f - v/i !L.I .y, y DIRECTORS COMMENTS forestryr p~rodu~cts benelf it 110111 1 Iscil cl condctedl~ in agicultuiral cspcrimcInt stationis suchi as thl( Atlihlih Agricul- sldIril programu inlude(I newX andi safer produicts, sItyli. Tii averagC ti. S. fdily reCC( fivs $_I() of beneifits froii curIr (lt c\fpenditili(5 for agricul- tura 1 r (sealrch. It is signiificanit toi not, hIowevXr, fthat reeac ha(lI is dt greCate bene(il(filial imll et on1 LOWELL T. FROBISH- agiciultrri adl lIFX Isr r(search, Xw( iiist minitii reisch~~l 1)1ogirami that is both1 rici( ve IX d C11 proaict iXC. W'c ilrust conltinueI to beC IractiXvC to) culrrnt probiilemis facing produiIcers adl conisumilrs ofI our1 pr 1 odulcts, adi ready to IC- samlI titri, XwC muist beC frciveCX iln antliipatinlg andling11 fiitii C frl Im~~s. Sinlce thlC sCttflcmllet of the Virginlia ColonyX ini 1607, agriculture has lbeCn im- noit XIetICI bee X d lioped. Sc ientists S001n rCalizCei that to clothe, feCd, adi care for itnr ilpCfopuilation~s, chan~ges ill produi~ctionl XXCI Crequiired. Tils, prolactiv C reschIIt~ ilogialils weCre deCX lopled to prepareCfix the fuiture. Todtay' chlatllnge tii hlp pla ftdi r1 thiC fIutilrC XXC haveC estalishedl a fastk Foic tCIl rCX iCX Ala- tbdilids agiiclltin-aat andi fiolest indulistries adli to) take t hd iloo11k at Xiihiiiiis researchl progr ami to su~pportI tiese (nterprises. This grupf has been asked to deve itf strategic research pln officidtXAall aamd Agriculture andt iillstiv fIll the 21st ( (Itilry, to gulide tthe Alabaad Agiiculturald Expiment1111 Stationu if) th yiC ards ahlldl. The Task tForcC XwIill b ilIX d wing1 on1 ai 511~ ll rcon s iAlaama toi dICvelop this impor)0tan~t stirategic plian. Agricuturl atresedrei faces id terrific challengC as theC 21st cenitury ap-f fproacthes-hetling feeltd iII orl polaitioni that XXiti grow~ lIy Si) tol 90 iiioni X (ilopitint ilf iiCXX tCCli (ilS tol iiliJ)I product~livtXitX ad! co~st efficieCy;C andll till nlcc5ity to) compef~te iln thll XXoIrld miarkeltace. XI ihaXvC theC Cnergy tol meet( this cthallenge, adl till plani bin~lg deCX pe w11)( Xill hl is suIccCId. MAY WE INTR()1)'(1 Dr Ai\ \>, .ssist Priofs of Iiitoliiologx. A 11. ti IX of Los1 Angeh Californiia, App, 1com to Auburni c 1955 ,ifter graduiii ctroo . epeiousla r(eciived i) B.51it AX.l~IlIl4II dfgrX sinilog flom iIllCIti Uniesit of Cal-1 I ifo()nia at Lis 15511lcfs I giigis ONec THE COVER C~rpent.er ans wee disov rced aang kraitpant in ah epen Conty garde hin 1988.rc (See Styng age 5.) io Sf'RINC 1989 VO1.. 3f6 NO. 1 Stat ion, Auiui 1111 .iiX Iisits. I I\\ Ill''' F I10BIf ...f .. iretori II.E. SI LX IKNS(N ......... E itol KXI II. S\1 II II........ Assistanit Iitili Edtitoiriat Comm1 iittee: LoeI i IX I i 11Xi Xgi -01illli (1d( Soils; N. II. Holr Asso- XXI ciate1 Proiso of' ZooIoI iud /11/0 x 11/Vi/cli I Prfcso I f i/'XIII .X1 (1Itic i IIIa I /.1 Ilil~l (l ilt 11/ II. F. Keith, .X.Xlociatc PImfisslI o1/ Nsuti- tionI anld Foods; ID.BI. Sotf, .X.X.iXIIIII PII)/lXIII if IFoi-'.XII iD.IA. StrmilgfiiIIXs, As~sistant IS Ifi.Xor o1/ XliI Ibil/Igi/ iand II. F. Stevsoni. FDI)lOl S NU' .O Men1ltiIIn Iii tradi Stationl orI Auuun tilritl XIIX c ii brandill exce5s iif labld~ amounilits in resiarc rii - pted~ 1 fill noti 15 d sliiiti recommeXndia-ii r D.L. HUFFMAN and W.R. EGBERT PRODUCING LEAN BEEF CAN BE PROFITABLE INDIVIDUALS WHO have an active lifestyle or are health conscious now comprise nearly 50% of the con- sumers in the United States. Many of these people closely watch their fat in- take, which has had a significant effect on the market for beef and other meats. The meat industry has responded to consumer demands by closely trimming meat cuts prior to sale. However, the ideal situation would be to produce cat- tle that have leaner carcasses that do not require excessive trimming. This need is being addressed in long-range research projects by the Alabama Agricultural Experiment Station.The aim is to de- velop genetic strains of cattle that pro- duce leaner carcasses that retain desir- able qualities of tenderness, juiciness, and flavor. One study underway looks at the eco- nomic aspect by measuring value differ- ences between beef carcasses selected for leanness versus conventional market cattle. At the same time, any differences in sensory qualities, such as tenderness and taste, between the two groups are being identified. Sixteen beef carcasses were selected at a meat processing plant to fit narrowly defined parameters of leanness. Eight carcasses were selected to be "typical" (USDA Choice, Yield Grade 3) car- casses, while the other eight were se- lected as "lean" (USDA Select, Yield Grade 2 or better). Carcass weights av- eraged 650 lb. for each group. Each car- cass was divided into boneless, closely trimmed (1/4 in.) retail cuts. Weights of bone, trimmable fat, ground beef trim- mings, and retail cuts were recorded. Values were assigned to each component by using current market prices. Taste tests were performed on each of the 10 retail cuts from each carcass for sensory evaluation. The lean carcasses displayed a higher percentage of bone than the typical car- casses; however, the percent fat was higher for the typical carcasses than for the lean ones, see figure. The most im- Comparisons of various components of lean and typical beef carcasses show value of pro- ducing lean beef. portant finding of the study was that the percent edible portions (closely trimmed, boneless retail cuts plus ground beef) was 62.8% for lean cattle and 59.6% for typical cattle. Values assigned to ground beef, fat, and bone shown in the figure were sim- ilar between the typical and lean carcass groups, though there was a marked dif- ference in the value of the retail cuts. Based on the values assigned to each component, lean carcasses were worth $70 more than typical carcasses. Since the costs of production, slaughter, and processing were essentially the same for both carcass types, the leaner carcasses were definitely more profitable than the typical ones. Sensory evaluation indicated no differ- ences in any sensory traits between the two groups of carcasses for 9 of the 10 cuts evaluated. The top round from the typical group was found to be juicier than the top round from the lean group. Production of lean carcasses that have desired eating quality and a substantial value added component is possible when the constraints used in this study are fol- lowed. The present "rewards system" for beef cattle makes it imperative for pro- ducers to take cattle to USDA Choice grade. Though producers sending cattle to market would not be rewarded for leanness, this study suggests producers who retain ownership of their cattle to the retail sales level could realize in- creased value. Huffman is Professor and Egbert is Research As- sociate of Animal and Dairy Sciences. Alabama Agricultural Experiment Station 3 Douglas TAVE, M. REZK, and R. Oneal SMITHERMAN GOLD-COLORED TILAPIA Now POSSIBLE foo fIIishies ini t he world. 