531~s Agricultural Economics Series 3 Optimum Farm March 1964 Organization and Aggregate Area Production Wiregrass Area, Alabama AGRICULTURAL EXPERIMENT STATION OF AUBURN UNIVERSITY E. V. Smith, Director Auburn, Alabama In cooperation with FARM PRODUCTION ECONOMICS DIVISION ECONOMICS RESEARCH SERVICE U. S. DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE This is the eighth in a series of public~ations which have been developed from the Southern Regional farm Management Research Project - and from Alabama Agricultural Kxperiment Station Project Ala-118, These reports, published by the Agricultural Experi ent Station of Auburn University in cooperation with the Farm Productiorn Economics Division, Economic Research Serv ice, U, S. Department of Agriculture, are as fllows: Costs an oRe.turns from Poultry Production n tre Limestone Valley Areas of Alabama. January 196 0 Cot a_ d 5 .stn fcc: n' Cp Productio in the Limes .:ne Valley Areas of Alaoama, February 1960, Costs and n~eouns r~om Livocstook Productionr in the Li restone Valle Ara n Alabama. December 19,6 Csts and Returns from Crop Production in the Wiregrass Area Lorwer Cloastal Plains), Alabamna. Augus 1961, Costs and Returns from i estoc Prcodction in the Wiregrass Area (Lower Coastal Plain, Alabama. December 1961, Optimum Farm Organization and Aggregate Area Production, Limestone Valley Areas, Al abama, Agricultural Economics Series 1. Junre 1963, Agre gate Area prod :oti., liestone Valley Areas, Georgia and Tennessee, (A. Supplement to Agricultural Eoomics Series 1). Copies of We_, reports are available upo: req.es t from the Department of i-. iu 'ral rocnomis, Auburn Unversity, Auburn, Alabama. Acknowledgement The study, upon which this publication is based, is part of a Regional Research Project S-)42, "An Economic Appraisal of Farming Adjustment Opportunities in the Southern Region to Meet Changing Conditions." This Regional Project is financed in part from Research and Marketing Act funds. It is a cooperative effort of the Departments of Agricultural Economics of the following State Agricultural Experiment Stations: Alabama, Arkansas, Georgia, Kentucky, Louisiana, Mississippi, North Carolina, Oklahoma, South Carolina, Tennessee, Texas, and Virginia; and the Farm Production Economics Division, Economic Research Service, United States Department of Agriculture. Dr. John W. White, Vice-President for Agriculture, University of Arkansas, is the administrative advisor, and Dr. James H. White, University of Arkansas, is chairman of the Regional Committee. The Southern Farm Management Research Committee, sponsored by the Farm Foundation and the Southern Agricultural Experiment Stations, was helpful in the development of this Regional Project. The overall purposes of this project are (1) to provide guides to farmers when choosing among alternative production opportunities, especially as those opportunities are affected by changes in prices and technology, and (2) to provide guides to persons engaged in developing and administering public agricultural programs. TABLE OF CONTENTS SUMMARY. . ........ INTRODUCTION ...... AREA OF STUDY.. PROCEDURE. ......... GENERAL ASSUMPTIONS . . . Land Capability...... Enterprises Considered Enterprise Budgets Prices Allotments Labor. . ...... Capital... .. .. .. .. Representative Farms OPTIMUM ORGANIZATIONS FOR R SalFr Medium Farm... . ...... Large Farm Extra Large Farm , . ., ..N .TV FR EPREENTAIVE ARM Comparison of Responses for Different AGGREGATE AREA SUPPLY RESPONSE . . . Aggregation Models Model one............. Model two............ mn Size Groups, Farm Size Distributions ........ e " " " " " r 1 3 7 9 9 10 11 13 14 '9 20 20 27 32 39 h6 " " " " " " ~~~ " " " " " * f e e 0 * * s o # * * o f 52 TABLE OF CONTENTS (continued) The Aggregates . . .. , , 0 . , c o , ? a , 0 0, 0 o, Model one aggregates .O . . . . O. . 0Co. . . 054 M o d e l t w o a g g r e g a t e s . , a . , a . . O . . . v . .v . , .5 40 APPENDIX . .0 . . 0 . . 0 . 0 .. 0 00 . . 6 . . . .0. 0. . . . 63 Summary Four representative farm sizes in the Wiregrass Area of Alabama were studied under assumed conditions of estimated free market prices, no production controls, and improved production technology. Budgets were prepared for each size of farm and linear programming procedures were used to select the optimum combination of enterprises. Three sets of programs were computed. The first set included selling Coastal bermudagrass hay and purchasing corn as alternatives; the second ex- cluded selling hay; and the third excluded both selling hay and buying corn. In all cases peanuts came into the optimum program at the maximum allowed by an agronomic restriction. Cotton was a strong competitor for resources, and the same was true of Coastal bermudagrass hay on the two larger size farms. However, Coastal was not competitive on the smaller farms that were too small to support ownership of hay- making equipment. When Coastal was eliminated either arbitrarily or because of high custom harvesting costs, the plowable open land unsuitable for row crops was used for oats, and the nonplowable open land was either used for hay and pasture for cattle or left idle. Corn was usually purchased and more livestock entered the optimum program. When corn buying was eliminated, livestock numbers declined. However, this reduction in livestock numbers had only a small effect on net returns. The effect of changing cotton prices was studied using the situation where both Coastal selling and corn buying were eliminated. Cotton prices were varied from h0 per cent below to ho per cent above the 25-cent base price. With peanuts at base prices, all high-yield 2 cotton entered the optimum plans at cotton prices between 17.8 and 21.3 cents per pound. Medium-yield cotton entered the plans in two groups: (1) that which replaced feed crops for steers and hogs, and (2) that which replaced peanuts. Medium-yield cotton replaced feed crops at cotton prices between 21.h to 23.3 cents, and it replaced peanuts at prices between 31.0 and 32.0 cents per pound. Low-yield cotton replaced additional peanuts at prices between 35.0 and 37.1 cents per pound. Reducing or raising peanut prices by 30 per cent, respectively, lowered or raised the cotton price at which cotton replaced peanuts. Cotton price was then held constant at base price and peanut prices were varied from 40 per cent below to hO per cent above the $160-per-ton base price. Peanuts replaced feed grains at peanut prices between $100.32 and $11h.80 per ton. Part of the medium-yield cotton was replaced at peanut prices ranging from $115.h3 to $125.h6 per ton. Rotational restrictions on peanuts prevented further competition with cotton. Weights were developed for each representative farm size reflect- ing the acreage in the respective size class. These were used to estimate aggregate area production for 20 different peanut and cotton price situations. Normative, partial-equilibrium supply curves for cotton and peanuts were constructed from the aggregates. These curves demonstrate very high supply elasticities for cotton up to the point where it begins to compete with peanuts for land. The peanut supply curves show that peanut production increases from none to the assumed agronomic maximum within a very small range of peanut prices. This range is far below the assumed base price for peanuts. Thus, peanuts seem to be a more profitable enterprise than cotton at base prices. OPTIMUM FARM ORGANIZATION AND AGGREGATE AREA PRODUCTION, WIREGRASS AREA (Lower Coastal Plains), ALABAMA" Earl J. Partenheimer and P. L. Strickland, Jr. - Introduction The comparative economic advantage of different areas in the production of various farm products changes as farm technology and economic conditions change. Questions repeatedly raised by farmers and agricultural workers indicate a need for economic information to guide them in adjusting to technological and economic changes. Some of these questions concern the relative returns from various enter- prises and enterprise combinations for particular farm resource situations. Other questions concern the kinds and quantities of resources needed for various enterprises and enterprise combinations. Answers to these questions should help public agencies and farm organizations concerned with agricultural policy problems and assist State and Federal agencies in administering agricultural programs. Adjustments that will pay any one farmer to make depend upon actions taken by competing farmers. This interpendence of profitable actions makes it essential to know the nature and extent to which various individual adjustments, when taken as a whole, would affect -The research reported herein was conducted under Alabama Agricultural Experiment Station Project Ala-118. The Alabama project is a contributing project to the Regional Research Project S-h2, "An Economic Appraisal of Farming Adjustment Opportunities to Meet Changing Conditions in the Southern Region." -*Associate Professor, Alabama Agricultural Experiment Station, Auburn University, and Agricultural Economist, Farm Production Economics Division, Economic Research Service, United States Department of Agriculture, respectively. 4 production, price, and therefore the ultimate profitability of individual adjustments. The specific objectives of this study are: (a) to determine the most profitable combinations of enterprises for several selected resource situations under a range of product prices, and (b) to determine aggregate production for the Wiregrass Areas of Alabama under these price and resource situations, Area of Study The area of study comprises the southeastern portion of the Lower Coastal Plain and includes 12 counties (Figure 1). The eastern two- thirds of the region, often referred to as the Wiregrass Area, is largely a nearly level to rolling plain with a rougher area along its northern rim. The western third of the region has slightly rougher topography and a larger proportion of the land is in forest. Soils vary from light to medium in texture. Average annual precipitation varies from 52 to 58 inches, but late spring and fall months are often relatively dry. High evapotranspiration rates and the low water-holding capacity of the soil cause frequent damaging droughts. The 1959 Census of Agriculture reported 20,095 farms within the study area (Table 1). Nearly two-thirds of these farms had less than 50 acres of cropland harvested, However, 80 per cent of the harvested cropland was on farms where 50 or more acres of crops were harvested. The 1959 census also indicated that there were 988,716 acres of cropland harvested in the 12 county area. Alabama Crop and Livestock Reporting Service estimates indicate that 60 per cent of this acreage Figure 1, Location of~ the Area of7 Study 6 Table I. Estimated Distribution of Farms by Total Land, Cropland Harvested, and Economic Class, Wiregrass Area, Alabama, 1959"& Item Number Total land class Less than 10 acres 10 to 49 acres , 50 to 99 acres , , ,. 