total U.S. Catfish Sales (Foodsize, Broodstock, Stockers, Fry and Fingerlings) Total U.S. and MS Foodsize Catfish Sales Number of U.S. Catfish Operations Number of Catfish Operations in AL, AR, LA and MS Catfish Water Surface Acres in U.S. Catfish Water Surface Acres in AL, AR, LA and MS Catfish Water Acres Being Renovated in U.S. New Water Acres Under Construction in U.S. New Water Acres Under Construction in AL, AR, LA and MS Catfish Acres Out of Production in U.S. Catfish Acres Used for Broodfish in U.S. Catfish Acres Used for Broodfish in AL, AR, LA, MS Catfish Acres Used for Fingerlings in AL, AR, LA, MS Price Paid to Producers of Foodsize Catfish in U.S. 32% and 28% Protein Feed Prices Paid by Producers Catfish Feed Delivered for Foodsize Fish Catfish Feed Delivered for Fingerlings and Broodfish U.S. Catfish Inventories by Size Category Page # iv 15 22 24 26 29 30 32 33 35 37 38 40 42 43 45 47 49 53 55 57 66 68 69 77 U.S. Farm Level Catfish Data Mississippi Farm Level Catfish Data MS Catfish Water Surface Acres and Number of Operations MS Catfish Water Surface Acres by County MS Catfish Sales by Size Category MS Catfish Inventories, by Size Category i Imports of Catfish to the U.S. U.S. Catfish Processing Level Data Fresh Catfish Processing Data Fresh Catfish by Product Form Pounds Sold Prices Catfish Revenue Total Fresh Catfish Quantity Sold Average Price Total Revenue Fresh Whole Form Quantity Sold Average Price Total Revenue Fresh Fillet Form Quantity Sold Average Price Total Revenue Fresh “Other” Form Quantity Sold Average Price Total Revenue Frozen Catfish Processing Data Frozen Catfish by Product Form Pounds Sold Prices Catfish Revenue Total Frozen Catfish Quantity Sold Average Price Total Revenue Frozen Whole Form Quantity Sold Average Price Total Revenue Round Weight Processed in U.S. Catfish Industry 79 82 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 101 102 103 104 105 106 107 108 109 ii Frozen Fillet Form Quantity Sold Average Price Total Revenue Frozen “Other” Form Quantity Sold Average Price Total Revenue Total (Fresh and Frozen) Catfish Processing Data Total (Fresh and Frozen) Catfish Pounds Sold Catfish Price Processor’s Revenue Fresh and Frozen Whole Form Quantity Sold Average Price Total Revenue Fresh and Frozen Fillet Form Quantity Sold Average Price Total Revenue Fresh and Frozen “Other” Form Quantity Sold Average Price Total Revenue Processor Total Ending Inventory Fresh Catfish Ending Inventory All Products Whole Products Fillet Products “Other” Products Frozen Catfish Ending Inventory All Products Whole Products Fillet Products “Other” Products Total Fresh and Frozen, Ending Inventory 110 111 112 113 114 115 117 119 121 123 125 127 129 131 133 135 137 139 142 143 144 145 146 147 148 149 150 iii U.S. Farm-Raised Catfish Industry 2010 Review and 2011 Outlook Highlights ► U.S. farm-raised catfish is sixth in the “Top 10” fish and seafood consumption list for Americans, who consume an average of 15.8 pounds per year total and 0.85 pounds of catfish per year in 2009. ► The U.S. catfish industry has been on a contracting course since a high mark in 2003 when 662 million pounds of round weight catfish was processed. ► The top three catfish producing states, Alabama, Arkansas and Mississippi, saw catfish production acres decrease by 15,100 acres (-15%) in 2010, from 103,000 acres in 2010 to 87,900 acres in 2011. Total US water acreage was 99,600 in Jan. 2011. ► The number of U.S. catfish operations decreased by 85 operations (-9%) from 2010 to 2009 and is now at 909 operations. ► Catfish round weight processing in 2010 was 472 million pounds, up 5.6 million pounds (+1.2%) from 466 million pounds processed in 2009. 2008 processing weight was 510 million pounds. ► In 2010 the average price received by producers was 80.2 cents/lb, up 3.1 cents/lb from the 2009 average price of 77.1 cents/lb. In 2010 there was a $0.097 difference between high and low pond bank price received throughout the year. ► Producer’s income in 2010 ($379 million) was up $19.3 million (+5.1%) from 2009 ($359 million). ► In-pond inventories of foodsize fish in January 2011 was 244 million pounds, down 35% from January 2010 levels. Stocker inventory was down 2.4 million pounds (-2.8%) from January 2010 levels. Fingerling inventory pounds for January 2011 were 50% greater than reported inventories in January 2010. This indicates that foodfish supply to processors will be short for 2011 and 2012 if the 2010 round weight processing quantity level is to