1( hese5 fisp lw X w~eI ll, ar istanlt to disees, toili at( poor1 wXater quailitX, and1( ar liious. t eals oI X011 f, tileil Iatti- lThouighi p)(o(loclt lol is inl its inIfailcy ill inI tue State. D~espite tile manII p)ositive( attibul~tes of tilaplia dark L skill color maikes thlese fish1 difficlt to maIrlket ini solve locales. PhW(K N I (((50 o CI)u 11io~nii Ss) Biv (K OF P iomCI) 1 i5 I] PussIli[, l 1 \IXO o~s \ ( Biu~r~t, vI) [ v Tnarl ro> aIm Cldt X5 '5 Blac'k '5 black . Co(ldl ' black IIInz II I/I X IIIIIl/ Co(ldl \ hronzc Blck '5 bronz((/ 100(H', gld 1* e/. &UIi( ku l 1(/ ~. V 'he(1 ormal skin co1or oIf ((ost species (of tilapia is (lark, with black (niclanistic) pigmenitaltionl being the p~redomlinant tolor. InI sonic~ areas~, fish are sold( who1le or as skin-on fillets. IDark skiln color call be i ark~etin~g liablitX XXhIn tilapia muist comp~lJete wXith b~righltlX co~loredl ma- ri11e fish. Ill thle 19Osk liltailt red aldll 0X ti- lapia (thlouight to laX e been Filapia 11108 ,SU(1IIIi(0) were) d~iscovei '(I ill TaiwXan. C:ommerctial inlterest ill these fish XXas illicdeliate because thlio bright skinl color einabledt them to compljete at the markLet XXithl moarine lish. \lanX tilapia farmls obltainIed these mu-( tat,lt brightly colloredl fish, hoolt they Xweie IXhbiizied wXitth (other .Species: ('1)1 5( gneltilX there( are' feXX purli stocks ill txist'ncel. 'Ihis has m(ade it dtifficult to deter- 11111W thel genletits oIf body 5(& hla1) c olor andt to (teterillill( howX to produce true-brcI('((ling ((ly p~rogell\ XXitt) 1briight skiin coor see figurI. In1986,god1 tsu - cre ob1 served( iln thle Chicago. A samplte 1 ( of these W t XXsh )va tranlspo(rtedl to the Alabam~a AgriclIt iil~ Ex- p~erimflcit Staltionl in 1987, XX Ilere thley XXere illatetd to (feterile If thlev were trule- breedling. Sixteen'l failies, s with a toltal of 1t0,331 o)ff- 4 sping,4 wXere tproduiced, andt all offspring w~ere gold,. sce Blc (normatlly p 10551~I i g- er I bltainedI fromn thle Tennlessee ValelAthlori ty ill Mtuscle Shals ill 1987, and~ thley too) 1black X b)lac'k lliatiilgs pro- True-breeding gold tilapia pro- vide bright-skinned fish and benefit marketing efforts. Rec'itprocal blac1k \ gol)d crosses pro- (duled fish that ap)peared to lbt black when(1 thley Xwcie slilaller thain 1 ill., buit thelo'r)1) changedi as thle fish agedl. Thlese 1fish had l~ fewer b' lactk pig4(1mIt eellIs thIanl thle black fish, pluls some11 yelloX and or- anlge p~igmleint tells, XXhiichl gaXve theii book a patina. As a iresult, this phelo- typje Xvas inamedl "bronze." InI 1988, gold(, 1bronze, an d 1black fish1 Xwere I latedi to (deterine) tice inhertIitanlce (of these colors. Riesults oIf these Illatiligs res (all '1 that body c(1 olorI iin T. olos .50(- h ic ' (islot rolledl by a sinigle at t st Ial geine XX iti inlcIomplete (dominlanlt geln) ac- tionll: the( G geln). G oldl fish are hlloizl/5- 4011 recessiXe O'(44, blac'k fish are 1)011- Ire Iletel oLX 4tIs (G")4. The) tale~ shIows' tile tX cs of ollspring thlat art produicedI bS a1ll possible llt iil 45 amlIong gold,1 bronzelt, and~ b~lack T. OossOalbjeU. Becau))lse gold( tilaplia are Iloilotx 4(1(1 r ecessive, it is casX to proIducI(e all) main-1 mlo.s0mical (call be produl(ced by cu(llin~g tllIcntX tes). Onclte this is (dile, the only1 fish thlat remlainl XXill ielld(, and( sincte the('\ arc h~omoz)/goius rece'ssive (gg~ ) thley wXill prodi)uce'lttY 160 4(gold offlspring . ('on- scqenfIltlk, a sing l(' genera tionl of select- pIopu~lation (If T. )nssoolbiea. Addiltion-l alIX bec'tause the Iulllistit' pheilotXpcs airc e'asily dist ing uished, till in~adve(rtenlt oty pes call be ('asilh rec'tifiedl tilt pu(rity ho)' tlleX art' spawnedl'(. Riesearch is bleing conlduhcted to assess tlie g4ro(wth, v iabiilitX, disease' resistailce, cold1( toleranlce, aind tarcass qulality oIf gold( I. m~o.5'5t1mli(U, in) ortdtr to tdeter- mlinlI their' suitaility as a coimiericial stockL. ira. A.G. APPEL and R.H. MOUNT CARPENTER ANTS ATTACK OKRA M\'ay Actiiallij 13c An Eiconom'ic Pas't ('4 dlx 11n glt.IN Nas c,44 th~is inl secI was f.4n d 44 ;C(4d'ingI. o44 okrin it I4 hi Alaitii.aii ('44 tc~tt~ j44444' kin .44 14o ne4 n 44ottin 44g i4ogs and44 NtIlos I 41) n. rocksLN,4 44d 4441-c'lI' 4444 in ho44 s ui 444N ttilitl ants1 N04444'i4444' ('441r kitche'4x ns to f,4.(_I on4 N4ugar 44 d oth44 r 4411444' N(''I ('N('c ant 444.4 c44 stNd.44 441 (Itl inl 19,Yi ti l 11'4''( all4 opi4)I4 114441 to obsN('I th a'ttacks1.4iL and4( 14,1144 abo1 t th ht, (,Ced4ing1. Ihaits on4 okra). The4okr pIla'ts attacked ,41.(L(4 car.('d I1er (ed. PlantIs N Nc(44 (i-f It1. 1.ali and( 1had4 all cit4 Ix 14o late4 poolsI. Ha,44n wer (' xaminee)114'4 li'ont grouod444 Ic4'x up al d ant4( d44(istr'ibu- tion4 and4 ac,4 tiNix ty w44e 44444414.4. Pod( damage14( was adN .4i44 144'14444141' Poi 4 4tix(' i(14'44411(',1141 of1 th( ant4 xxax 414)1)1(1 : 144 441(ic l,44: 1444 44icioa,4 1)ilt it outsI. Itis Nail (Nidetie by(l4jj its lNarge44 sizeII (4(I5-.3 .4 tI444 long i(I N4i xx bot . (hi4 worker ants arc41 crshd 4'fl4NI4( igure' I. \iork- ('cNrs4444 444444 xrn yelish Nl14 to ii4)xx li rId andI t4144 (144 d and44 .444(1 t~ arc1414'4 darke than t1444 thorax441,4. 11his ant4 canI in-~ Ilict it pinchin bite, 14 but1 it do4)(s not) stingi. 11T'h4l xnt ('44' found4( 444 aill okraX pla44n in 1144 ro44xx \I 444(st aill thosex( fo4414( wc(4' 441 444 44444 1144 bas ofN( f4lowexx orI o)4 d)e-1 ('14opin1g po44(sx as illustrae b41( thN c14(ov ('4 photo14. Ants xxr ('44' f4IN44 14414 th1 e so44il I 4(lxx(('1 plan.41 .XI4 1 bunw( .Xgri i(ult414'uI I'X'/c iim('44 Sltati44 /y conume o fi(' ll4 1 x f, 4.414''1,41 4 ( shifte to theIa(' a thIN I'1NI(ti44 (etal arc4 attaxxed and4( t14'(4411411 1 x) xhc I f tto 4 c salNtIIiig in floxxer dr41). Ihu)hi -'to~ I floINwe N 4 'N 114lc~ in m44 ill.4 rath14r 1th,44 Nst.aight 444 sl414htl1 144441 tI'' fi4'4 2. Such1 dama44.144 4)10.44444lN reduce,'( ke't. Fe'((i4din 4 lso 4N( caused x brow Nscar tis- sueI ait t144 baseN( o41 dc1('x n pods)114 1 44. Al- though141 it w.N 4a,4',4l ant l er N(l' obsrvI scar4 tissue(. floxx (41 nutrits' 1 14) thet (14'x'1441ing pod4 IiNN4I(. causi4ng4) slower'l growth 11. W\ith unl- af411(e tissue li x grow44 xin norm4al4l4y.4 I, 11he r'c- sulit xxwa i)(bent pod(. 