100 to 179 acres. 180 to 259 acres, 260 to 499 acres ., 500 to 999 acres , 1,000 acres and over Total ,.,. e 49 . Cropland harvested N one ". . a. 0 a . *. ,a ,0 ,. . , . .. . 0 1 to 9 acres ,. *0000 . .. o 10 to 49 acres .0 0 00. " *. *. 50 to 99 acres... .. * * 0"* , 200 tohL99 acres . . 0. ..... 500 to 999 acres . 0 , ,f,0,. 0" O 1,000 acres and over ,0. .* . ,.0 Total .0 . .0 0 0 * 0* 0 . t . ., . 5,'298 )*4,628 . ). *** 4280 . 1, 924 1,803 * * * * 718 * * * * 373 o e e o . 20, 095 * e .s.e 0 2, 940 o 0 o e " 2,351 " o o e B 7,900 o e o e 0 4,9176 e 0 A , e 2,126 o s " e 0 559 * " 0 0 0 37 * 0 0 0 0 609 9 o ** .2009 Economic class Class I, Class II- Class III Class IV, Class V., Class VI, Part-time Semi -retired Total.,. . ........ ........... 'Source: 1959 Census of Agriculture. *0 Differences in total number of farms is due to sampling error. 71 296 880 2,091 3, 712 4,381 5,553 3,084. 2 0,0o68& A _- - , 1 0 e o " 7 was in corn, 15 per cent in cotton, and 19 per cent in peanuts (Table 2). Five-year (1957-61) average yields per harvested acre were 29.5 bushels of corn, 3h7 pounds of lint cotton, and 966 pounds of peanuts. The only major livestock enterprises in the area were beef cows and hogs. Hogs were more prevalent in the Wiregrass proper, and the western fringe area had relatively more cattle. Generally, quality of breeding stock was poor in both enterprises. Litters were small and hogs were often sold at lighter weights than in other areas. Calf weaning weights were also low. Procedure The wide diversity of resources on Wiregrass farms creates an opportunity for a variety of farm adjustment alternatives. It was impractical to investigate each of these situations. Instead, farms were divided into four size groups and a representative situation was selected for each group. Linear programming techniques were used to determine the optimum combinations of enterprises for each representa- tive situation with selected alternatives, product prices, and resource situations. These investigations were made for individual farm adjustments without considering the aggregate effect of such adjustments. Adjustment opportunities that are profitable for an individual may become less profitable when a large number of individuals take the same action. It is desirable to determine the aggregate effect of the adjustment alternativs. The optimum programs for each representative farm situation were expanded to the total acreage 8 Table 2. Estimated Production of Major Agricultural Commodities, Wiregrass Area, Alabama, 1959" Item Amount Crops: Corn for grain: Acres harvested Bushels harvested . . Corn for silage and hogging off: Acres harvested. a*.e Cotton: Acres harvesteda...... ..... Bales (L80 pounds of lint) harvested Peanuts: Acres harvested . a Tons harvested . 00 0.0 a Livestock on hand January 1, 1960: All cattle other than milk cows . ., Milk cows e a a . , * . * . *. * * Hogs 0 . . e e 0 a 0.0 0.a* .. .. " . e e )41plol0 " e s 3l,'804, 000 172,900 150, 050 102,030 189, 900 77, 83)4. 239, 600 33, 600 2453, 600 "Source: "Alabama Agricultural Statistics" Alabama Crop and Livestock Reporting Service, July 1962. "I~7ncludes cows kept to produce milk for home consumption, -- 0 O f f 1 f I f I f crop and livestock production, and total resource use for the area. Aggregations were made assuming that all the included land base would be adjusted to the optimum farm organizations. Further aggregations were made assuming that specified portions of the included land base did not adjust to the optimum organizations, General Assumptions Land Capability Classification of land capabilities were based on the Soil Conservation Service land use capability classes. All Classes I and II cropland and pasture were considered suitable for continuous use for row crops. It was further assumed that Classes IlIe and IIIw could be used for row crops one half of the time. Thus, in the programming model row crops must not exceed the total acreage of Class I, Class II, and 1 of Classes IIIe and IIIw. The remaining Class III land was classified as plowable open land but it could be used only for close-growing crops. Class IV land was classified as nonplowable open land and its use was limited to permanent sod crops such as Coastal bermudagrass. Estimates of the acreage in each of these classes which are currently being used for cropland or pasture were obtained from SCS data.I/ Using these estimates and the above definition, 58 per cent of the total open land was classified as row cropland, 28 per cent as plowable land suitable only for close-growing crops, and lh per cent as nonplowable open land. 1/Alabama Conservation Needs Committee, Alabama Soil and Water Conservation Needs Inventory, State Soil Conservation Committee, 1961. 10 Enterprises Considered The enterprises considered for the programming model included cotton, peanuts, corn, oats, grain sorghum, oats and grain sorghum double-cropped, soybeans, wheat, Coastal bermudagrass hay, beef cows, feeder steers, and hogs. Poultry enterprises were not considered since they do not compete for land. They could be added to any organization if sufficient labor and capital were available. Several enterprises were eliminated because of institutional, resource, or market restrictions. Entrance into Grade A milk pro- duction is severely restricted by the existing institutional framework, Fruit, nut, and vegetable production were eliminated because of the limited market for these products. These enterprises could be very profitable for an individual farmer, but if a large number of farmers were to enter these activities their profitability would decrease. Also, other areas appear to have physical and management resources that are better adapted to the production of fruits, nuts, and vegetables. Optimum farm plans were computed considering all of the activities stated above. In the aggregate, these farm plans included much more Coastal bermudagrass hay than could be utilized in the Wiregrass and surrounding areas. A second set of optimum farm plans were computed with Coastal limited to that used on the farm on which it was produced. To further limit adjustment alternatives to land based activities, a third set of farm plans was developed with corn-buying eliminated, 11 Enterprise Budgets Input-output budgets had previously been developed and published for the major enterprises of the area for both existing and improved management practices.2/ The budgets assuming the use of the best available technology and a high level of managerial ability were used in this study. These budgets were modified by using the assumed prices for this study and by using machinery coefficients fitted to the size of farm under consideration. Row cropland classified as having poor drainage (Classes 11w and IIIw) was considered as not suitable for cotton production. Eliminat- ing this land restricted cotton production to 9h per cent of the row cropland. Class I soils with good management should produce continuous cotton without reduction in yield. Class IIe soils should produce the same yields as Class I soils if planted in 1-I rotation. However, if Class II soils are planted continuously to cotton, there would be some reduction in yield. Therefore, 46 per cent (all of Class I and one half of Class IIe) of the row cropland was programmed with cotton yields of 625 pounds of lint per acre. The other one half of Class lie land and all of Class lls (30 per cent of all row cropland) was programmed at 575 pounds of lint per acre. Yields of 500 pounds of lint per acre were used for the Class ile land, which accounted for 15 per cent of the row cropland. j See Clark, George W., and Partenheimer, Earl J., Costs and Returns from Crop Production in the Wiregrass Area, Lower Coastal Plains, Alabama, Alabama Agricultural Experiment Station in cooperation with Farm Economics Division, ERS, USDA, August, 1961; and Partenheimer, Earl J., and Clark, George W., Costs and Returns from Livestock Production in the Wiregrass Area, Lower Coastal Plains, Alabama, Alabama Agricultural Experiment Station in cooperation with Farm Economics Division, ERS, USDA, December, 1961. 12 Continuous planting of peanuts on the same acreage leads to disease and nematode infestations which seriously limit yields. Thus, peanuts could be planted on the same land only one year in three if the 2,000-pound yield is to be attained. A second peanut budget was based on a two-year rotation. Planting peanuts on the same land every other year would decrease yield approxi- mately 300 pounds per acre as compared with that of a one year in three rotation. To get one additional acre of peanuts per year after one- third of the row cropland was in peanuts,three acres would have to be converted to a one-in-two rotation. Thus, the yield on the second peanut budget was reduced to 1100 pounds per acre ,000 - (3 x 300 . However, the one year in two peanut rotation did not enter the optimum programs even with peanut price at 40 per cent above base. For crops other than cotton, the yields used were: 5 bushels per acre for corn; 60 bushels per acre for oats; h0 bushels per acre for grain sorghum; 5.0 tons per acre for Coastal bermudagrass hay; 28 bushels per acre for wheat; and 22 bushels per acre for soybeans, Livestock production rates were a 90 per cent calf crop for beef cows, and an average of 8 pigs per litter raised to market weight. In the case of hogs and beef cows, replacement gilts and heifers were subtracted from production. Market hogs were sold at a weight of 210 pounds and fat calves were sold at x75 pounds. Steers were purchased at h00 pounds and sold at 1,0l pounds less 36 per cent shrinkage. Included in the livestock budgets were 1.15 acres of pasture per sow; 0.836 acre of pasture, hay, and corn silage per steer; l.h6 acres of pasture and 1.26 tons of hay per cow in beef-cow budgets. The steer pasture and hay land produced an excess of 20.7 tons of hay which was either sold or fed 13 to beef cows. No land was double-cropped except for the oats-grain sorghum rotation which did not enter the programs. Hogs were the only livestock enterprise considered on the small farms. Even if all resources on a farm of this size were devoted to production of any of the other livestock enterprises, an efficient- size operation could not be attained. Likewise, the beef-cow enterprise was not considered on the medium-size farm. The large and extra large farms had sufficient acreage so that all livestock enter- prises could be considered. Since some of the open land acreage was specified to be suitable only for hay production and pasture for beef enterprises, this acreage became idle open land when no such enterprises entered the optimum program. This always occurred on the small farms and occasionally on medium-size farms. Similarly, other acreages were specified as usable only for close-growing crops. This land was always used, but occasionally it was planted to sod crops. Row cropland was always planted to row crops. Prices The base product prices used in the analysis were estimated to represent assumed prices in a "free" market economy under conditions of full employment.2/ Specifically, they were the market prices that would be expected to exist in 1975 if all marketing controls and 3/The base prices were determined cooperatively by members of the S-h2 Technical Committee. This committee is composed of representa- tives from each of the 12 State Experiment Stations cooperating and from the Economic Research Service, USDA. The basic price assumptions were used in each cooperating state, but modifications were made by each State to reflect normal transportation and quality differentials. 