be maintained. ► Catfish feed prices (32% protein) in 2010 averaged $353/ton, down $14/ton (-3.8%) over the 2009 average feed price ($367/ton). In December 2010 feed prices peaked at $388/ton, while the low feed price in 2010 occurred in April and May at $330/ton. ► Imports of frozen catfish fillets increased by 8 million pounds (+6.3%) to 138 million pounds in 2010; and imports now account for 57% of all U.S. sales of frozen catfish fillet product. iv U.S. Farm-Raised Catfish Industry 2010 Review and 2011 Outlook By Terry Hanson Auburn University, Department of Fisheries and Allied Aquacultures and Dave Sites Mississippi State University, Department of Agricultural Economics Introduction The following article discusses recent trends of the U.S. catfish industry and connects these trends into a 2010 annual review and a 2011outlook. Sections in this introduction provide information on American’s fish and seafood consumption patterns, imports of “catfish-like” products, U.S. catfish industry statistics on processing, inventory of fresh/frozen product, U.S. farm-raised catfish production statistics on water acreage, fish price, inventories, feed price, and an outlook for 2011. 1. U.S. fish and seafood consumption Consumers ultimately decide what food products they will purchase based on their likes and dislikes. Consumers have many fish/seafood choices and elect to purchase these products based on product attributes they prefer, such as price, taste, flavor, texture, enjoyment, other protein options, etc. Thus, it is important to understand American fish and seafood consumption patterns and where domestically produced farm-raised catfish fits among consumed fish and shellfish species, and to understand how consumer trends may influence 2011 purchases of domestically produced channel catfish. Though U.S. per capita fish and seafood consumption was lower in 2009, the long-term trend is rising, Figure 1. There have been some changes in American’s species preferences over time, Figure 2. Shrimp became the number one consumed seafood product in the U.S. in 2002 and has stayed in this position ever since. Tuna, primarily canned tuna, dropped to second place and has stayed at this level. Salmon replaced Pollock as the number three preferred product in 2003 and has remained there. In 2006 catfish dropped from fifth to sixth place, though much of this drop in consumption was due to the removal of non-Ictaluridae fish from the database; and in 2009 consumption of catfish decreased to 0.85 pounds per person per year. Tilapia was not among the top ten preferred products before 2002, but went from ninth place in 2003 to fifth place in 2006 and has remained there with 1.21 pounds being consumed by each American in 2009. The surprise entry into the top ten consumed seafoods in 2009 was Pangasius at 0.356 pound consumed per American. 1 Figure 1. U.S. Per Capita Consumption of Fish and Shellfish Products Pounds Per Person Per Year 18.0 16.0 14.0 12.0 10.0 8.0 6.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 1970 1972 1974 1976 1978 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 Figure 2. U.S. Top Ten Seafood Consumed, per capita consumption. 2 2. Imports There has been a dramatic increase in imports of catfish (Ictalurus, Pangasius and Siluriformes) frozen fillets, Figure 3, for instance: - in 2006 the import quantity was 75 million pounds; - in 2007 the import quantity increased to 85 million pounds; - in 2008 the import quantity increased to 102 million pounds; - in 2009 the import quantity increased to 129 million pounds; and - in 2010 the import quantity increased to 138 million pounds. In total, the U.S. catfish industry processed and sold 103 million pounds of frozen fillet product in 2008, 96 million pounds in 2009, and 98 million pounds of frozen product in 2010. Figure 3. Imported Catfish, 1990 – 2010. 160,000 140,000 120,000 Thousand Lbs. 100,000 80,000 60,000 40,000 20,000 0 2000 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2002 2004 2006 2008 3 2010 The quantity of imported frozen catfish fillet products sold in the U.S. was greater than the quantity of U.S. processed frozen catfish fillet products sold in the U.S. in 2010. Domestically produced frozen catfish fillet products were 43% of the entire quantity sold in the U.S., Figure 4. This is remarkable, given that in 2002 there were 131 million pounds of U.S. processed frozen catfish fillet product sold in U.S. and only 10 million pounds of imported catfish frozen fillet product sold in the U.S. In eight years, imported frozen catfish fillet product has increased from 7% to 57% of the U.S. market share for these products. Figure 4. Quantity of US Catfish and Imported Catfish-like Frozen Fillets Sold in the US (in parentheses are US percentages of frozen fillet sold). 