41 I I' '4 FIG. 1 (top). Carpenter ants are large and easy to identify. FIG. 2 (bottom). Misshapen okra pods resulting from carpenter ant feed- ing. tha.t ar4 t known to con404trl') tis' p)st in- clud(1 (i444' anl)1, (ii/i401 and4( 114.l)Ilio4. tance'( 1from) f4'('iilg sites, best c'ontro (r1e'- sult f '.4'om 4 loaig41NN and traig oliesIIIg rat4Ihe h an tratn th4ICNII garden4 its' II e444j4f\.41 \ Apeli AsstntPofsorofVllm loC R.A. TUFTS ROTARY RAKING SHOWS ADVANTAGES FOR PINE TREE SITE PREPARATION AFTER TIMBER harvesting, land that is to be regenerated must be prepared for planting pines to improve survival and reduce competition. The most common mechanical method of site preparation is to shear all standing material at ground- line and rake the residual material into windrows. Alabalna Agricultural Exper- iment Station tests indicate the Symonds Rotary Rake is more silviculturally effec- tive and in some cases more economical than conventional raking. The rotary rake is a larger version of a hay rake consisting of four, 7.5-ft.-diam- eter pinwheels with serrated edges con- nected to a beam with jump arms. The rear assembly is used to adjust the offset angle to control the amount of material raked. The rake is pulled behind a bull- dozer or rubber-tired tractor, and as the rake moves forward, material is rolled into a windrow by the pinwheels. Data were collected on rotary raking operations in central Alabama and com- pared to conventional raking. Each ob- servation consisted of the time to make a pass through a fixed-length plot and the time to turn the rake around for the next pass. For each plot, independent vari- ables including windrow length, swath width, weight of residual material, stump height and diameter, and slope of the terrain parallel and perpendicular to travel were measured. Linear regression analysis was used to develop models of raking time as a func- tion of the independent variables. Dis- tance was the most important variable af- fecting raking time. It accounted for 87.3% of the variability in the data. When added to distance variable, slope in the direction of travel, residual mate- rial weight, swath width, and number of stumps per acre also affected raking time. As the values of the variables in- creased, the raking time increased. The combination of distance and slope pro- duced the best two-variable model, ex- plaining 89.9% of the variability. The best three-variable model only increased predictability to 90.4%. Productivity as a function of windrow length and residual material is given in the table for the rubber-tired Franklin 595 and the tracked Caterpillar D7H. Total time was raking time plus the av- erage time to turn the rake. Average swath width for each machine was used to determine the area covered in one pass. As longer windrows (600-800 ft.) were built, the portion of the cycle time involved in turning decreased and, therefore, productivity increased. For short windrows (200 ft.), rotary rake pro- ductivity was slightly over 2.5 acres per hour, and increased to almost 4 acres per hour for longer windrows. Although the same equation was used to predict the raking times, the 595 turned faster, but the D7H averaged a wider swath. So, for short windrows the 595 was more pro- ductive. Conventional raking on similar terrain was about 1.8 acres per hour re- gardless of windrow length. Owning and operating costs were cal- culated for the Cat D7H and Franklin 595 with a rotary rake and two typical crawler tractors with conventional rakes. The costs per hour for rotary raking with the D7H and Franklin 595 were $83.93 and $68.23, respectively. The costs per hour for conventional raking with a 200- and 300-hp crawler tractor were $48.16 and $54.92, respectively. Per acre costs ranged from $20-$40 per acre for the 200 and 300 hp conventional rakes and $17- $29 per acre for the Cat D7H rotary rake and $15-$26 per acre for the Franklin 595 rotary rake. The weighted average productivity for the conventional raking operations was 1.8 acres per hour for a cost of $26.76 to $30.51 per acre. Rotary raking averaged ROTARY RAKE PRODUCTIVITY AS A FUNCTION RESIDUAL MATERIAL, AND THE AVERAGE TURN TIME Machine, windrow T Machine, windrow Turn time Productivity length, ft. Min. A./hr. Franklin 595 200 .............. 1.2 2.6 400 .............. 1.9 3.3 600 .............. 2.6 3.6 800 .............. 3.3 3.8 Cat D7H 200 .............. 1.3 2.6 400 .............. 2.0 3.4 600 .............. 2.7 3.8 800 .............. 3.4 4.0 3.3 acres per hour or more based on the layout of the tract, for a cost range of $20.78 to $25.43 per acre or less. Rotary raking also has some silvicul- tural advantages. The rake did not move as much soil as a conventional rake, thereby causing less site degradation. This also produced a cleaner windrow which burned completely and facilitated subsequent operations. The rotary rake is limited to use on slopes of less than 20% and cannot op- erate in rugged terrain. Tract sizes should be relatively large or the tracts should be close together to justify the problems related to moving the ma- chine, since it is wider than legal high- way width restrictions and cannot be pulled at high speeds. Productivity of conventional raking was not dependent on tract size, while productivity of the rotary rake was highly dependent on the length of the windrow that was produced. The study indicates smaller tracts with broken ter- rain or with heavy residual material are more suited for conventional raking. Though rotary raking costs more per hour, a larger area could be raked in an hour, making the cost less than conven- tional raking in some cases. The poten- tial cost saving and reduced site degra- dation provide some opportunities on selected terrain for rotary raking. Tufts is Assistant Professor of Forestry. Alabama Agricultural Experiment Station D.R. MULVANEY, J.A. CHROMIAK, M.T. GORE, and D.R. STRENGTH GENETIC SELECTION FOR GROWTH ALTERS RESPONSE TO GROWTH PROMOTANTS GROWTH PROMOTANTS are currently being used experi- mentally to improve growth rate and body composition of food animals by redirecting nutrients from fat deposition to muscle deposition. Researchers have reported dramatic growth rates and fat loss, but little is known about the effects of these com- pounds on specific animal genotypes that are bred for fast or slow growth-or the effect on growth and body composition of extremely young animals. Although not approved for commercial use, beta adrenergic