1)4 price supports were removed from agricultural production within the next few years. Except for labor, the input prices were at or near 1959 levels (Table 3). Base product prices varied considerably from 1959 levels (Table )4). Optimum programs were computed only at base product prices for the situations where corn-buying was permitted, and where both corn purchases and hay sales were permitted. With corn-buying and hay sales excluded, the effects of several price changes were investigates. Optimum programs were computed for all prices of cotton from 40 per cent below to 40 per cent above base price, with peanuts held constant at base price. This process was repeated with peanuts at 30 per cent below and at 30 per cent above base price. Similarly, cotton was held at its base price and the optimum programs were determined for all prices of peanuts between 40 per cent below base and 40 per cent above base. Allotments With the assumption of "free" market prices as base prices, no production control or acreage allotments were used in the analysis. Labor It was assumed that most operations on the farm would be performed by resident labor, the operator or full-time hired men, Seasonal labor would be hired for such tasks as filling fertilizer distributors and hauling hay. All crops were assumed to be mechanically harvested and on the smaller farms this harvesting was assumed to be a custom operation. The resident labor supply was calculated in units of one man year- round. The part-time resident labor supply consisted of an operator who worked full time off the farm and ooerated the farm after work hours Table 3. Assumed Input Prices, Wiregrass Area, Alabama Item Unit Price Feeds and feed additives Corn ............. .... Bushel $ 1.25 Cottonseed meal (41%)......... ... Cwt, 3.60 Neat and bone scraps (50%) ......... Cwt500 Soybean oil meal (44%) ........... Cw. 4.00 Alfalfa leaf meal (17%)............ Cwt4.10 Wheat middlings. ......... Cwt. 4 Commercial creep feed for hogs . . Cwt, 4.7$ Dicalcium phosphate. ,................Cwt. 4.00 Salt, loose............ Cwt180 Swine formula. ... Cwt, 2.80 $0 lb. blocks (mineralized)..........Block Antibiotic for hogs.......Pound90 Vitamin mixture for hogs .......Pound40 Livestock Feeder calves... Cwt. $ 23.00 Bull ................. Head 600.,00 Boar..............., Head 10000 Seed Cotton.Pound $ 0.11- Peanuts............Pound .26 Corn..Pound.17 Grain sorghum...... ... Pound19 Oats... ... ...... Bushel 1,50 Wheat.................... Bushel 4.2$ Rye.......................Bushel 4.00 Vetch.Pound .20 Millet . . Pound .14 Coastal bermuda stolons........Bushel 650 Fertilizer 4-12-12 ... . . .. . . . Cwt. $ 1.90 0-10-20..................Cwt. 1.70 0-20-20.................Cwt. 2.35 Arnmonium nitrate.............Cwt. 3.80 Pesticides 4-2 Toaphene, DDT..............Gallon $ 2.80 16 Table 3 (Continued) Item Unit Price Custom work Drilling and fertilizing small grain . . Acre $ 0.0 Applying lime (includes materials). . . Ton 7.75 Applying fertilizer. . . . . . . . Acre 1,00 Picking cotton (machine) . . . . . . Pound .06 Ginning cotton (includes bagging and ties). . ,.......... . Bale 13.00 Defoliant application by plane (does not include materials) . . . , . . Pound .06 Digging and shaking peanuts..... ... .. Acre 3.50 Combining and hauling peanuts . .. . Ton 2000 Drying peanuts ..... ....... Ton 10.00 Picking corn ..... .............. .Acre 6.00 Combining small grain . . . . . . Acre 6.00 Cutting silage . . . . ......... Ton 1.00 Shelling corn . . . . . . . . . . Bushel ,50 Mixing feed , . ............. Cwt. .10 Grinding and mixing feed ........... .Cwt. .30 Hauling livestock ........... Cwt. .25 Miscellaneous Seasonal labor .. ........... Hour $ 0.90 Stilbestrol implants . . . . . . . . . . Head .07 Cotton defoliant , . . . . .. . . . Pound .07 17 Table 4. Assumed Product Prices, Wiregrass Area, Alabama Product Unit Base price Cotton... ..... Cottonseed . .. . . . Peanuts i Corn.....".". . Corn........ . . . .. . Oats s " s s " heat" Coastal hay ....... . .. Soybeans .".".. . .. ." Grain sorghum ...... . .. Fat calves ...... . .. F at steers ..... . . . . Cull cows . " " .... C I1bulls............. Slaughter gilts and barrows Sows r. .. .. . Boars .. , . .. .. Cwt. Ton Ton Bushel Bushel Bushel Ton Bushel Bushel Cwt, Cwt. Cwt, Cwt. Cam. Cwt., Cwt, $ 25,00* 50 .00 160. 00 1.10 1. 25 21, 00 2,*00 1.,05 22.00 23.00 15,.00 18.00 14.50o 11.00 5,.00 *7This price is for machine picked cotton and compares with a price of $26.00 per hundredweight for hand picked cotton. ~This price was reduced to $18.90 in programming to allow for 10 per cent weather damage. r " 18 and on Saturday. A one-man labor supply consisted of a full-time owner- operator. The two-man supply was one full-time owner-operator and a full-time hired man. Ten per cent of the operator's time was assumed to be used to supervise the hired man. The monthly distributions for these situations are presented in Table 5. Capital Capital was divided into operating and investment capital. Operat- ing capital is the money used to purchase items normally used in one production period, such as fertilizer, feed, seed, and seasonal labor. Investment capital is the amount of money tied up in resources used for more than one production period. Examples are machinery, storage facilities, buildings for livestock, livestock equipment, breeding herds, and land. However, land was not included in the investment capital figures in this publication since returns were figured as the net returns to resident labor, management, and land, Table 5,. Monthly Distribution of Resident Labor for Specified Labor Forces, Wiregrass Area, Alabama MonthLabor force Month Part-time man One man Two men Hours Hours Hours January . . .. ... . . . ... 35 206 391 February. . . . . . . . . . . 30 19h 369 March .......... ,....... 0 239 h April ................. 39 231 )39 May ............... 66 266 505 June. ........ . . . . . 6L 297 h88 July ........... . . . 6 257 h88 August ............. 66 266 300 September ........ . . . . . 6 297 h88 October .............. . 0 239 November .. ....... . . . .. 33 199 378 December ......... . ... 39 206 391 Total .... . . . . . 76 2,817 5, 30 19 Operating capital estimates were computed on the basis of the length of time the funds were used. Time is expressed as a fraction of a year. For example, $12 worth of nitrogen applied 4 months before harvest would add $h ($12 times 1/3) to operating capital. No additions were made to operating capital if substantial returns occurred within 30 days after incurring an expense. Thus, harvesting costs were not included in operating capital. Investment capital, as used in this report, is the average value over] he life of an input, and not a new cost. For example, a fence that costs $1,000 to build was considered as $500 of investment capital, since this is the average value of the fence over its useful life. Interest at 6 per cent on both operating and investment capital (other than investment in land) is included as an expense in the optimum farm plans, regardless of whether the capital is owned or borrowed. Representative Farms The farms of the area were classified into five major groups according to size (cropland plus open pasture). One of these groups, 0 to 9.9 acres of open land, was considered as nonfarm rural residences. They were not considered in the study. A representative farm was selected for each of the other four groups, (Table 6). The classifications and representative farms were determined from a 10 per cent sample of the Agricultural Stabilization and Conservation Service farm records in the area. 20 Table 6. Farm Size Groups, Representative Farm Sizes, Wiregrass Area, Alabama Size group Acreage on (acres of open land) representative farms Open Plowable Row crop Nonfarm (0 to 9.9) ....... , Small (10 to 49.9) . ... . . . . 31 26.6 17.9 Medium (50 to 149) ., . . . . . . 81 69.5 46.7 Large (150 to 249) . . . . . . 18h 157.9 106.1 Extra large (250 and over) .. . 