43% 80% 61% 55% 50% 43% 3. U.S. catfish processing and frozen/fresh inventory U.S. catfish processing and inventory quantities of fresh and frozen fish at the processing plants (and in the pond, discussed later) provide a view of what was demanded and supplied to the U.S. market place. In 2010, the U.S. catfish industry processed 472 million pounds, Figure 5, a slight increase from 2009. The U.S. catfish industry has been contracting since 2003, and from 2003 to 2009 there was a 190 million pound decrease in U.S. farm-raised catfish processed. In 2008 there was a 13.4 million pound increase in catfish processing quantity from 2007; in 2009 there was a 43 million pound decline compared to 2008; and in 2010 there was a 5.5 million pound increase from 2009 levels. 4 Fresh product (on ice) inventory held at processing plant refrigeration warehouses is small compared to frozen inventory quantities. In 2009 there was an average monthly inventory of approximately 702,000 pounds of fresh whole, fillet and other product forms on hand and this increased to 777,000 pounds in 2010. In contrast, the average monthly 2009 frozen inventory of whole, fillet and other products was approximately 11.3 million pounds and this decreased to 10.7 million pounds in 2010. Of these frozen forms, the fillet form dominates, with the average monthly quantity in inventory increasing from 6.9 million pounds in 2002 to 8.6 million pounds in 2009. In 2010 the frozen fillet quantity decreased to 7.2 million pounds per month in inventory. Figure 5. Round Weight Processed by U.S. Processors* 700,000 600,000 500,000 Thousand Pounds 400,000 300,000 200,000 100,000 *Foodsize Catfish Only 4. U.S farm-raised catfish production Sales of catfish products (foodfish, broodfish, stockers, fry, and fingerlings) in 2010 were approximately $403 million, up $30 million from 2009 ($373 million). This level of sales was last seen in 2003. This is remarkable as production acreage has decreased significantly from 2003 levels (-72,100 acres). U.S. farm-raised catfish production acres have declined to 99,600 acres (projected use from January 2011 NASS survey) from a 2002 high of 196,760 acres, a 97,160 acre decrease (-49%) in nine years, Figure 6. From 2002, Alabama acreage has declined 6,700 acres (-26%), Arkansas acreage has declined 24,800 acres (-65%), Louisiana acreage has declined 10,600 acres (-88%), and 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 - 5 Mississippi acreage has declined 56,000 acres (-50%). Escalating feed and fuel costs combined with volatile annual prices to the producers and weakened demand for final products have made profits very difficult in the U.S. catfish industry during this period and led many producers to turn their pond acreage into corn and soybean acres. Figure 6. Water Acreage Used in US Catfish Production, 1998- 2011. 5. Fish price and in-pond fish inventory The farm bank price paid to catfish producers averaged 76.7 cents/lb in 2007, increased to 78.0 cents/lb in 2008, decreased to 77.1 cents/lb in 2009, and increased to 80.2 cents/lb in 2010. It is noteworthy that 2010 prices are as high as they have ever been (nominal price) and are reflecting the severe shortage of fish inventory in the ponds, Figures 7 and 8. Prices received by producers were volatile in 2007 and 2008, with a $0.19/lb high/low price spread in 2007 and a $0.17/lb high/low price spread in 2008. The low January 2008 price sent shock waves through the U.S. catfish industry, leading all to wonder if there would be a catfish industry and triggered many decisions concerning stocking and feeding that have led the industry to the shortage of fish it is now experiencing. In contrast, the 2009 high/low price spread was $0.05/lb and in 2010 it was $0.10/lb. This lack of volatility was welcome news and allows all to better plan when such volatility is reduced. However, high grain prices have pulled many catfish producers out of the industry. 6 Figure 7. Nominal Prices Paid to Producers Figure 8. Nominal Prices Paid to U.S. Catfish Producers by month, Jan. 2006 – Dec. 2009. 