agonists (BAA) are one group of compounds that could be used in the future to alter animal fat con- tent. Published reports indicate a 10- 20% increase in muscle and a 40% de- crease in fat in some animals injected with a BAA. In Alabama Agricultural Experiment Station tests, the BAA clen- buterol in the diet of young lambs signif- icantly increased muscle weights and de- creased fat deposited around internal organs. To determine the effects of another BAA, cimaterol, on fast- and slow-grow- ing genotypes and on young animals, various doses of the compound were in- jected into 7- to 21-day-old male Charles River CD rat pups from litters repre- senting two populations genetically se- lected for large (fast growth) and small (slow growth) size. Body weight typi- cally differs by 32% at 21 days and 50- 60% by 9 weeks of age. The number of rats per litter was standardized to 10 pups to reduce variations in litter size. A total of five litters was used from each strain and four pups per litter were strat- ified across four treatment groups re- ceiving injections of 0, 2, 4, and 8 parts per million (p. p.m.) of cimaterol per kg (kilogram) of body weight. Large rats weighed approximately 2.2 oz. while small rats weighed only 1.5 oz. at 21 days of age. The effects of cimaterol injection on growth and body composi- tion of neonatal rats of different growth potential are shown in figures 1 and 2. Data reported by others indicate BAA stimulates growth when given to rats after weaning, but in the AAES study cimaterol reduced body weight gain in the large rats and did not affect small rats. Body composition was not changed by treatment, although the body protein- to-fat ratio tended to be elevated with cimaterol treatment. Administration of cimaterol also inhibited skeletal muscle growth, but caused enlargement of the heart. These results demonstrate the im- portance of considering age of the animal when using growth-promoting agents. The greater reduction of growth when doses of cimaterol were increased in large rats compared to small ones may Body weight, oz. 1.85 S0 2 p.p.m. 6 4 p.p.m. 1.55 o 8 p.p.m. FIG. 2. Effect of cim- aterol on small strain rats. have been due to a higher maintenance energy requirement of this population of rats. These results also suggest that geno- type influences the effectiveness of growth-promoting agents and should be considered when these materials are used experimentally. These tests also in- dicate that genetic interactions need fur- ther investigation, particularly in de- signing diets and employing new growth promotants in future meat animal pro- duction. Mulvaney is Assistant Professor, Chromiak and Gore are Graduate Research Assistants, and Strength is Professor of Animal and Dairy Sci- ences. FIG. 1. Effect of cim- aterol on large strain rats. Alabama Agricultural Experiment Station 1.25 .90 Day Body weight, oz. 1.50 1.30 I 0 p.p.m. 0 2 pppmm. 1.0 A 4 ppm. 1.20 a- o 8 p.p.m. 1.05 .95 .85 .60 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 Day J. WONG-VALLE, G.R. McDANIEL, J.E. BARTELS, and E.T. MORAN NEW X-RAY IMAGING TECHNIQUE DIAGNOSES TD IN BROILER BREEDERS T 1111AI, dyschoudroplasia CH)) is ouc of the More couunon .skeletal ,tbnornnalities that ocean in rap- idly growing broilers and ticr- keys. Though "1'I) is not fatal, it causes laiucncss .utd prcycnts birds front get- ting fimd and water. "I'hc eud result is rc diced elficiency or even death due to slnryaliotn .utd/or dehydration. TD costs pottln "ueo millions of, dollars annotll\ in rcplaccuucnt birds itnd [mwh [Wore in pool. perfitrnnancc of suryiying birds. TI) is chill-actcrir.ccl by it failtur of hone formation in the legs of, yuun'= chickens, resulting in the persistence of an nncalcificd mass ofcartilagc. Invasion of, the enl.u-ed cartilage cells of the growth plate by nuetaplnyscal blood ycs- scls is it prercyttisite low resorbing carti- lage prior to its replaceincnt by bone, fig- ures I and 2. Previously, sacrificing the bird was the only way to detect TI). Now, it can be detected by [[sing low in- tensity x-ray imaging (Lixiscopc). it method deyclopcd at the Alabannt Agr-i- cullural h:xperinuvt Station. This tech- nique will detect at an early agc the ex- istence of abnormal masses ofuncalcified c.u-tilagc, .utd thus which birds hay(, Tl ). The incidence of, TD vvas stndicd in broiler breeders reared tinder t\vo nutri tional nuurtgcnncrnt regimens at the AAFS. In rrginum 1, which is sinnilar to the uuc used by basic breeders, 100 tuales stud 100 females were fed f'rce choice it broiler ration Gunn 0 to S weeks (23'/( protein-3,200 Mh:/kg). At h weeks of age, these birds were changed to it developer ration of 18?k, protein and 2,900 111,:/kg and placed on it restricted f'Ccding progrann fur the duration of the experiment. This regimen is sintilu- to the one used by cotntncrcial broiler breeders. The antottnt of ficd 1,Cd tutu 5 to 20 weeks was determined by the weight the birds needed to achieve breeder reconunclided body weight by 20 weeks of age. In rcgintcn ?, the sonic nunnbers of birds as inn regimen 1 were f'Cd the same developer diet fine choice 323 -1J 3234 FIG. i (lop). Proximal end ot the ltiotarsus trom chicks with normal bone develop- ment at 42 days of age. FIG. 2 (bottom). Tibtal dyschondroplasia of the proximal tibi- otarsus of a chick at 42 days of age. iii ftttI ftotit 3 tti 20 we,(ek', bruoilti ibretdeet at 4, 7 t1I atut 15~ w'k ',fct'ttt ti' ( til 2% of the fettutlt'' ait ',etek', oi age dc(leoitped TD. Niott tif tite itncidlenie tif TD) tccui edtIt' at 7 wteeks of ag' at 15 \vteeks of igc e oi( f thtt birdsI' gth lite t''tite) tog alit',eein i itrte t t t h di as ca be et td Xlow asic bgreerto c i ju ul lcd irds 0 j J.W. ODOM, H.W. LANE, D.A. SMITH, and K.S. RYMAL SELENIUM UPTAKE BY SOYBEANS STUDIED S IiAi:'M (iS() iN iA trace il(* by ho thi ~ hiliN]] anid~ ailil Se l'.c, I (liscasc,' a fital liiart dlisiase A- f)i\ iii (~iilIs aN lit piregnal( (inQANi. An (011(1itio mos1lilt iikil\ to occur ini a1l(dNs li hiigii lecd , ci oil such as~l A la- l naaiiu I imn inii aciN oE hilt t'og Scis Inot iljiiii iii fIN fpiailit its aN ,iiki i ulitthogplnts to ita landiu~ ani- tic I)Iiii Sit Risarc NuNnter, iN lr a tn iitii r u ni t o h A l b m d liiinr a V lidiN ] S t ion N llo c at1 i f]]iii hti to d iiiijnti thatmouit du( li S i ii Ili n ofl IN itric tblt) Nl illa Nofl soi ai tip of Coas(i ta P tlin sNoIilS cuid piedn~I~uN Sc IN soiliib anst.t uont liiii e N iiia iN(i iii fl thatI thi ih st cilofent Natiin Nfiiii Sietrct ahl ini th N oil isil uh in ti to N oih oru filitr i. iiile~i tiii co t itn of fu fim ii nhi s N orfiiiN oil ar c.