438 37.8 22.6 -Farms with less than 10 acres of open land considered as rural residences. OPTIMUM ORGANIZATIONS FOR REPRESENTATIVE FARS The organization of individual farms is determined by personal preferences and the availability of resources as well as potential profits. However, the use in this study of the term "optimum" denotes only profit maximization. Using the base prices for farm products, optimum programs were computed for each representative farm: (1) with all activities considered, (2) with Coastal bermudagrass hay selling excluded, and (3) with hay-selling and corn-buying activities excluded. For the third group, programs were computed with five cotton prices and three prices of other commodities to show the effect of product price variations on farm organization. Small Farm The representative small farm had 31 acres of open land with 17.9 acres available for cultivation in row crops. The farm was suitable for a part-time operation with the owner working full time off the farm and operating the farm enterprises after work and on Saturdays. The farm 21 was not large enough to provide a reasonable income for a full-time operator. Hog production was the only livestock enterprise that the farm was large enough to support. A two-plow tractor and appropriate land preparation, planting, and cultivating equipment was assumed to be owned by the operator. As no harvesting equipment was assumed to be owned by the farm operator, all crops were custom harvested. When all enterprises were considered and base prices assumed, the optimum farm organization included 11.9 acres of cotton, 6.0 acres of peanuts, 8.7 acres of oats, and 4.h acres of idle land, (Table 7). Total investment capital other than land was $2,226 and operating capi- tal was $523. The optimum plan required 156 hours of resident labor and 46 hours of hired seasonal labor. Net return to resident labor, land, and management was $1,086. Since neither the corn-buying nor the hay-selling activity entered the optimum porgram when all enterprises were considered, the remaining two programs are identical with the first. Programming with corn-buying and hay-selling activities eliminated was expanded to determine the effects of changes in cotton and peanut prices on optimum farm organization. With peanuts at base price, cotton prices were varied from 15 to 35 cents per pound (Table 8). No cotton was produced until a price of just over 20.0 cents per pound, when all of the high-yield cotton entered the optimum program. At a price of 21.4 cents per pound, 3.7 acres of the medium cotton entered the program, and the remaining 1.7 acres entered at a price of 31.0 cents. All of the high-yield peanuts were planted until cotton price reached 31 cents. Between cotton prices of 31.0 and 35.0 cents, peanut acreage declined from 6 acres to 1 acre. 22 Table 7. Optimum Farm Plans, Small Farm, Part-Time Operator Labor Force, Advanced Technology, Base Prices for All Products, Wiregrass Area, Alabama Program assumptions Enterprise Unit All Hay- Corn-buying enterprises selling and included excluded hay-selling excluded Land Use Cotton, high yield Acre 8.2 8.2 8.2 medium yield Acre 3.7 3.7 3.7 Peanuts, high yield Acre 6.0 6.0 6.0 Oats Acre 8,7 8.7 8.7 Idle open land Acre 4.h h. Cotton sold Cwt, 72.7 72.7 72.7 Peanuts sold Ton 6.0 6.0 6.0 Capital Investment* Dol. 2,226 2,226 2,226 Operating Dol. 523 523 523 Resident labor used Hour 156 156 156 Seasonal labor hired Hour L6 h6 46 Net return to resident labor, management, and land Dol. 1,086 1,086 1,086 *Investment capital does not include the investment in land. Resident Labor Distribution Program Dec. assumptions Jan. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Total Feb. Hours All enterprises considered 20 1 28 27 32 17 6 6 5 1 156 Hay-selling excluded 20 1 28 27 32 17 6 6 5 1 156 Corn-buying and hay-selling excluded 20 lh 28 27 32 17 6 6 5 1 156 Resident labor available 100 h0 39 66 64 64 66 64 40 33 576 Table 8. Optimum Program, Small Farm, Part-Time Labor Supply, Specified Prices for Cotton and Peanuts, Other Enterprises at Base Price, Advanced Technology, Wiregrass Area, Alabama Enterprise Unit Cotton prices (cents per pound of lint) 15.0 20.0 25. 30.0 35.0 Peanuts at base prices Cotton Peanuts Corn Oats Pasture" Idle open land So ws Capital Investment.,-, Operating Resident labor Seasonal labor Acre Acre Acre Acre Acre Acre No. Dol. Dol. Hour Hour 11.9 4.4 4. 3 4.4 3.7 2,886.00 676.1 331.9 22.5 6.0 11.9 4.4 4.3 4.4 6.0 8.7 4.4 i11.9 6.0 8.7 4.4 1.0 8.7 4.h 3.7 2, 886.00 676.4.1 331.9 22.5 2, 2256 522.96 4.6.5~ 2,225.6 522.96 16.5 46.5~ 2,300.06 561.05 169.3 .7 .1 Net revenue"'" Dol. 751.92 751.92 l,085.77 1,449.37 1,851.44 Peanuts at 30% below base prices Cotton Peanuts Corn Oats Pasture" Idle open land Sows Capital Inves tment"-," Operating Resident labor Seasonal labor Net revenu \ Dol . 46.52 65.52 821.85 1,309.44 1,803.44 (Contiiued) 23 Acre Acre Acre Acre Acre Acre 6.0 11.9 4.4 4.3 4.4 13.6 4. 3 8.7 4.4 16.9 1.0 8.7 4.4 No. 6.0 11.9 4.m3 4.4 3.7 2,886.00 676.41 331.9 22.5~ 16.9 1.0 8.7 4.4 3.7 Dol. Dol. Hour Hour 2,886.00 676.41 331.9 22.5~ 2,250.6 535.74 50 .0 2,300.06 169.3 57.1 2,300.06 169.3 5.1 24 Table 8. (Continued) Optimum Program, Small Farm, Part-Time Labor Supply, Specified Prices for Cotton and Peanuts, Other Enterprises at Base Price, Advanced Technology, Wiregrass Area, Alabama Enerprise Unit Cotton prices (cents per pound of lint) 15.0 20,0 25,0 30,0 -35,0 Peanuts at 30% above base prices Cotton Acre -11.9 11.9 11.9 Peanuts Acre 6,0 6,0 6.0 6.0 6.0 Corn Acre 11,9 11.9 Oats Acre 4.4 4.4 8. 7 8,7 Pasture" Acre 43' .3 - Idle open land Acre 4.4 4o4 4.4 4.4 4.4 Sows No. 3.7 3.7 .Capital Investments Dol. 2, 886.00 2,886.00 2, 225,56 2, 225,56 25225o5~6 Operating Dol. 676. 41 676. 41 522, 96 522, 96 522,.96 Resident labor Hour 331.9 331.9 15. 165 5. Seasonal labor Hour 22,5 22,5 46.5 46,5 6, Net revenue*' Dol,, 1, 038 x32 1,038.32 1, 372.17 1, 735.77 2, 099.37 *Some hay was harvested from pasture. "'"Investment capital does not include the investment in land, ""'Net return to resident labor, management, and land, Some corn and hogs were produced at low cotton prices but these enterprises were completely eliminated when cotton reached 21.4 cents. The corn land was shifted to cotton production and the hog pasture was used to increase the oats acreage. With peanut prices at 30 per cent below base price, optimum farm organizations followed the same pattern. However, the last 1.7 acres of medium-yield cotton entered the optimum program at 22.7 cents per pound rather than 31.0 cents, and the low-yield cotton entered the program at 25.4 cents for cotton compared with 35.0 cents with peanuts at base price. Thus the decline from 6 acres to I acre of peanuts occurred between cotton prices of 22.7 and 25.4 cents per pound. With peanut prices at 30 per cent above base prices, optimum programs were again the same as above through the 21.h-cent cotton price. However, the last 1.7 acres of medium-yield cotton and the low-yield cotton did not enter the optimum program below 35 cents per pound. Six acres of peanuts were produced at all cotton prices. Cotton prices were then held at base, while peanut prices were varied from $96 to $224 per ton (Table 9). One acre of peanuts entered the optimum program at a price of $104.50 per ton. At a price of $110.06 per ton, peanut acreage increased to 4.3 acres by replacing the low- yield cotton. Peanuts reached their rotational restriction of 6 acres at $125.46 per ton by replacing 1.7 acres of medium-yield cotton. These programs indicate that cotton and peanuts are the only really profitable enterprises on the small farm - Reliance on custom work for all harvesting operations eliminated Coastal bermudagrass hay production and, along with low yields, made corn production a marginal alternative. The 8.7 acres of oats added only $67 to returns to land, resident labor, and management. 26 Table 9. Optimum Program, Small Farm,Part-Time Labor Supply, Prices for Peanuts and Cotton,-Other Enterprises at Advanced Technology, Wiregrass Area, Alabama Specified Base Price, Enterprise Unit Peanut prices (dollars per ton) Cotton at base prices Cotton Acre 16.9 11.9 11.9 11.9 11.9 Peanuts Acre - --- 6.0 6.0 6.0 6.0 Corn Acre 1.0 Oats Acre 8.3 8.7 8.7 8.7 8.7 Pasture -- Acre----- Idle open land Acre 4,.4 4@4h4.4 4 .L,4 Sows No. .31 Capital Investment ]Dol. 2,37OJLO 2, 225 v6 25225e56 23225e56 21225i6 Operating ]Dol. 58i.58 522.96 p22.96 522,.96 522, 96 Resident labor Hour .186.K6 ij6,5 15.5 1505 15, Seasonal labor Hour 57.2 L465 6.5 465 6o Net revenue""" Dol. 807,92 89h. 83 1,O085.77 1,276.72 l,h467.66 "Some hay was harvested from pasture. ~"Investment capital does not include the investment in land. ***Net return to resident labor, management, and land. 27 Medium Farm The representative medium farm had 81 acres of open land with L6.7 acres available for row crop production. A one-man resident labor force was assumed. The equipment consisted of a two-plow tractor and appropriate land preparation, planting, and cultivation equipment. As no harvesting equipment was assumed to be owned by the farm operator, all crops were custom harvested. When all enterprises were considered and base prices assumed, cotton and peanuts were the main sources of income (Table 10). The farm organization consisted of 26.6 acres of cotton, 15.6 acres of peanuts, 22.8 acres of oats., and 19 steers and the roughage needed to feed them. Corn was purchased to feed the steers. Total invest- ment capital other than land was $h,lhO and operating capital was $3, 885. A total of 58h hours of resident labor and 166 hours of seasonal labor was used in production. The highest labor use was in April, when 36 per cent of the available resident labor was used. Net return to resident labor, land, and management was $3,222. Since no Coastal bermudagrass hay was produced for sale in the above program, the elimination of this alternative did not change the optimum program. When corn-buying was excluded, the optimum combination of enterprises did change. The steer enterprise was eliminated and the nonplowable open land that had been used for hay and pasture was left idle. Land that had been used for corn silage was shifted to cotton production. Investment capital dropped from $h, lhO to $2,510, while operating capital declined from $3,885 to $1,366. Resident labor required was 1,366 hours and hired seasonal labor requirements were Lh33 hours. Even with these changes, 28 Table 10. Optimum Farm Plans, Medium Farm, One-Man Labor Force, Advanced Technology, Base Prices for All Products, Wiregrass Area, Alabama Program assumptions AllHaCorn-buying Enterprise Unit All Hay-and enterprises selling included excluded hay-selling excluded Land Use Cotton, high yield Acre 21. 21.4 21.4 medium yield Acre 5.2 5.2 9.7 Peanuts, high yield Acre 15.6 15.6 15.6 Oats Acre 22.8 22.8 22.8 Corn silage Acre 4.5---- Pasture (and hay) Acre 11. 11,---- Idle open land Acre ---- 11.5 Sters,, No. 19.2 19.2 Corn purchased Bu. 674.7 674.7 Hay produced Ton 14.4 14.4 Cotton sold Cwt. 163.7 163.7 189.7 Peanuts sold Ton 15.6 15.6 15.6 Capital Investment* Dol . 4,140 ,140 2,510 Operating Dol. 3,885 3,885 1,366 Resident labor used Hour 584 58 433 Seasonal labor hired Hour 166 166 130 Net return to resident labor, management, and land Dol, 3,222 3,222 3,175 *Investment capital does not include investment in land. Resident Labor Distribution Dec. Program Jan. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Total assumptions Feb. Hours All enterprises considered 103 5 83 72 76 60 39 46 33 17 584 Hay-selling excluded 103 55 83 72 76 60 39 46 33 17 584 Corn-buying and hay-selling excluded 60 38 73 71 83 45 19 26 14 4 433 Resident labor available 606 239 231 266 257 257 266 257 239 199 2,817 29 net return to resident labor, land, and management declined only $47 to $3,175, Thus the programs are almost identical from an income standpoint. With both hay-selling and corn-buying activities eliminated and with peanuts at base prices, there was no cotton in the optimum farm plan at a cotton price of 15 cents per pound (Table 11). This plan consisted of the maximum permitted acreage of high-yield peanuts (15.6 acres) along with 13 acres of oats, 355 steers, and the feed required by the steers. The maximum acreage of high-yield cotton (21.) entered the optimum plan with cotton between 21.1 and 21.8 cents, while the steer and feed enterprises declined and oats increased to 22.8 acres. At a cotton price of 23.2 cents per pound, 9.7 acres of medium-yield cotton entered the plan and the steer and feed enterprises were completely eliminated. The remaining h.3 acres of medium-yield cotton was included in the plan at a cotton price of 31.1 cents and peanuts declined a like amountk With peanut prices at 30 per cent below base, somewhat different changes took place but at slightly lower cotton prices. The high- yield cotton entered the optimum program between 21.1 and 21.3 cents per pound of lint. Both the steer and feed enterprises and the peanut enterprise were reduced as the cotton entered the program. At a cotton price of 22.8 cents the remaining 8.5 acres of peanuts were replaced by medium-yield cotton. At 23.3 and 26.1 cents, the remaining .5 acres of medium-yield cotton and 8.7 acres of low-yield cotton entered the optimum program and the size of the steer and feed enterprises were further reduced. The low-yield cotton did not enter the optimum program until the cotton price reached 35.1 cents per pound. Table 11. Optimum Program, Medium Farm, One-Man Labor Supply, Specified Prices for Cotton and Peanuts, Other Enterprises at Base Price, Advanced Technology, Wiregrass Area, Alabama Enterprise Unit Cotton prices (cents per pound of lint) 1500 20.0 25. 30.0 3.0 Peanuts at base prices Cotton Peanuts Corn Oats Corn silage Pasture. Idle open land Steers Capital Investment~H Operating Resident labor Seasonal labor Net revenue %H&% Acre Acre Acre Acre Acre Acre Acre 15. 6 22.7 13.0 8.94 21.3 15. 6 22.7 13.0 8.4 21.3 31.1 15. 6 22.8 11.5~ 31.1 ,5. 6 22.8 11.5 35.4 11.3 22.8 11.5 Mo . Dol. Dol. Hour Hour Dol. 51 280.41 5614. 32 635.3 147.1 5.j 280 .41 5,614.32 635.3 147.1 2,509,83 1, 366. 07 433.2 130.4 2,509,83 1,366.07 433.2 130.4 2,4.82.78 1,398.79 4.41.2 139.5 Peanuts at 30% below base prices Cotton Peanuts Corn Oats Corn silage Pasture,, Idle open land Steers Capital Investment Operating Resident labor Seasonal labor Acre Acre Acre Acre Acre Acre Acre No. Dol. Dol. Hour Hour .6 22.7 13.0 8.4 21.3 35.5 ,5, 280. 41 5, 614.32 635.3 147.1 l15.6 22.7 13.0 8.4 21 .3 5,280,41 5614. 32 635. 3 147.1 3 .4 8.3 22.8 3.0 7.7 3.8 12.9 3, S02. 92 3,086.83 5.7.2 171. 2 544.1 1.9 22.8 .7 1.8 9.7 3.0 2, 662.34 7-,853.92 48200 165.1 44.1 1.69 22.8 .7 1.8 9.7 3.0 2, 662.34 1,853.92 482.*0 165.4 Net revenue" Dol 1,838.93 1, 838.93 2,513.83 3,755.15,0 1 3.7 6 (Continued) 30 2,861 258.3 ,1505 1,2.6 517.) 31 Table 11. (Continued) Optimum Program, Medium Farm, One-Nan Labor Supply, Specified Prices for Cotton and Peanuts, Other Enterprises at Base Price, Advanced Technology, Wiregrass Area, Alabama Enterprise Unit Cotton prices (cents per pound of lint) Peanuts at 30% above base prices Cotton Acre ---- 31.1 31.1 31.1 Peanuts Acre 15.6 i1.6 5.615,6 i5.6 Corn Acre 22.7 22.7 Oats Acre 13.0 13.0 22.8 22.8 22.8 Corn silage Acre 8.4 8-- -Pasture* Acre 21.3 21.3 Idle open land Acre -ll.5 ll.5 116 Steers No. 3535 3----- Capit nt" Dol. 5, 280.41 5,280.h1 2, 509.83 2, 509.83 2, 509953 Operating Dol. 5,6lh.32 5,6lh.32 1, 366.07 1,366.07 1, 366.07 Resident labor Hour 635 *3 635.3 433.2 433.2 433.2 Seasonal labor Hour 1h.7. 1h.7 .l l30, ,4 130#4 l30.L04 Net revenue"'"'"Dol. 3, 333.33 3,9333.e33-..3,922.26 h,870086 5,819..6 *Some hay was harvested from pasture. "Investment capital does not include the investment in land. ~""Net return to resident labor, management, and land. 32 With peanuts at 30 per cent above base price, the 21.h acres of high-yield cotton entered the optimum plan at prices between 21.1 and 21.8 cents per pound of lint while steer numbers were reduced from 35.5 to 11.1 head. At a cotton price of 23.3 cents, the remaining steers were eliminated and 9.7 acres of medium-yield cotton entered the optimum plan. No other changes took place as cotton prices were increased to 35 cents, When cotton prices were held constant at the base price and peanut prices were varied, 11.3 acres of peanuts entered the optimum plan at a price of $11.80 per ton (Table 12). The remaining L.3 acres of high-yield peanuts were included at $12L.73 per ton. At the lower price peanuts replaced corn and corn silage for steers, while the last ).3 acres of peanuts replaced medium-yield cotton. The 81-acre farm is very inefficient from a labor use standpoint. Only during April was as much as 35 per cent of the available resident labor used. An operator on this size farm could get a part-time farm job or add a labor-intensive enterprise such as poultry. If he relied strictly on the organizations outlined above his income potential was quite low. Large Farm The representative large farm had 184 acres of open land, of which 106.1 acres were suitable for row crops. The resident labor supply consisted of one man. A three-plow tractor with appropriate land preparation equipment and four-row planting and cultivation equipment was assumed. All harvesting equipment except a cotton picker was owned. 33 Table 12. Optimum Program, Medium Farm, One-Man Labor Supply, Prices for Peanuts and Cotton, Other Enterprises at Price, Advanced Tachnology, Wiregrass Area, Alabama Specified Base Enterprise Unit Peanut prices (dollars per ton) 96 12 160 192 22 Cotton at base prices Cotton Acre 35.4 31.1 31.1 31.1 31.1 Peanuts Acre ---- 15,6 15.6 1565.6 Corn Acre 8.3 Oats Acre 22.8 22.8 22.8 22,8 22.8 Corn silage Acre 3.0 ---- Pasture* Acre 7.7 Idle open land Acre 3.8 11.5 1.5 1165 116 Steers No. 12.9 Capital Investment" %Dol. 3, 502.92 2, 509.83 2-509e83 2, 509.83 2, 509.83 Operating Dol. 3,086.83 1,366.07 1,366.07 1,366.07 1,366.07 Resident labor Hour 5L7.2 4.33.2 4.33.2 433.2 4133.2 Seasonal labor Hour 171.2 130.04 130.4L 130.v4 130.e4 Net revenue' Dol. 2.9513-75 2, 676.85 3,175.05 3, 673.19 4,171.34 *Some hay was harvested from pasture. /Investment capital does not include the investment in land. ""~et return to resident labor, management, and land. 34 When all enterprises were considered and base prices were assumed for cotton and peanuts, the optimum plan consisted of 69.6 acres of cotton, 35.1 acres of peanuts, 75.0 acres of Coastal bermudagrass hay, 4.8 steers, and roughage for the steers (Table 13). A total of $3,840 of operating capital and $11,)05 of investment capital other than land was required. Labor requirements were 1,203 hours of resident labor and 942 hours of hired seasonal labor. Labor was restricting only in June. Net return to operator labor, land, and management was $9,661. When the sale of Coastal bermudagrass hay was prohibited, 72 steers and 23.7 beef cows entered the optimum program. Cotton acreage declined to 53.7 acres, 17.0 acres of row cropland was used for corn silage production, and peanut acreage remained constant at the maximum acreage. A total of 2,535.4 bushels of corn was purchased to feed steers. Capital requirements increased sharply because of the steers and beef cows. Investment capital other than land increased to $18,163 and operating capital rose to $12,476. Resident labor requirements increased to 1,418 hours but hired seasonal labor was reduced to 352 hours. Net returns to resident labor, land, and management declined significantly to $8,219. Eliminating the corn-buying activity caused considerable changes in the optimum combination of enterprises but had little effect on net revenue. Cotton was increased to 70.7 acres and peanut acreage remained at 35.4. Oats replaced Coastal on the plowable land not suited for row crops. The 22.3 acres of nonplowable open land was used to produce pasture and hay for 15.2 beef cows. Investment capital other than land declined to $11,410 and only $3,690 of operating capital was required. Net returns to operator labor, land, and management declined only $55 to $8,164. Table 13. Optimum Farm Plans, Large Farm, One-Man Labor Force, Advanced Technology, Base Prices for All Products, Wiregrass Area, Alabama Program assumptions Corn-buying Enterprise Unit All Hay- and enterprises selling included excluded hay-selling excluded Land Use Cotton, high yield Acre 48.6 48.6 48.6 medium yield Acre 21.0 5.1 22.1 Peanuts, high yield Acre 35.h 35.4 35.h Oats Acre ---- ---- 51.8 Coastal hay Acre 75.0 ---- 3.8 Corn silage Acre 1.1 17.0 Pasture (and hay) Acre 2.9 77.9 22.3 Steers No. .8 72.0---- Beef cows No. ---- 23.7 15.2 Corn purchased Bu. 168.9 2, ---- Hay produced Ton 378.7 5.0 19.2 Cotton sold Cwt. 424.5 333.3 431.0 Peanuts sold Ton 35.4 35.4 35. Hay sold Ton 3771 ---- ---- Capital Investment" Dol. 11, 05 18,163 11,410 Operating Dol. 3,840 12,476 3,690 Resident labor used Hour 1,203 1,418 947 Seasonal labor hired Hour 942 352 266 Net return to resident labor, management, and land Dol. 9,661 8,219 8,164 *Investment capital does not include investment in land. Resident Labor Distribution Dec. Program Jan. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Total assumptions Feb. Hours All enterprises considered 108 81 96 193 257 180 59 170 50 9 1,203 Hay-selling excluded 264 124 l 94 138 146 117 200 112 78 1,418 Corn-buying and hay-selling excluded 113 64 99 112 173 102 83 137 43 21 947 Resident labor available 606 239 231 266 297 297 266 297 239 199 2,817 36 With peanuts at base price and corn-buying and hay-selling activities eliminated, no cotton entered the optimum program until the cotton price reached 19.1 cents per pound (Table 14). Below this level the optimum program consisted of 35.4 acres of peanuts, 23.7 beef cows, 72 steers, and the feed crops for the livestock. A total of 420 bushels of corn was produced for sale. At 19.1 cents, 7.6 acres of cotton replaced the corn for sale. At a cotton price of 21.3 cents per pound, the remaining 41 acres of high-yield cotton and 5O.6 acres of oats entered the optimum program and the feed and live- stock activities were reduced accordingly. A total of 22.1 acres of medium-yield cotton were added between prices of 22.7 and 22.9 cents per pound, while steers and their feed were eliminated and beef-cow numbers increased to 15.2. The remaining 9.6 acres of medium-yield cotton entered the program at 32.8 cents while peanuts were reduced a like amount5/ Changing the price of peanuts to 30 per cent below base price had no effect on the optimum combination of enterprises up to and including the changes at a cotton price of 22.9 cents per pound, However the last 9.6 acres of medium cotton replaced a like acreage of peanuts when cotton reached 24.4 cents as compared with 32.8 cents with peanuts at base price, Another 19.7 acres of peanuts was replaced by low-yield cotton at a cotton price of 27.4 cents per pound. lihen the peanut price was raised to 30 per cent above base price, the optimum farm plans were again identical up through the 22.9-cent i/Low-yield cotton did not enter the optimum program until cotton prices reached 37 cents per pound. 