7 In-pond fish inventory Round weight processed catfish was 472 million pounds in 2010. If this quantity is to be processed in 2011 and 2012, the fish will have to come from foodsize catfish in-pond inventories for the immediate need (and frozen stored product discussed earlier), from stockers to supply demand in late 2011 and into early to mid-2012, and from fingerling inventory to supply demand in late 2012 and early to mid-2013. January 2011 foodsize catfish in-pond inventories (small, medium and large sizes) was reported to be 244 million pounds, down 35% from January 2010, and indicates that foodsize fish to the processing sector will be very short, by a gap of 133 million pounds if 2010 processing levels (466 million pounds) are to be maintained, Figure 9. However, stocker sized fish must be added to the current foodsize fish to determine if enough fish are available for processors in 2011. Figure 9. U.S. Catfish Foodsize In-pond Inventory, lbs. 8 Small and large stocker inventories reported in January 2011 were down from 2010 by 2.4 million pounds (-2.8%), but down 51 million (-37%) from 2009 levels. Since stocker quantity in 2011 is similar to 2010 levels, this portion of the in-pond inventory will not be enough to make up the shortage in in-pond foodsize fish inventory, Figure 10. Figure 10. U.S. Catfish Stockers In-pond Inventory, lb. A positive note is that fingerling quantity and numbers are up in 2011, the first increase seen since 2008, Figures 11a and 11b, indicating an increase in future production (?). Figure 11a. U.S. Catfish Fingerlings in Inventory, January of each year, lb. 9 Figure 11b. U.S. Catfish Fingerlings in Inventory, January of each year, number. January 2011 catfish fingerling inventories (number) were 32% greater than reported inventories in January 2010, indicating an increased quantity of foodsize catfish that will be available in late 2012 and early mid-2013. Many operations have gone out of business and others have reduced their level of production by choosing not to restock. This decision reverberated into the hatchery portion of the industry and they responded by reducing the number of fingerlings and broodstock they keep on hand. Broodstock pounds in inventory in January 2011 were still lower than in 2010, but the rate of decline lessened with only 13% less broodstock pounds in 2011 compared to 2010 compared to 17% less broodstock in 2010 compared to 2009. Maybe this is the bottom level broodstock will reach and may indicate the demand for fingerlings may turnaround in 2011, especially when the early 2011 shortage in foodsize fish and high price to producers. The demand for fingerlings should increase immediately and also increase the quantity of broodstock in 2011 and 2012, Figure 12. The dampening effect on this rebound will be the high price of feed, both at the hatchery/fingerling level and at the grow-out operational level. 10 Figure 12. U.S. Catfish Broodfish In-pond Inventory, lbs. Thus, from an “in-pond” inventories perspective, there will not be enough foodsize fish and advanced stockers in 2011 for processing quantities equaling the 2010 round weight processing quantity. For the future, the increased number of fingerlings on hand will provide need foodsize fish in early and mid-2012. Short foodsize catfish product supplies could necessitate seafood buyers turning to imported sources of fish as substitutes to meet their needs. This could lead to further decreases in market share for U.S. catfish processors and reduce the quantity required from U.S. catfish producers as well. Thus, this is a very critical time in the evolution of the US catfish industry. 6. Feed price A continuing concern for U.S. catfish producers in 2010 was the high price of catfish feed, which averaged $353/ton, a $14/ton decrease from the 2009 annual average price for 32% protein feed, Figure 13, but nevertheless still a great concern. However, in 2010 the July through December feed price averaged $366/ton. High catfish feed component prices for corn and soybean meal have resulted in high catfish feed prices from 2008 to the present. However the 2011 catfish feed price is on the rise and with expected record high corn and soybean prices this trend is expected to continue. Additionally, acreage battles with rice and cotton are occurring and could further increase the scarcity of corn and soybean and elevate their prices. The trend for higher catfish feed prices in 2011 can be seen by the average January plus February catfish feed price for 32% crude protein at $409 per ton, which is $56/ton (+16%) higher than the 2010 average feed price. 