\p osid fru 5 ovy the iifiiiaiNh ion o Se NN in itidi huiAliN SohN n i (ilN il iN ANliii(ii Null Extractable Se, pag/g 0.0 0.001 0.002 0.003 0.004 0.005 0.006 0.007 0.008 0 inte plo lyrhonhasAhorizon . 10ii i 'ii 11iiNN iii NA iiii if fictied b flie applicationi iif Si. b crae ulste coninhledtrasoens.ih uconwer e ce ntration, ar gig sno 7 r tob oi-opansadatla 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 Applied selenium/acre, lb. Sc thaN tradi~itionailly heenl ai(iiii( il iets aN l]inlirl salts iatherl thian tii crops) throughiiliN IN11( S -o t iinig f'ii z~Si IN Aitl- thoug ]]lst eolinNl th 'iNc States i uty Sd(t IN their (tilit usN oN Ii in iiosp i l di t i( il N fialu i-lillral suplm nt ist icreasing Sci ishfteNnN- I'CcN pla1t gth tis stuN slug-lil l gstsi tat 11(liir Niifpici umtio I nsurei I Sc~ i~t rc Ii ]TNNTIar i t c fin htttIns andiu ai]]as ' TI dcT t u -i ni]]c fuifthsS ihTn ]ti]]ora I sIITINTaltue abnl Ne effectivN as the orgnicti H.W. KINNUCAN and D.A. WINEHOLT ARE CONDITIONS RIGHT FOR CATFISH MARKETING ORGANIZATION? MOST CATFISH produced in Alabama is sold to local pro- cessing plants. Because these plants tend to be large and are sometimes owned by large corporations or outside interests, catfish farmers often wonder if they are getting a fair price for their fish. This perceived lack of bar- gaining power has led Alabama's catfish farmers to consider the merits of selling fish collectively through some type of marketing association. There is no clear-cut answer to ques- tions about effectiveness of such a mar- keting arrangement for catfish. Results of Alabama Agricultural Experiment Sta- tion research indicate that the economic potential of such a venture in west Ala- bama hinges on two factors: (1) the abil- ity to control supply, and (2) the compet- itiveness of the market for live catfish. In considering supply control, it is well to remember that a marketing coopera- tive is similar to a cartel. The power of a cartel is governed by the availability of substitutes and the ability to control sup- ply. For example, the OPEC cartel was able to raise prices and extract large sums of money from oil-importing na- tions because homeowners and industry had few substitutes for oil (in the short run). Thus, OPEC was able to control a large portion of the world's supply of crude. In the long run, however, the market had alternative actions. High prices encouraged consumers to insulate houses, businesses to switch to alternate fuels, and industry to develop alternative sources of supply (from Alaska and else- where). Moreover, the high prices set by OPEC made it difficult to retain mem- bership in the cartel because, by leav- ing, a member could avoid production quotas that limited revenues. In short, the high prices encouraged added pro- duction by OPEC and non-OPEC na- tions alike, making it increasingly diffi- cult to maintain high prices. Findings of the Experiment Station study confirm that a marketing coopera- tive for catfish in west Alabama would face the same type difficulties as de- scribed for OPEC. To raise prices, the cooperative would need to restrict the supply of live fish available to local pro- cessors. Effective supply control would require (1) getting unanimous agree- ment among local producers to sell all fish through the cooperative, and (2) somehow insulating the market from supplies from other regions, especially Mississippi. Either condition would be hard to meet. Therefore, west Alabama producers would find a marketing coop- erative an ineffective way to raise prices above competitive levels for a sustained period. The competitiveness of markets in an area has a strong bearing on feasibility of a cooperative. If a catfish farmer has al- ternate markets available in case of poor prices at one, marketing options are available. Where the number of markets is limited, as in west Alabama, a market- ing cooperative may offer greater poten- tial. In this case, the advantage of the co- operative is directly proportional to the extent to which the single buyer would exercise monopoly power by lowering prices. It is not possible to determine empir- ically the exact magnitude of price de- cline that farmers may experience when a monopsonistic market replaces a com- petitive one. However, economic theory provides some limiting values. In partic- ular, the theory of monopsonistic (single buyer) markets indicates that the supply elasticity for catfish at the farm level is the key to how much a processor would cut price in the absence of competition. (Supply elasticity is defined as percent- age change in supply associated with a 1% change in price.) Three alternative estimates of the supply elasticity parameter for catfish, developed in the Experiment Station's ongoing catfish marketing study, are given in the table. The potential price re- ductions developed in a model based on these parameters are also given in the ta- ble. These estimates suggest a potential reduction in farm price of 11.7-35.0% due to the monopsonistic power that a single processor would hold. This would result in an annual loss of $0.6-$2.4 mil- lion in producer profits. A marketing cooperative under west Alabama conditions appears feasible if monopsony conditions hold. The prob- lem of supply control is reduced because Mississippi producers would not divert fish to the Alabama market when the processor pays less than the competitive price. Local producers, moreover, would have a greater incentive to join the co- operative. Without the bargaining power obtained from joining the coop- erative, they would be subject to price exploitation by the processor. Finally, the estimated losses in the table suggest a strong economic incentive to form a bargaining association. The pivotal factor in determining the economic feasibility of a marketing co- operative for west Alabama catfish pro- ducers is the competitiveness of the local market.If the farmer has several plants from which to choose a buyer for his fish, a cooperative would not be a viable mar- keting tool. If, on the other hand, the market for live fish is not competitive, as would be the case if there was only one plant in which to sell, a cooperative is a potentially viable method of increasing producer returns. Kinnucan is Assistant Professor of Agricultural Economics and Rural Sociology; Wineholt is an Ag- ricultural Economist with the USDA Agricultural Cooperative Service (formerly Graduate Research Assistant in Agricultural Economics at Auburn). Alabama Agricultural Experiment Station POTENTIAL REDUCTION IN THE FARM PRICE FOR CATFISH UNDER MONOPSONISTIC PRICING, WEST ALABAMA, 1983 PRICES Supply Competitive Monopsony Percent producers elasticity price/lb. price/lb. difference surplus (profit) Dol. Dol. Pct. Mil. dol. 1.86 .......................... 