37 Table 114. Optimum Program, Large Farm, One-Man Labor Supply, Specified Prices for Cotton and Peanuts, Other Enterprises at Base Price, Advanced Technology, Wiregrass Area, Alabama Enterprise Unit Cotton prices (cents per pound of lint 15.0 20.0 25.0 30.0 35.0' Peanuts at base prices Cotton Peanuts Corn Oats Coastal hay Corn silage Pasture* Cows Steers Capital Investment/ Operating Resident labor Seasonal labor Acre Acre Acre Acre Acre Acre Acre No. No. Dol. Dol. Hour Hour 53. 7 17.0 77.9 23.7 72.0 19,237.71 11,697.29 1, 286.14L 402.0 7.6 35.E 46,v1 17.0 77.9 23.7 72.0 19,0814o98 11,808.02 3914.9 70.7 35 .14 3.8 22.3 15. 2 11,1409.0 81 3, 690.06 9L ~.9 266.3 70.7 3 .14 51. 8 3.8 22.3 15. 2 11,1409,81 3,690.06 94.x 266.3 80.3 3.8 22.3 15, 2 10,9743 3, 792.114 958.14 261.9 Net revenue""" Dol. 6, 69 .13 6,703.72 8,163.93 10, 319.03l2,97.72 Peanuts at 30% below base prices Cotton Peanuts Corn Oats Coastal hay Corn silage Pasture' Cows Steers Capital Inve stment"" Operating Resident labor Seasonal labor Net revenue Acre Acre Acre Acre Acre Acre Acre No. No . Dol. Dol. Hour Hour Dol. 135.4 3. 7 17,0 77.9 23.7 72.0 19, 237.71 11,697.28 1, 286. 102.0 7.6 46.1 17.0 77.9 23.7 72.0 19, 0814. 98 11,808.02 1,5305-r3 3914.9 80.3 51.8 3.8 22.3 15. 2 10, 971453 3, 792. 14 958.14 261.9 100.0 6.1 3.8 22.3 15. 2 10,078,18 4,002.314 9814.2 252.9 4,961.83 5,06.12 6,1499.1 9,186.26 100.0 6.1 3.8 22.3 15. 2 10,078.18 4,002.314 9814.2 25 2.9 12,108.86 (Continued) (Continued) Optimum Program, Large Farm, One -Nan Labor Supply, Specified Prices for Cotton and Peanuts, Other Enterprises at Base Price, Advanced Technology, Wiregrass Area, Alabama Enterprise Unit Cotton prices (cents per pound of lint) Enert 150 20.0 250 30.0 33.0 Peanuts at 30% above base prices Cotton Acre ---- 76 707 70.7 70.7 Peanuts Acre 35*A 35.4 35. 4 . 35.h435.L Corn Acre 53.7 46.1 Oats Acre ---. 8 51.8 51,8 Coastal hay Acre 3.8 3.8 3.8 Corn silage Acre 17.0 17.0 PastureX Acre 77.9 77.9 22.3 22.3 22.3 Cows No. 23.7 23.7 15.2 l5,2 15.2 Steers No. 72.0 72.0 -- -- -- Capital Investment & Dol. 19,237.71 19,084.98 11,409.81 11,4L09.,81 11,409.81 Operating Dol. 11, 69 7.29 11,808.02 3,690.06 3, 690.06 3,690.06 Resident labor Hour 1, 286.4L1,305.3 9L15,9 9L15.9 945~.9 Seasonal labor Hour 402.0 394.9 266.3 266.3 266.3 Net revenue Iol ,357.02 8,401.31 9,537.4L 11,084 .71 12,632.01 *\Some hay harvested from pasture. ~Investment capital does not include the investment in land. -,%%Ntreturn to resident. labor, management, and land. 38 Table 14. 39 cotton price. However, no additional cotton was brought into the opti- mum program as cotton prices were increased to 35 cents per pound. With cotton prices held constant at base price, 25.8 acres of peanuts entered the optimum program at peanut prices between $102.23 and $103.61 per ton (Table 15). The peanuts replaced corn and corn silage for steers. Peanuts reached their rotational restriction of 35.4 acres at a price of $115.43 per ton. The last 9.6 acres of peanuts replaced medium-yield cotton. A one-man resident labor force could handle more land than was included in the large farm, and still have enough time to handle maintenance chores, under most of the organizations out- lined above. The larger acreages and owned harvesting equipment made Coastal bermudagrass hay a relatively more profitable alternative than on the two smaller size farms. Extra Large Farm The representative extra large farm contained h38 acres of open land, of which 252.6 acres were suitable for row crops. It was programmed with a resident labor force consisting of the owner- operator and one full-time hired man. Ten per cent of the operator's time was assumed to be used to supervise hired labor. Two 3-plow tractors, two sets of appropriate land preparation and h-row cultivation equipment, and one set of planting equipment were assumed. All harvesting equipment including a 2-row cotton picker was owned. When all enterprises were considered and base prices were used, all of the high-yield cotton (l.7 acres) but none of the medium-yield cotton entered the optimum plan (Tble 6) Tho maximum 40 Table 15. Optimum Program, Large Farm, One-Man Labor Supply, Specified Prices for Peanuts and Cotton, Other Enterprises at Base Price, Advanced Technology, Wiregrass Area, Alabama Enterprise Unit Peanut prices (dollars per ton) 96p125160 192 224 Cotton at base prices Cotton Acre 80.3 70.7 70.7 70.7 70.7 Peanuts Acre ---- 35.4 35.4 35.4 35.4 Corn Acre 18,8 ---- __-- Oats Acre 46,0 51,8 5118 5118 5118 Coastal hay Acre ---- 3.8 3.8 3.8 3.8 Corn silage Acre 7.0 ---- ---- Pasture" Acre 31.9 22,3 22.3 22.3 22.3 Cows No. 9.7 15.2 1512 1512 1512 Steers No. 29.5 ---- ----- Capital InvestmentKH& Dol. 10, 940.10 11,4.09,.82 11,4x09. 82 11, 409.82 11,4x09. 82 Operating Dol. 7, 368.41L 3,690.06 3,690,06 3,690.06 3,690.06 Resident labor Hour 1,108.5 9451.9 9451.9 9451.9 9451.9 Seasonal labor Hour 288*.9 266.o3 266.3 266.,3 266. 3 Net revenue Doli. 6,275.37 7,032.20 8,163.93 9, 2951.66 10,4x27 .40 'Some hay was harvested from pasture., ~Investment capital does not include the investment in land. "Net return to resident labor, management, and land. 41 Table 16. Optimum Farm Plans, Extra Large Farms, Two-Nan Labor Force, Advanced Technology, Base Prices for All Products, Wiregrass Area, Alabama Program assumptions Born-burring Enterprise Unit All Hay- and enterprises selling hay-selling included excluded -excluded Land Use Cotton, high yield Acre 115,,7 115*7115*7 medium yield Acre ---- 39.1 52.7 Peanuts, high yield Acre 8).2 84e2 84.2 Corn Acre 3:7.8 Oats Acre .3 123.2 123.2 Coastal hay Acre 142.3 ---- 9.1 Corn silage Acre 1)4.91. Pasture (and hay) Acre 37.8 62.2 3.1 Steers N~o. 6.0 Beef cows No. ---- 18.9 36.3 Corn purchased Bu. 137.0 2,02)4 Hay produced Ton 758.8)3l 46 Cotton sold Cwt, 723.1 9)48.1 1,026.2 Peanuts sold Ton 2 84.2 8).2 Hay sold Ton 737.7 Capital Investment* Dol. 31, 662 345363 36,215 Operating Dol. 1,O)4)15,750 8,784 Resident labor used Hour 3,064 2,718 2, 4 Seasonal labor hired Hour 2,177 851 836 Net return to resident labor, management, and land Dol, 23,705 21,57 21.s514 %Investment capital does not include investment in land. Resident Labor Distribution Program Dec. assumtions Jan. Mar. Apr. Nay June July Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Total Hours L2 amount of high-yield peanuts (8.2 acres) was also grown. The remaining acreage was used to produce 5.3 acres of oats, 737.7 tons of hay for sale, and feed for 63.0 steers. An additional 137.0 bushels of corn were purchased. Operating capital of $1,044 and investment capital other than land of $31,662 were required. Labor used for production included 3,064 hours of resident labor and 2,177 hours of hired seasonal labor. Labor was restricting in June and September. Net return to resident labor, land, and management was $23,70 .6/ When the hay-selling activity was excluded, cotton acreage in- creased to 154.8 acres and peanuts remained at 84.2 acres. The Coastal was largely replaced by 123.3 acres of oats. Steer numbers decreased to 57,.. and 18.9 beef cows entered the program. The remaining land was used to produce roughage for livestock. A total of 2,024 bushels of corn was purchased for the steers. Investment capital other than land and operating capital requirements were $34,363 and $15,750 respectively, Labor requirements decreased to 2,718 hours of resident labor and 851 hours of hired seasonal labor. Labor was not restricting in any month but almost all of the September resi- dent labor was used, Net returns to resident labor, land, and management dropped over $2,100 to $21,57. With the corn-buying activity eliminated, cotton acreage increased to 168.4 acres while peanut and oat acreages remained constant. Steers were eliminated and beef cows increased to 36.3. The remaining acreage was used to produce feed for beef cows. Requirements for investment 6 /This figure included returns to all resident labor, including both the operator and the one full-time hired man. To make the figure a return to operator labor, management, and land, subtract a total of $2,800 to account for cash wages and perquisites for the full-time hired man. 43 capital other than land increased to $36,215 but only $8,781 of operating capital was needed. Labor requirements declined to 2,454 hours of resident labor and 836 hours of hired seasonal labor. Net returns to resident labor, land, and management declined only $43 to $21,51L. With peanuts at base price and corn-buying and hay-selling eliminated, 18.2 acres of cotton entered the optimum farm plan at 17.8 cents per pound (Table 17). Below this cotton price the program consisted of 84.2 acres of peanuts, 47.9 beef cows, 192 steers, and feed for the livestock. The first 18.2 acres of cotton reduced steer numbers to 171.5, increased beef cows to 56.5, and led to corresponding changes in feed crops. The remaining 97.5 acres of high-yield cotton entered the optimum plan at a cotton price of 19.8 cents per pound. The size of feed and livestock enterprises was drastically reduced and 120.3 acres of oats were sown. A total of 52.7 acres of medium-yield cotton entered the optimum plan at prices between 21.7 and 22.2 cents per pound. Oats increased to 123.2 acres. Steers were eliminated and beef cows increased to 36.3 with corresponding shifts in feed crops. The maximum acreage of medium-yield cotton (75,8) was reached at a cotton price of 32 cents per pound. The last 23.1 acres of medium-yield cotton re- placed a like acreage of peanuts.7/ When peanut prices were reduced to 30 per cent below base, optimum plans were identical with those above up through a price of 22.2 cents per pound. However, the last 23.1 acres of medium- yield cotton replaced the same acreage of peanuts at 23.7 cents as ?/Low-yield cotton replaced 47 additional acres of peanuts at a cotton price of 37.1 cents per pound of lint. Table 17. Optimum Program, Extra Large Farm, Two-Nan Labor Supply, Specified Prices for' Cotton and Peanuts, Other Enterprises at Base Price, Advanced Technology, Wiregrass Area, Alabama Enterprise Unit Cotton prices (cents per pound of lint) 15.0 20.0 25.0 30.0 35. Peanuts at base prices Cotton Peanuts Corn Oats Coastal hay Corn silage Pasture~ Beef cows Steers Capital Investment" Operating Resident labor Seasonal labor Acre Acre Acre Acre Acre Acre Acre No. No . Dol. Dol. Hour Hour 84. 