11 Figure 13. Prices for 28% and 32% Crude Protein, Floating Catfish Feed, 20062009. The Feed Delivered report from USDA/NASS, Figure 14, graphically depicts and compares the monthly tons of feed delivered to the U.S. Catfish Industry. From this figure, it is clear the total feed being fed to fish, and therefore an indicator of overall catfish production, is declining. Additionally, when graphed according to the state the feed was delivered to, the sharp declines in production occurring on an individual state basis can be seen, Figure 15. Mississippi and Arkansas had greater reduced feed purchases in 2007 to 2010 compared to relatively lower feed delivered reductions in Alabama. Figure 14. Comparison of Total Catfish Feed Delivered between 2006 and 2010. 12 Figure 15. Catfish Feed Delivered to each State and Remaining Other States. Farm-Raised Catfish Outlook for 2011 The long term trend shows an increasing consumption of fish and seafood products by U.S. consumers. Among the fish and seafood species consumed, domestically produced farm-raised catfish is number six among the most consumed fish and shellfish species in the U.S. The surprise fish to enter the top ten fish and seafoods consumed in the U.S. list is Pangasius, at 0.356 pounds consumed per person per year. This is an imported product and acts as a substitute product to the channel catfish grown in the U.S. Recent trends in the industry show there is an increasing quantity of imported frozen catfish and catfish-like fillets (and other fish substitutes, i.e., tilapia) coming into the U.S. This import trend did not change in 2010 and is not likely to change during 2011. Round weight processing in the U.S. catfish industry was slightly higher than in 2009. However, due to a severe shortage of domestically produced catfish available it is unlikely that 2010 levels will be processed in 2011. Using USDA/NASS catfish inventory figures, there seem to be a dearth of foodsize catfish immediately available for harvesting and processing. Stocker catfish inventories are flat compared to 2010 inventories (reported in January) and provide no bump to increase fish available in the latter part of 2011. Thus, it seems the 471 million pounds processed in the U.S. in 2010 will not be achieved in 2011. However, fingerling quantities are greater in January 2010 compared to 2011 which is encouraging as it 13 demonstrates that hatchery operators have prepared for increased demand for catfish fingerlings by producers. While catfish broodstock quantity is down from 2010 levels the high price being paid for foodsize catfish will increase the demand for fingerlings and thus broodstock numbers are likely to increase in 2011. The U.S. catfish industry in early 2011 is in the position of having a severe shortage of fish, and it will last throughout 2011. Short fish supplies during processors and wholesaler’s time of need could force seafood buyers to buy more imported catfish or turn to alternative white-flesh fish species to meet their needs. This could lead to further decreases in market share for U.S. processors, especially for frozen catfish fillets. This, in turn may reduce the quantity of catfish required from U.S. producers. This could occur because, unlike poultry, beef and hogs, increased catfish production costs cannot be easily passed onto consumers as catfish has a huge seafood import competition (that other U.S. livestock industries do not have) that would swoop in to replace domestically produced catfish with less expensive fish substitute products if domestic production prices are passed on to consumers. However, there is a demand for U.S. produced catfish products and, like in other industries, increased food prices are needed to keep up with increasing input prices. As the U.S. economic recovery provides increased numbers of main street worker jobs, the increased food prices are likely to be accepted compared to the last couple of years when high unemployment and no jobs in sight made passing on higher prices less likely to be accepted. Escalating feed and fuel costs, even with a higher price received by producers, is making profits very difficult for U.S. catfish producers. The result has been a decrease in the number of operations and a dramatic decrease in the number of production acres. Prices received by producers were volatile in 2007 and 2008, with a $0.19/lb high/low price spread in 2007 and a $0.17/lb high/low price spread in 2008. In contrast, the 2009 high/low price spread was only $0.05/lb, a welcome relief from the