0.60 0.30 - 35.0 2.4 3.00 .......................... .60 .45 - 25.0 1.6 8.10...... ....... ........... .. 60 .53 -11.7 .6 10 C.E. BOYD NIGHTTIME POND AERATION BOOSTS CATFISH PRODUCTION ERATION IS an essential man- agement tool for the culture of channel catfish in ponds. Most farmers in Alabama use aera- tion when dissolved oxygen concentra- tions are less than 2 or 3 parts per million (p.p.m.) as an emergency measure to prevent fish mortality and reduce fish stress. Although emergency aeration is effective, fish are still subjected to low concentrations of dissolved oxygen and stress. An alternative aeration program is to operate electric aerators nightly during the period when dissolved oxygen concentrations normally are below 4 or 5 p.p.m. In late spring, summer, and early fall, dissolved oxygen concentrations often drop this low from midnight until soon after dawn. An experiment at the Alabama Agri- cultural Experiment Station compared the influence of emergency aeration and of nighttime aeration on water quality and fish production. In 1986, six ponds were stocked at 4,000 channel catfish per acre (moderate stocking rate) and fed a commercial feed. A maximum feeding rate of 47 lb. per acre per day was at- tained on July 21 and continued until fish were harvested on October 24. Emer- gency aeration was used a few times in three ponds when dissolved oxygen con- centrations were low. In the other three ponds, aeration was applied from mid- night until 6 a.m. every night between May 30 and October 12. The aeration rate was equivalent to 1.5 horsepower per acre of aeration with a highly effi- cient, floating, electric paddlewheel aer- ator. Aerators were turned on and off by timers. Dissolved oxygen concentrations at 6 a.m. were much higher in the ponds with nightly aeration than in the ponds with emergency aeration only, as shown in figure. The average dissolved oxygen concentration at 6 a.m. for all dates was 2.8 p.p.m. in emergency-aerated ponds and 4.5 p.p.m. in nightly aerated ponds. Harvest weight of fish in ponds with nighttime aeration averaged about 1,000 Nightly pond aeration resulted in higher levels of oxygen than use of emergency aeration. lb. per acre more than in ponds with emergency aeration, see table. The stocking and feeding rates were identical for the two treatments. Greater produc- tion in ponds with nighttime aeration re- sulted from a better feed conversion ratio (pounds of feed per pound of gain) in these ponds (1.32 as opposed to 1.75). FISH PRODUCTION UNDER NIGHTTIME AND EMERGENCY AERATION MANAGEMENT Aeration Variable Nighttime Emer- gency Fish stocked, no./acre.. 4,000 4,000 Fish harvested, no/acre 3,939 3,808 Harvest weight, lb./acre 4,288 3,258 Average weight/fish, lb. 1.09 0.86 Feed applied, lb./acre.. 5,550 5,550 Feed conversion rate' .. 1.32 1.75 'Pounds of feed applied per pound net fish production. Better feed conversion efficiency in ponds with nighttime aeration resulted from higher dissolved oxygen concentra- tions between midnight and dawn. An economic analysis of the data gave net returns to land, management, and equity capital of $696 per acre for ponds with nighttime aeration and $363 per acre for ponds with emergency aeration only. The experiment was repeated in 1987 and 1988 with similar results. Both years, feed conversion improved and fish production increased about 1,000 lb. per acre using nighttime aeration. There- fore, it appears that the use of modest stocking and feeding rates with night- time aeration is an excellent alternative means of producing channel catfish. Boyd is Professor of Fisheries and Allied Aqua- cultures. Alabama Agricultural Experiment Station 11 K.C. SANDERSON, W.C. MARTIN, JR., and J.W. DRANE BEST RED POINSETTIAS FOR ALABAMA IDENTIFIED IN RESEARCH ladling .floricuiltuiral crop, but tiIll, States NhIigh~ tl'iinitprii (N Nui ar IN out beNNi ht tolran aiiIl ihalit strong1 litera tI uchs si l~ii hot Iiiite nodc1 nd (it goo flal fbisp(Ilavi. A sh ort flmolcrc sI((o tiellii iiintlI (if IflNNr diN plIiNs, thle tull Ielv an (Id IO iil lclip- NIIajpl( strulctuies Nil!lolilicIm col(- lored IN es or brits is iN 101)0taut. Color, whJichr locsg f10o(1 Nrri NIlit to dfark r1dI Iis lso importaiit andi tii fade tioins For (olNlililli satisfaction, tilti- Nal' trust retini tutui (olor1 IcaNI, and brhacts wn placedjI1'iI iiterior cmN i1on- (lit i for Alabamiia, till InNwst Naui \1 ukkel) wir Ill N ,llitle for e1ig1ht 141ivv- 111 iANII seaon froii 19TH to 1986. IPIants Nw(i(r41IN grow in greenihousIis, with thle Cnin t roo4I (t((d li (tIN ini the finial poit. 11( lti. A NNikN f'Crtiliv~iu pr)1 a %h. v'asiNNi light iqulal to 6,001-t100 foiot canlheN and1 liii e o flo werii4 Ii (1111 l\inii :30%4 of tl( flowe'rs we(re sheding pl- Auugus~t 2(0 (4 p)er 7-iii. pot), anid August Flowing 11 tim ilhied~ atuini1 (culti- Na its shw bN daINNI u htai in the( tal(. (ut- bier1 V'-10 AiNn floNwered the (arilest iiakiiig it usNetil ini (arN NaiesN Nwhil( I". k, p 1n t Ic iNN\\ w I i i t, 1 fadhingi. Aninittc c 1 adN hiad dairk \ilos ll 11(1 fi h ad ti iritdied) briihthrei brct cIi p DaIIN I(rk~i Bcidlt I Igg obr gundV r( ing to brg red), Cuh\iuti cr41 V-(lott-(oerd et I Icggiliut ~aiiu~ it-( tpN(I.ell (ltiNg-e) Anntt Nlg NDiii ~ i ahi oranglit bick rci)N 1Nd( :Ainntte NN(igC To t ar (Id ) fi red).~ \ l i~Nht le (" N a~l\ t i I h- Clii u IN wldcd11 Bc1 Cuitbicr V-It, and AXiiitte I Iegg Brilliant D~iamuondl produiedl thi feNwest floNwer bra~ct dhisplays Ne plan)1~t: hi(INcN Cr, thir~i coilir hieight, iiid keepiiig iflilitN NNCIC Nsuperior tio (uticr~ V- 10 Amii. Selection o1 ,i (IltiNa wINill (lj)cIII oni theC growINNr'N nieds anid the needsi oii the iiio ket. Whiilc thiN Nthill\ cani billj gro'xN- N IIieticN iflfrilig increadN(( groIN'thi li- cicicN, p~lant atppearIan~ce, (uialitN and( isNas. and( pest r (NistanicC NNill con-i tinuel. Sanderson ii IN i-N si and( Nill tll is IN 1)1rie Be- Ft~ovt~ttst:'lyu:,Corot, Ilatar ' a iiN~vtl t P1 r N it~~ DItt~v or I~tnrovrt~ IN N I uN iia Annciitti I lig( B ilian DiKo~ ... NlIkk I t c r Bo hligi. .. . .. Anncittc I Icgg Dar )c d ...... Nlikkli Imio.( I o Id r - . .. .. Nuiiiic S li a ......... ......i.l Anncttcl I ItIgg. Sutprem ......r. Flow1rin Hai u gnd Bighti Biti fi ) iuig ltikut Brtight Nii N light 15.5 3.5 14.8 5.. 