2 123.0 45 .4 185 .4 47.9 192.2 37,066.20 30, 40 7.11 3,100.6 1,008.2 84.2 38.5~ 120.3 14.2 65 .1 19.8 60.2 31,516.63 2,583. 2 848 .1 Net revenue "~ Dol. 17,016654 17,029.68 21, 513.,86 26,644.61 3 2,168.,24 Peanuts at 30% below base prices Cotton Peanuts Corn Oats Coastal hay Corn silage Pasture* Cows Steers Capital Operating Resident labor Seasonal labor Net revenue'" Acre Acre Acre Acre Acre Acre Acre No. No. Dol, Dol. Hour Hour 84. 2 123.0 45 .4 185 .4 47.9 192.2 37,066.20 30,407.11 3,100.6 1,008. 2 115. 7 84.e2 38.5~ 120.3 14..2 65 .1 19.8 60.2 31,516,63 15,516,36 2, 583.2 8.8.1 19165 61.1 123.2 9.1 53 .1 36.3 37,993.64 9, 030.75 2,511l.9 853 ,2 238.5 14.1 123.2 9.1 53 .1 36.3 41, 612.6 4 9, 532.2). 2,629.9 888.0 Dol. 12,626.64 12,988.08 17,645.89 24,035.15 2386 14.1 123.2 9.1 53 .1 36.3 41, 612.64 9,532. 24 2,629.9 888.0 31, 005.00 (Continued) 44 168.4 123.2 9.1 53 .1 36.3 36, 214.94 8,784.27 2,453.9 836 .1 168.4. 84. 2 123.2 9.1 53 .1 36.3 36, 214.94 8, 784. 27 2,153.9 836.1 19165 61.1 123.2 9.1 53 .1 36.3 37,993.64 9,030.75 2,511.9 853.2 (Continued) Optimum Program, Extra Large Farm, Two-Nan Labor Supply, Specified Prices for Cotton and Peanuts, Other Enterprises at Base Price, Advanced Technology, Wiregrass Area, Alabama Enterprise Unit Cotton prices (cents per pound of lint) 15.0 20.0 25.0 30.0 35.0 Peanuts at 30% above base prices Cotton Acre ---- 1 7 1684 168.4 168.4 Peanuts Acre 84.2 8h.2 84.2 8h.2 84.2 Corn Acre 123.0 38,5 Oats Acre ---- 120.3 123.2 123.2 123.2 Coastal hay Acre 9.1 9.1 9.1 Corn silage Acre 44L . 14.2 Pasture', Acre 185.4 65.1 53.1 53.1 53.1 Cows No. 47.9 19.8 36.3 36.3 36.3 Steers No. 192.2 60.2 -- -- -- Capital Investment'"" Dol., 37,066.20 31, 516.63 36,214,p94 36, 214 *94 36, 214.94 Operating Dol. 30,407.11 15,516.36 8,784.27 8,784.27 8, 784.27 Resident labor Hour 3,100.6 2,583.2 25453-o9 21453.9 29453,o9 Seasonal labor Hour 1,008.2 848.1 836.1 836.1 836.1 Net revenue~' , " Dol. 20,709.84 21, 071. 28 25,$55.73 30, 686 .4L8 35, 817.23 cSome hay was harvested from pasture. "'Investment capital does not include the investment in land. *cNet return to resident labor, management, and land. Table 17. L6 compared with 32 cents with peanuts at base price. The maximum possible low-yield cotton (L7.0 acres) replaced a like acreage of peanuts at a cotton price of 27.5 cents per pound. With peanuts at 30 per cent above base price, optimum plans were again identical through cotton prices of 22.2 cents per pound. However, no additional cotton entered the plan up through cotton prices of 35 cents per pound of lint. When cotton price was held constant at base price and peanut price was varied, 10,7 acres of peanuts entered the optimum plan at a peanut price of $100.32 per ton (Table 18). An additional 50.4 acres of peanuts were planted at $103.18 per ton, Maximum acreage of high-yield peanuts was reached at a price of $119.53 per ton. At this price the total agronomic limit of peanuts (8L.2 acres) was reached. The remaining 23,1 acres of peanuts replaced a like acreage of cotton. Comparison of Responses for Different Size Groups On the two largest size farms, beef cows or steers utilized the nonplowable open land with steers entering the optimum plan at low cotton or peanut prices. On the medium farm, steers utilized the nonplowable open land at low cotton or peanut prices but it was idle at higher prices. Nonplowable open land was always idle on the small farm. However, hogs entered the optimum plan on small farms at low cotton or peanut prices. Otherwise, the Wiregrass representative farms were primarily crop farms with the main sources of income being cotton and peanuts.W / 8_/If current allotments had been used, there would still be considerable land available to produce feed for livestock. Table 18., Optimum Program, Extra Large Farm, Two-Nan Labor Supply, Specified Prices for Peanuts and Cotton, Other Enterprises at Base Price, Advanced Technology, Wiregrass Area, Alabama Enterprise Unit Peanut prices (dollars per ton) 96 12 160 192 22 Cotton at base prices Cotton Acre 191.5 168.4 168.4 168.4 168.4 Peanuts Acre 84.2 84.2 84.2 84.2 Corn Acre 44.6 Oats Acre 110.0 123.2 123.2 123.2 123.2 Coastal hay Acre -9.1 9.1 9.1 9.1 Corn silage Acre 75.4 53.1 53.1 53.1 53.1 Pasture%* Acre 16.5_- Cows No. 23.0 36.3 36.3 36.3 36.3 Steers No. 69.8 Capital Investment-"" Dol. 38,667.31 36,214.93 36,214.93 36,214.93 36,214.93 Operating Dole 17,499,.66 8,784.27 8,7842 ,8.78742 Resident labor Hour 2,834.9 2.9453o9 2, 453.9 23453o9 25453e9 Seasonal labor Hour 921.2 836,1 836.1 836.1 836.1 Net revenu'" Dole 17, 076.49 18,819.,46 21, 513.86 24, 208.26 26,902.66 *Some hay was harvested from pasture. "'Investment capital does not include the investment in land. " N-et return to resident labor, management, and land. Corn yields are the key to the poor competitive position of steers and hogs. The 5O-bushel yield per acre leads to high feed costs. Even with cotton and peanut prices at 20 per cent below base, these crops had a relatively high net return per acre when compared with crops used for livestock feed. Producing Coastal bermudagrass hay for sale was a profitable alternative on the two largest representative farms at base prices for cotton and peanuts. However, it was not profitable on the smaller farms that were not large enough to own their own hay-making equipment. When Coastal was eliminated, either arbitrarily or because of high custom harvesting costs, the plowable open land unsuitable for row crops was used for oats. The effect of corn-buying was studied only at base prices for cotton and peanuts. When this activity was considered, it usually entered the optimum plan. Livestock could then be produced with less competition from these two crops. However, the elimination of corn- buying and the resulting decline in livestock numbers had only a small effect on net revenue. At the same time, capital and labor require- ments were reduced sharply. Since most of the productive labor was used in crop production, the labor distribution on the representative farms was highly seasonal. Furthermore, all of the available resident labor was not used even in the peak months except in a few cases. Thus, farm size could be expanded, especially when the corn-buying and Coastal bermudagrass hay-selling activities were eliminated. Other alternatives include part-time off-farm jobs; the addition of labor intensive enterprises such as poultry or vegetables; and replacemient of hired seasonal labor with resident labor where time and crew requirements do L9 not interfere. Sufficient resident labor must be left above production requirements to perform maintenance activities, There was consistency among farm sizes as to the levels of cotton prices required to bring cotton into the optimum plan when peanut prices were held constant at base price. All high-yield cotton entered the optimum plans between cotton prices of 17.8 and 21.3 cents per pound. Medium-yield cotton entered the plans in two groups: (1) that which replaced feed crops for steers and hogs, and (2) that which replaced peanuts . Medium-yield cotton replaced feed crops at cotton prices of 21.h to 23.3 cents, and it replaced peanuts at prices between 31.0 and 32.0 cents per pound. Low-yield cotton replaced additional peanuts at prices between 35.0 and 37.1 cents per pound. Reducing or raising peanut prices by 30 per cent, respectively, lowered or raised the cotton price at which cotton replaced peanuts. When cotton price was held constant at base price and peanut prices were varied, peanuts replaced feed grains at peanut prices between $100.32 and $114.80 per ton. Except for the medium-size farm the upper limit of this range would have been $10.50 per ton. Part of the medium-yield cotton was replaced at peanut prices ranging from $11?5.3 to $12. 46 per ton?2 Rotational restrictions on peanuts prevented further competition with cotton. 2 /Low-yield cotton was grown on only the small farm at base cotton prices. It was replaced by peanuts at a price of $110.06 per ton. AGGREGATE AREA SUPPLY RESPONSE The individual farm organizations have shown the most profitable farm plan with the various specified situations. Usually when an individual farmer changes his production practices or enterprise combination, there is little effect on the overall supply of farm products. However, if a large number of farmers adopt the same practices and combination of enterprises, there could be a decided effect on supply, Therefore to fully evaluate farming adjustment alternatives, consideration should be given to the aggregate effect of many farmers making such adjustments. Aggregation Models The soil base acreage determined for this study includes all Wiregrass soils (Table 19). Some of this acreage is presently being used for dairy farms, vegetables, and fruit and nut trees, which have been excluded as adjustment opportunities for this study. Similarly, the farms with 0.0 to 9.9 acres of open land were classified as nonfarm rural residences and were not studied for adjustment opportunities. The land utilized by these excluded situations was eliminated from the base acreage before determining the area aggregates. Furthermore, any number of assumptions can be made as to which groups of farmers actually would make the specified adjustment. For this analysis, two such sets of assumptions have been made and for brevity each set is called a model. Table 19. Wiregrass Soils, by Current Use and Capability Class and Classification as Used in Study'% Class Current use Cropland Pasture Acres Acres I..1.1.85...... .5... 1 lie. . ................. 61,967 861405 Its . . . . . . . . . . 18,222 3,06 II1w . . . . . . . . 26o72 10,600 ile .28, 7l1109052 IlS 228,268 50, 926 111w...................21,083 15,634 lIVe . . . . . . . . ... .. h,68 36,4h92 IVs .. . .. .. .. . . .... .l5,674 147,012 IVw .. 2,272 7,h26 Total 1,318,9)1 393,h37 Classification usdi td~Definition Acreage Open land . . . . . . Class I through IV cropland and pasture 1, 712-,378 Plowable land . . . , Class I, II, and III cropland and pasture 1, 469,034 Row cropland . . . . Class I, II,an and 2 Class Tile- an ~ cropland and p asture 987,h50 "Current use and capability classes were determined from county work sheets for: Alabama Conservation Needs Committee, Alabama Soil and Water Conservation Needs Inventory published by the State Soil Conservation Committee, 1961, -See page 9 for definition of classifications. 