tumultuous swings in 2007 and 2008 pond bank fish prices; and in 2010 the price spread was $0.10/lb. It is very difficult to guess what price producers may receive during this time of product shortage. Already in late February 2011, processors were paying $1.05 to $1.10/lb to producers. This price level has never been seen before in this industry before. What will be on everyone’s mind in 2011 is how high can the pond bank price go and the processor still being able to sell product to wholesalers at elevated prices. The price of feed is already escalating in early 2011, and even with a higher price received, it is uncertain if producers and processors will be able to be profitable in 2011. 14 Notes: General USDA-NASS (U.S. Department of Agriculture - National Agricultural Statistical Service) provides to the public information on the production and processing sectors of the U.S. catfish industry. Over the years this data has been printed and distributed. More recently, data from 1995 to present have been put onto the Internet for easy access at http://usda.mannlib.cornell.edu/, then search for 'catfish'. However, pre-1995 data are not available on-line. Thus the reason for this publication is to put the longer time series together in one place. In some presented tables and graphs, time series have been shortened, but data for the longer series is available upon request. All data in this publication, except for catfish feed prices, comes from USDA-NASS or the state equivalent MASS (Mississippi Agricultural Statistics Service). The following notes are the notes that accompany USDA's reports, “Catfish Production,” “Catfish Processing,” and MASS annual reports. Producer Level Notes: Catfish Production Estimation and Survey Procedures: States used every available source of producer names to make their list as complete as possible. Great care was exercised to ensure that all operations were accounted for in the estimates. Estimation Procedures: Sound statistical methodology is employed to derive the estimates from reported data. All data are analyzed for unusual values. Data from each operation are compared to their own past operating profile and to trends from similar operations. Data for missing operations are estimated based on similar operations or historical data. Reliability: Catfish production estimates are based on a census of all known active producers and, therefore, have no sampling variability. However, estimates may be subject to errors such as omissions, duplication, and mistakes in reporting, recording, and processing of the data. These errors are minimized through strict quality controls in the edit and summarization process and a careful review of all reported data for consistency and reasonableness. Revision policy: Estimates for the previous year are subject to revision when current estimates are made. Revisions are the result of late or corrected data. 15 Definitions Used for Catfish Production: Broodfish - Fish kept for egg production, including males. Broodfish produce the fertilized eggs which go to hatcheries. The most desirable size is 3 to 10 pounds or 4 to 6 years of age. Large Foodsize - Fish weighing over 3 pounds. Medium Foodsize - Fish weighing over one and one-half pounds to 3 pounds. Small Foodsize - Fish weighing over three-fourths pound to one and one-half pounds. Large Stockers -Fish weighing over 180 pounds to 750 pounds per 1,000 fish. Small Stockers -Fish weighing over 60 pounds to 180 pounds per 1,000 fish. Fingerlings/Fry - Fish weighing 60 pounds or less per 1,000 fish. Processing Level Notes: Catfish Processing Estimation and Survey Procedures: Survey data for catfish processing are collected monthly from approximately 24 processors. All participating processors must meet the minimum criteria of having a capacity to process at least 2,000 pounds live weight of catfish per 8hour shift. The survey is conducted entirely by NASS Headquarters’ staff in Washington, D.C. NASS field offices, however, are responsible for keeping Headquarters informed of any new processing operations in their state to ensure that the survey coverage is as complete as possible. Processors are contacted either by mail or telephone. Diligent effort is made to ensure that all operations are accounted for in the estimate. Estimation Procedures: The "Catfish Processing" report refers strictly to farm-raised fish and excludes wild capture fish. Prior to summarization, questionnaires are compared with the previous month's reports for comparable