116 5.1 14.5 1.9 14.0) 5.0i 13.6 5 ).5 136 .1 1:3.2 3 13.0 1.9 12.4 5.2 12.2 1.1 12.1 1.(3 12.1 5.1 11.S 4.6 11.1 1.2 10.01 6.3 Altaoa A4ricult cral ltxperimeu'lt Station G.J. KEEVER and W.J. FOSTER NEW GROWTH RETARDANT EFFECTIVE ON FLORIST AZALEAS Al .~i Effects of growth re- tardant treatments on t Alaska (top) and Prize (bottom) azaleas. P'lats rae NN (ith dtinzd ON a c litlll tiia I t( I 'l (li EtA1011) iN S N(('il I I NN i dci c ittitar fi htI I iin li floris It N l loNN r o duct' i on 'l ' I'tj u''ti'(ei fion to promote(N Ilv u n t iai/tioin \ ~ a n dl(t ((NI' ill (cllid~ 104as t4 hooNts).('o(~ltN f)I ticft nti t. eflovn rv l e 2. \igl aloliliilI( sprlay of 0, 0f 100 15411( 211( Nf 0 an d :300 NN pN ((ih tii . fill ut pcr~ fillion)' i((1n tlN N it li f2 l IN 2.~t~ Al \p i n 'ti iiii NNINIia III' :t 000 piii.p m. rp atd 1 \c lit]. maei al.~' ii ppt i c14kato : as mad aol 6 '(-N grl 11ltNhousc 5 . ill8? and (12%( r i c tt-((11 i \ Ni i iN iu [tIili((t(( i yN I'l(i itlatc ( ll li)Iai' I I i i n'~'' i I tI 11 sM 1 tlHM iii 'lmivo,:00iplt littll tic t3.l0) p. p. m Pa( loht) til I /i .:30)) p. p. t . I )utuio itu' :3,0 01. .Ik II J \ M ' I)l S'tI','i' n ittt'l in. il i Prie 50) 1:3 55' Iti tip' -5' t 11 to - - 2.6 2-ti lhi u t ittttu 3tI 0l ) ) .ill. 2 6 2-I ).t iluti/i zotll) rap op itt 22 d 25 I)1).tlit. aplil 5't('N iii blite coo1lif and( 2f00 p.pf.mli. Nsprais Ner NN'' oslit ('fllu NI Itlilit I ('li'ii fliNNl Ni/i'. I )aniiiii - IihdcN.c esctitc ncotligb I it'l sh o n~Sit'tumber.ii itt I Ics hii nciu'i ast Iin ect r! I llnluuttn Al"i-icvtlthu-nl Expc 1-itilt, tit Station A, C.H. GILLIAM, C.L. BROWNE, J.O. DONALD, and R.L. SHUMACK BROILER LITTER A PROMISING AMENDMENT FOR BEDDING PLANT MEDIA T HE ALABAMA Poultry and Egg Association has identified broiler litter disposal as one of the major problems facing the poultry in- dustry in the coming decade. Alabama's broiler industry alone produces about 1.5 million tons of litter annually. With the anticipated expansion of the poultry industry in the Southeast, it is essential to evaluate all possible uses of broiler lit- ter so waste disposal problems do not hinder further growth in the broiler in- dustry. One promising area for using large quantities of broiler litter is the orna- mental industry, which also thrives in the Southeast. Nursery and greenhouse production now ranks first among agro- nomic crops in Alabama. The value of potting soil used in the Southeastern United States' ornamental horticultural industry has more than doubled in the past 5 years, increasing from about $100 million annually in 1982 to $250 million in 1987. Continued expansion of the pot- ting soil industry depends on the quan- tity and quality of ingredients used to manufacture the potting mix. Pine bark serves as the base for the traditional potting medium sold today. It is relatively inexpensive and free of dis- eases and other harmful organisms. More than half of the potting medium sold is composted pine bark with the re- mainder being noncomposted or fresh bark. Composted pine bark offers more nutritive value to the plants. Producers have expressed an interest in adding broiler litter to pine bark me- dium to enhance the composting process and the quality of the product. Fertilizer value of litter is indicated by analysis of broiler litter samples from Alabama that contained an average of 3% nitrogen (N), 2.8% phosphorus (P 2 0 5 ), and 1.7% potas- sium (K 2 0). Preliminary research conducted at the Alabama Agricultural Experiment Sta- tion has demonstrated that appropriate levels of broiler litter could increase the quality of pine bark medium. Fireball salvia and Bonnie Hybrid tomatoes were bedding plants used in the research. Seedlings of the two species were transplanted into flats with 36 cellpacks each on February 12, 1988. Three media were evaluated: 1 part broiler litter and 1 part pine bark; 2 parts broiler litter and 1 part pine bark; and Fafard Mix No. 3- B, a commercially available pine bark- base potting medium. The litter/pine bark combinations were allowed to com- post before they were applied to the plants. Fertilization consisted of weekly applications of 20-10-20 liquid fertilizer mixed to provide a concentration of 200 parts per million (p.p.m.) N. Plants were grown in a double-layer polyethyl- ene greenhouse with temperatures rang- ing from 65 to 80 0 ?F. When the study ended April 3, 1988, plants were rated on color, height, stem diameter (caliper), and dry weight. Both varieties responded well to broiler litter in the potting medium. Salvia dry weight increased by 5 and 14% with 1:1 and 2:1 broiler litter/pine bark media, respectively, compared to the commer- cial potting mix, as shown in the figure. Tomato dry weights increased by 13 and 16% with the respective broiler litter media compared to the commercial stan- dard. Fresh weight and height of both plants responded in a similar fashion to the dry weights. Caliper was not affected by any treatment. In addition to increased plant size, color of both species was improved when broiler litter was used as a medium amendment. This may result from the N in the broiler litter becoming slowly available during the test. While this test is preliminary in nature, it does indicate that use of broiler litter in ornamental potting medium may enhance the pot- ting medium and provide a means of lit- ter disposal. Gilliam is Associate Professor and Browne is Lab Tech II of Horticulture; Donald is Professor of Ag- ricultural Engineering; Shumack is Head of Hor- ticulture. Effects of broiler litter combinations on height, dry weight, and color of salvia and tomato va- rieties. Alabama Agricultural Experiment Station14 J.L. STALLINGS and R. HOPKINSON ALABAMA AGRICULTURE-2000 STYLE Trend Toward Fewer Farms, Less Land in Farms Expected to Continue ALABAMA AGRICULTURE seems headed for a future with fewer farms and less land in farms. Beef and poultry should hold their own or maybe even expand. Cotton and peanut acreages should at least maintain current levels, while wheat and grain sorghum may expand. Corn, hog, and dairy production will de- cline. That's the picture painted for the year 2000 by projections resulting from Ala- bama Agricultural Experiment Station research. These projections indicate a continuation of trends that led the State from its large numbers of farms and de- pendence on row crops in the 1800s to to- day's situation with fewer farms, more acreage devoted to pasture and forage for ruminant livestock, and a large, verti- cally integrated poultry industry. Information