placement of data, reasonable price levels, and reasonable inventory carryover given the sales and processing totals reported. Estimates are made for those processors whose reports are not available in time to be included in the release. These plants are identified by an asterisk on page 5 of each release of the "Catfish Processing" report. Estimates are normally based on the processor's previous report and current conditions. Published totals are a straight summation of the individual reports and estimated data. Price items are weighted by the associated volumes to compute weighted average prices. The published price for total whole fish, however, reflects an adjustment to the round and gutted only price to bring it to an equivalent dressed weight price. If a plant uses a fiscal accounting system, proration is used to convert reported data to a calendar month basis. Only national level estimates are published due to the limited number of plants involved. Generally, individual items are not published if there are less than three plants reporting, or if any one plant has 60 percent or more of the total. One unique feature of the "Catfish Processing" report is the listing of cooperating processors by name on each month's release. This feature originally was used to solicit industry cooperation in maintaining coverage, but it has continued because of the processors' overall acceptance of this policy. 16 Reliability: Catfish processing estimates are based on a census of all known active processors and, therefore, have no sampling variability. However, estimates may be subject to errors such as omissions, duplication, and mistakes in reporting, recording, and processing of the data. These errors are minimized through strict quality controls in the edit and summarization process, and a careful review of all reported data for consistency and reasonableness. Revision Policy: Revisions may be necessary following a review of late reports received from plants. Revisions of less than two percent of the existing published levels of any category will normally not be made. Average Price Paid to Producers - Refers to the price of fish delivered to the processing plant door. Price includes charges for any services provided by the processing plant, such as seining and hauling, but does not include any adjustments based on year-end settlements. Fillets - Boned sides of the fish, cut lengthwise away from the backbone. Includes regular, shank, and strip fillets and excludes any breaded product. Fresh Fish - Fish intended for immediate consumption. Also referred to as "icepacked." Frozen Fish - Fish which are individually quick-frozen and glazed (IQF) or individually bagged and bulk frozen. Nuggets - Small fillets cut from below the rib section of the fish. Usually includes breading or added ingredients. Round and Gutted Only - Fish with no processing done or viscera only removed. Round Weight - A term for fish live weight. Steaks - Cross-section cuts from larger dressed fish. Strips - Finger size pieces of fish cut from fillets. Usually includes breading or added ingredients. Whole Dressed - Weight of whole fish with only head, viscera, and skin removed. Generally, 60 percent of the live weight remains as dressed fish. Other catfish - Includes regular, shank, and strip fillets and excludes any breaded product. Whole - Includes round and gutted and whole dressed fish Other - Differs from “other” category used by USDA-NASS. Includes steaks, nuggets, and all products not already reported, including weight of breading and added ingredients. Total Fresh - Includes whole, fillet, and other forms of fresh catfish. Total Frozen - Includes whole, fillet, and other frozen catfish. Total - Includes all fresh and total frozen catfish product forms. Definitions Used For Catfish Processing: 17 Processing data were compiled in cooperation with the following processors: America's Catch Carolina Classics Catfish, LLC Consolidated Catfish Producers, LLC Delta Supreme Processing Farm Catch Catfish Processors, Inc. Fish Breeders of Idaho, Inc. Freshwater Farms Products, LLC Guidry Catfish, Inc. Haring’s Pride Catfish Harvest Select Catfish, Inc. Heartland Catfish Lake's Farm Raised Catfish, Inc. Pride of the Pond Prime Line Inc. Seabrook Seafood, Inc. Simmons Farm Raised Catfish, Inc. SouthFresh Farms Superior Fish Processors (as of the Jan., 2010 Issue of NASS Catfish Processing) Catfish Feed Deliveries Survey Procedures: Survey data for catfish feed are collected from feed mills by the USDA-NASS Mississippi Field Office, who is responsible for ensuring survey coverage is as complete as possible. Mills are contacted by mail, telephone, fax, or internet. All cooperating feed mills have allowed NASS to publish data at the State, Regional, and National level. Estimation Procedures: The "Catfish Feed Deliveries" report refers strictly to catfish feed delivered to bonafide catfish producers and excludes catfish feed delivered to producers of other species. The totals include both bagged and bulk feed. Prior to summarization, questionnaires are compared to previous reports for comparability. Estimates are made for feed mills whose reports are not available in time to be included in the release. Estimates are based on the mill's previous reports and current conditions. Published totals are a straight summation of the individual reports and estimated data. If a mill uses a fiscal accounting system, proration is used to convert reported data to a calendar month basis. Two unusual features of this report are worthy of note: (1) cooperating feed mills are listed by name, and (2) it is impossible for the public to infer the amount of catfish feed produced in each state. Since many mills deliver feed to more than one state and to growers of other species, any inferences about overall production per state or per mill are not valid. Reliability: Catfish Feed estimates are based on a census of all known active and cooperating catfish feed mills, and therefore have no sampling variability. However, estimates may be subject to errors such as omissions, duplication, and mistakes in reporting, recording, and processing of the data. These errors are minimized through strict quality controls in the edit and summarization process, and a careful review of all reported data for consistency and reasonableness. 18 Revision Policy: Revisions may be necessary in the following month's publication pending a review of late reports received from mills. Revisions to previous estimates are made to improve month to month relationships. Estimates for the previous month are subject to revision in all States each month when current estimates are made. In February, all monthly estimates for the previous year are reviewed and subject to revisions. The review is primarily based on data that may have been received after the original estimates were made. Definitions Used for Catfish Feed Sales Broodfish - Fish kept for egg production, including males. Catfish Feed - For the purposes of this report catfish feed is defined as feed delivered to bonafide catfish producers. Thus, it is not the absolute total amount of feed produced or even sold by a mill. (Some catfish feed is sold to producers of other species of fish.) The definition includes medicated feed. Catfish Feed for Foodsize Fish - Feed containing pellets larger than 1/8 of an inch. Catfish Feed for Fingerlings/Broodfish - Feed containing pellets 1/8 of an inch or smaller. Fingerlings - Smaller fish about 2 to 6 inches in length. Foodsize Fish - Fish being grown commercially for human consumption. Optimum sizes at harvest depend on the market but are generally no lower than 3/4 pound but near one pound. Data were compiled in cooperation with the following feed mills: Alabama Feed Mill LLC Arkat Feeds Cargill Animal Nutrition Carolina Fish Feeds Delta Western Fishbelt Feeds, Inc. Flint River Mills, Inc. Land O’ Lakes Melick Aqua Feed LLC Rangen, Inc. Silver Cup Southfresh Feeds Star Milling Co. Topwater Feed Mill Mississippi Catfish Mississippi data was obtained from Mississippi Agricultural Statistics Supplements. Methods for gathering data: Much of the data used to calculate statistics published by the NASS is collected by a part-time staff of telephone and field enumerators. This enumerator staff is employed by the National Association of State Departments of Agriculture (NASDA) and serves as outside contract workers for the USDA. The National Agricultural Statistics Service is recognized as one of the premier statistical organizations in the world. That 19 reputation rests in large part on the efforts of enumerators in every state in the U.S. The Mississippi Agricultural Statistics Service gratefully acknowledges the work and integrity of its own enumerators. 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 100 101 102 103 104 105 106 107 108 109 110 111 112 113 114 115 116 117 118 119 120 121 122 123 124 125 126 127 128 129 130 131 132 133 134 135 136 137 138 139 140 141 142 143 144 145 146 147 148 149 150