on specific farm enter- prises reported in the table came from a regional study in which the Experiment Station cooperated. The study ad- dressed such things as consumption of grains by livestock and poultry opera- tions to project grain deficits in Alabama and the need for transportation, storage, and processing facilities. Making projections for more than a short time in the future is inexact be- cause conditions affecting supply and de- mand, new technology, and other un- foreseen events can make the projections inaccurate. For example, one set of pro- jections made in 1978, just before soy- bean acreage peaked in Alabama and began its dramatic downturn, greatly over-estimated acreage during the last few years. Therefore, such projections typically carry the wording "assuming present trends will continue." Projections in the table were made us- ing a combination of several methods. Five types of frequently used projection equations were fitted to data from 1960 to the present for acres harvested, yield, production, and percent of U. S. produc- tion for crops and to production or num- bers and percent of U.S. production for livestock and poul- try. The best-fitting equation was cho- sen in each case and projections were made to the year 2000. Horticultural crops are not in- cluded in these pro- jections. Based on these projections, there is little doubt that number of farms and land in farms in Alabama will con- tinue to decline. Of the cropland har- vested, hay land is expected to remain steady or increase slightly. The beef industry, the main user of this hay land, is expected to increase to about a million cows by the year 2000. SELECTED ASPECTS OF ALABAMA AGRICULTURE, 1960, 1975, 1987, AND PROJECTED TO 2000 Item and unit Quantity, by year 1960 1975 1987 2000 Number of farms and land in farms Farms, number ................ - 63,000 49,000 44,000 Land in farms, thou. acres ....... 13,400 11,000 10,000 Crops harvested and cropland Hay, thou. acres ............... 521 630 700 750 Soybeans, thou. acres ........... 135 1,260 480 560 Cotton, thou. acress..............860 370 333 400 Peanuts, thou. acres............. 187 202 220 230 Wheat, thou. acres ............. 48 110 170 270 Grain sorghum, thou. acres ...... 20 33 40 52 Corn, thou. acres ............... 1,705 660 250 140 Other crops, thou. acres......... 161 76 68 Total cropland, thou. acres ...... - 3,426 2,269 2,470 Yields per harvested acre Hay, tons/acre ................. 1.13 1.80 2.10 1.88 Soybeans, bu./acre..............24.0 24.5 16.5 23.0 Cotton, lb./acre ................ 421 405 572 600 Peanuts, lb./acre ............... .1,130 2,600 2,115 2,800 Wheat, bu./acre ................ 25.0 24.0 31.0 37.0 Grain sorghum, bu./acre ......... 24.0 37.0 48.0 50.0 Corn, bu./acre ................. . 26.0 50.0 72.0 71.4 Crop production Hay, thou. tons ................ 588 1,134 1,470 1,410 Soybeans, thou. bu.............. 3,240 30,870 7,900 12,880 Cotton, thou. bales .............. 756 312 397 500 Peanuts, thou. lb ............... 211,310 525,200 465,300 644,000 Wheat, thou. bu ................ 1,200 2,640 5,270 10,000 Grain sorghum, thou. bu........ 480 1,221 1,900 2,600 Corn, thou. bu ................. 44,330 33,000 18,000 10,000 Livestock and poultry Broilers raised, thou. ........... 176,654 395,769 666,538 780,000 Hens and pullets Jan. 1, thou..... 6,614 12,538 11,400 10,920 Beef cows Jan. 1, thou ........... - 1,238 862 1,000 Pig crop, thou. head ............ 1,596 1,207 615 400 Horses, mules, ponies, thou ... . 100 154 193 200 Milk cows Jan. 1, thou. ......... - 92 43 20 Soybeans will continue to be an im- portant crop, but probably will not soon reach the peak acreage of 2.15 million acres recorded in 1979. Instead, acreage is projected at about 560,000. This will produce about 12.9 million bu., far short of the almost 41 million bu. crushed in Alabama plants in 1985. Thus, continued imports will be required if this level of crushing is to continue. Cotton and peanut crops are difficult to project without knowledge of future government programs. The best esti- mate for cotton is that the declining acreage will level off and possibly in- crease slightly. Peanut acreage has been somewhat erratic since 1979, and the projection of 230,000 acres is highly un- certain. Wheat and grain sorghum acreage should show increases by 2000. Alabama's broiler industry is expected to continue its expansion, thereby using large quantities of imported corn and soybeans. Hens and pullets should also continue at a high level. Horses, mules, and ponies are hobby enterprises, but significant users of grain and pasture. Numbers are expected to show contin- ued expansion. There is little doubt that the swine and dairy industries will con- tinue to decline. Stallings is Associate Professor and Hopkinson is Graduate Research Assistant in Agricultural Eco- nomics and Rural Sociology. Alabama Agricultural Experiment Station 15 \lA I\'( . if II I \I\I ( K Iii I s f llX st11p i l. in i I Ig l m It(.. \hi It thiN ruiiII nII beli thugh1 t (iif IN tlatinig min(ilI toi XX hf I it iN list IN a ic l e I t'l l i X in1 g thie Ibt tlt agltinl~ NIc Itall eniii asI pecan I N itd scaiibi.l Initai n abou tinin (tNca devliimtntIiI aIInX cmt firm l cndi-at tionsi relitir XI \o thl fis aspl-casini g Iugu iis crdliit IicXX to vlt pn IININI(lIX Ibi) t D t a111i If tt 't it Iicab'N dlop s N~ it 41 tIiIiN need IiXr sucssu ' tIIII of,' te n scila i il I tli'XX b~t'litii ai it 3 ici tld itiitiit IX I In'tiiiii IIIXX Nii i i w ~ ttl fic I ett discs XwIII exciNsed froiii each of lhen at I2 -hoiiir inlterlsX tliuigh 96 lionr tilN ( finiallX at 2 I-ho111r inlterXaIN thrunh 24 ht)liilis. llt d~iscs wXIII pro- dfttlillintilat111s2/o the fintiii frmpcntisa su 1 el and1 molt d p11rma(1 V ofo r ito hadtl NgtNut iiitc n tioii% ai(f tif tsitof ALABAMA AGRICULTURAL EXPERIMENT STATION AUBURN UNIVERSITY AUBURN UNIVERSITY, ALABAMA 36849-5403 Lowe/f T Frobtsh. Director POSTMASTER-Address Correction Requested urgedand l l lhc 1)01Ii~iint 2I lilt. After 1-1t-10hours, i pale ,[(I\ 0X tll XXa IN crc ne~I '( lar he end11 ol tattl finger-'like p)1- lak brlown bulbous11)1 termllinial 1(101)1)01 ( hatd ra ptured1( the IIi iNNof iX jnli l aboN( hu (tiblbous celill.~~tNta *i .3Spor1 a 73.Ition beanul IG Nhoursil 111 J11X te linocu:3latllNif liiI' X INbclit- lalil X mats ofX NX tt111' philact suc- N i cnl litaused1 ((~l il till I iiuia- j~i( N leii n (fI t atick dark ~lke-t~ ftIri firct tiitaNlillt prduce ito I(ra~ co ida 'Ibi to t or NON-PROFIT ORG. POSTAGE & FEES PAID PERMIT No. 9 AUBURN, ALA.