52 Model One Model One assumes that all of the farms and acreages not specifi- cally excluded will make farming adjustments as specified by the optimum representative farm programs for their size group. Model Two Model Two further assumes that there would be no adjustment on farms and acreages that were classified as Economic Class VI, part- time, or semi-retired farmers in the 1959 Census of Agriculture. The acreages in these farms not previously excluded were excluded in Model Two. All other farms would make the adjustment in farm organization as specified by the optimum representative farm program for their size group. Farm Size Distributions Further variations in the aggregate estimates were made by using two farm size distributions. The 1959 distribution represents the esti- mated distribution of the various farm size groups and excluded situations that existed in 1959. Using projected changes in farm sizes, an estimate was made of the expected farm size distribution for 1975. The acreage to be excluded for the nonadjustment alternatives and aggregating models were estimated for the two farm size distributions (Table 20). Table 20. Excluded Acreages of Open Land, by Type of Farm, Wiregrass Area, Alabama Item Farm size distribution 1959 1975 Open land acreage Dairy, vegetables, fruits, and nuts . .. 27,900 31,500 Nonfarm rural residences ......... 9,602 12,828 Class VI, part-time and semi-retired farmers ....... ................. ... 37,509 437,509 Total Model One exclusion ......... 37,502 hh,328 Total Model Two exclusion . . ....... 47,O11 81,837 For each model and each farm size distribution, the excluded acreage for that situation was removed (subtracted) from the total soil base of the area. The remainder of the soil base acreage was then distributed to the four farm size groups (Table 21). The acreage in each size group was then divided by the open land acreage on the representative farm for that size group to determine the number of representative farms for that group. These farm numbers were used to expand the representative farm optimum programs to the area estimates or aggregates. Table 21. Estimated Acreages of Open Land for Aggregation and Maximum Number of Representative Farms, by Size Groups and by Aggregation Models, Wiregrass Area, Alabama Size groups (open land acreage) Open land acreage Representative farms Farm size distribution Farm size distribution 1959 1975 1959 1975 Acres Small (10 - 49.9) . . Medium (50 - 1h9.9) . Large (150 - 249-9)0 Extra large (250 & over) Total Small (10 - 49-9)f Medium (50 - 149.9). . Large (150 - 2h9.9). Extra large (250 & over) Total *207, 700 *70 3, 080 h665256 *297.9840 1,567h,5876 4 6,500 . 435,051 . L57,976 *297.$840 1,237,367 Model One 17 3,600 6, 700 457,650 8,680 65l,360 2,534 3855440 680 1,668,050 l8,594 Model Two 12,hOO 1.950 189,621 5,37: 613,0o80 '2,489 38554h0 680 1, 230,541 lo,oho0 Number 5,600 !Is,, 6iro 3,540 880 2, 311 3,195 880 7,116 _..... The Aggregates The foregoing assumptions established two aggregating models with eight sets of assumptions for each. With each model, aggregate area production and resource use can be determined at the five cotton prices for three levels of peanut prices and for two farm size distributions. In addition, aggregate area production can be determined at five peanut prices for the base level of cotton prices with both farm size distri- butions, Model One Aggregates The aggregates for Model One assume full adjustment to the optimum program of all adjustable resources in the area (Appendix Tables 1 through 8). Therefore, cotton or peanut production at each price level for any set of assumptions is an estimate of a point on a norma- tive supply curve for cotton or peanuts for that given set of assumptions. These points: have been plotted and the corresponding supply curve drawn for the eight sets of assumptions in Model One (Figures 2,3, and 4). The long vertical segments on the cotton supply functions with peanuts at base price or 30 per cent above base show the cotton production level at which cotton must compete with peanuts for row cropland. Apparently, the comparative advantage of cotton over other enterprises is greater on the larger farms than on the smaller farms. Model Two Aggregates The assumption that part of the resources in the area would not adjust causes the aggregates under Model Two to become pseudo-optimum estimates. The estimates for the adjustment-responding acreages were . .. Peanuts at Base Price 30% Above Peanuts at Base Price _ Peanuts at Base Price 30% Below Hundred thousand bales Figure 2. MODEL ONE: Estimated Aggregate Cotton Production at a Range of' Cotton Prices and Three Peanut Prices, 1959 Farm Size Distribution, Wiregrass Area, Alabama 40 38 36. 3 2; 304 9"~ " " " " a-- " " HJ " " "* a r CH 0 0 a) Q) U) CO U) 0 0 28 26 2h 22 20-- 18 300 Peanuts at Base Price 30% Above Peanuts at Base Price Peanuts at Base Price 30% Below C0 " AI A'v 9 30~ Bel* i1- 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 1 lO 1 Hundred thousand bales MODEL ONE : Estimated Aggregate Cotton Production at a Range of Cotton Prices, and Three Peanut Prices, 1975 Farm Size Distribution, Wiregrass Area, -Alabama t 38{ 36111 0 0 324 301 j. - r S286 -pI i 22w 0 o 20- C 18 i . . : . i Mf Figure 3. 220 210 200 190 180 - 170- 160 150 - 130- 120 4 110 - 100 - 90- 0 1959 Farm Size Distribution -- - -- 1975 Farm Size Distribution now 3 9 12 15 18 21 24 2? 30 33 Ten thousand tons Figure h. MODEL ONE: Estimated Aggregate Peanut Troduction at a Range of Peanut Prices and Base Cotton Price, 1959 and 1975 Farm Size Distributions, Wiregrass Area, Alabama 0 -p at) H 0 U) a) (1) 58 determined from the optimum programs. The estimates for the nonadjust- ment acreage were determined from the 1959 census data and are for the current organization. It would be possible to add the two estimates of acreage and production to determine total acreage and production. However, the net revenue, operating capital, investment capital, and ]or used on the nonadjusting farms were indeterminate so that an overall estimate of these could not be obtained. Therefore, to make all the estimates compatible, they are presented in two categories. The data in Table 22 show the current acreage and production of important enterprises on the nonadjustment responding farms. The Model Two aggregates in Appendix Tables 9 through 16 are only for the resources that were assumed to make full adjustment. Similar estimates of supply functions were made for the adjusting resources of Model Two as were made for Model One (Figures 5, 6, and 7). These functions had the same general relationships as the Model One functions. However, both farm size distributions for Model Two had a smaller proportion of the acreage in the smaller farm group than did Model One. Thus, the differences between the curves for the 1959 distribution and the 1975 distribution were less for Model Two than for Model One. Table 22. Resources and Production Estimates for Nonrespondent Situations* in Aggregation Model Two, Wiregrass Area, Alabama Item Unit Quantity Open land . . . , Plowable land ,., Row cropland .. Cotton ..... Cotton production Peanuts..... Peanut production Corn Corn harvested for grain .. Corn production.. Oatsforgrain .9. .... Oat production .*.. ,. . , Hay .. * . . . . . . . * . . Hay production . ....... . Cropland used only for pasture Cows on f arms during year .. Cattle and calves sold during year Hogs and pigs on farms during year Hogs sold during year . ,000. " . 1 . I " " 1 f " I . " 1 " f 1 9 I 0 I f 1 f " 1 " " 0 " Acre Acre Acre Acre Bale 437,509 375, 335 252, 291 4l, 197 22,121 38,197 12,101~ *. Acre *. Ton Acre Acre Bushel Acre Bushel Acre Ton Acre Number Number Number Number 175, 624 133, 378 2,554, 320 h70 11,h463 1, 200 1,060 43,h491 34, 990 20,9310 164,5~90 106,4h31 *Nonrespondent situations are the commercial Class VI, part- time and semi-retired farms as classified by the U. S. Census of Agriculture . " " " " " " " " " " " " " " ..... ,Peanuts- at 30% Above Base Price -- Peanuts at Base Price ____Peanuts at 30% Below Base Price F I h 6 7 8 Hundred thousand bales Figure 5. MODEL TWO: Estimated Aggregate Cotton Production at a Range ofb Cotton Prices and Three Peanut Prices, l959 Farm Size Distribution, Wiregrass Area, Alabama 60 38- ge V " V " J A 0 i r1 H 0 0 Q) U) Q) Q) U) 0 0 3 3)4 32 304 28- 2 22 20 18 4- 7w 0 1 - - -rird tPrc' ;t ~~Peants aa I .owBs C--- _ _ r- -- -a r e "."".. Peanuts at 30% Above Base Price - - -- P e an ut s at B a se P a u s a 0 Below Base Price P rice " " " " - -- " " or re Base - 0 10 Hundred thousand bales MODEL TWO: Estimated Aggregate Cotton Production at a Range o?f Cotton Prices and Three Peanut Prices, l975.Farm Size Distribution, Wiregrass Area, Alabama 61 ho4 38 36-- 34- 32- 0 a) U 0 0 0 2 2 2 22 Figure, 6 9 o ~ 3Y- Peanuts at 3(t Below Base P1 &3 C~a, "3 C/1 d 2 - - - . - - - - - - _ -1 -- 6 I 19 9 Farm Size Distribution - -- -- 1975 Farm Size Distribution i1 0 Cl) Co 'H 'U co 12 i18 21 Ten thousand tons Figure 7. MODEL TWO Estimated Aggregate Peanut Production at a Range of Peanut Prices and Base Cotton Price,' 1959 and 1975 Farm Size Distributions, Wiregrass Area, Alabama 62 220- 210-7 20C9 1 80 1 7C i6c 10C CIIa 1_1 I 11 90 0 3 9 24 27 - m 15 t _I Ar 0 5 1 m 0 ) ANEW ----JL-AIF m I 5 APPENDIX Append;ix ladle '1. - Model 1: Aggregates f or Specified items, Wiregras Area. AgaoSawa (Advanced Technology - 1259 Farm Size "?t?i.1n - tary ng Prices for Cotton - Peanuts at Base Pr oe s Cotton pri-es (cents per pcmd of' lint Item Unit 15.) 0 20.0 25. 30r3. Acreage Cotton Peanuts Corn Oats Coastal bermudagr-ass hay Corn silage Pa sture Idle open land Total open land Cows Steers Sows Acre Acre Acre Acre Acre Acre Acre Acre Acre No . No. No . 322. 568 L96,48 2 142, 320 146, 86 2 537,164 29 ,4180 93, 228 621,284 249790 97934- 322.568 4.19,.763 224,124. 125.646 455,9361 211 480 1,674,6576 73,520 531, 524 24.,790 64-3 344 322.568 4%1.231 15, 817 92, 616 1,6 74,5876 63.201 3 22.68 4-71, 231 15,81 7 92,616 129,300 1,674,57 03, 201 754, 2r\ 211. 0 471, 231 i5, 817 p2,616. 127,300 1-16745876 63, 201 Investment capital Operating capital Resident labor available" Resident labor used Seasonal labor hired Dol. DoI. Hour Hour Hour 139,123,532 103, 582, 012 39,087,038 13,106, 280 3,131.,822 '34, 962, 807 93,736,892 39,087,038 12,802,340 3, Q04, 963 Resources 90, 235,.194 30,685,235 39,087,'038 8,874, 289 2,686,0774 30 ,685,.235 39.087.038 8,874.0'289 2,686. 774 9,,605,546 31, 650,.725 39,087.038 9.100,604. 2837, 26 1 (Contin e Appendix Table 1. - Model 1 (Continued) Cotton prices (cents per pound of lint) Item Unit 15.0 20.0 25.0 30.0 35.0 Production Cotton Bales ------- 122,535 784,796 784,796 908,265 Peanuts Ton 322,568 322,568 322,568 322,568 211,709 Corn sold Bu. 1,064,280 Corn produced for feed Bu. 26,242,230 23,086,965 Oats Bu. 8,539,200 13,447,440 28,273,860 28,273,860 28,273,860 Hay fed Ton 466,648 399,260 79,661 79,661 79,661 Market hogs sold No. 384, 245 384, 245 Fat calves sold No. 45,042 55,10 47,401 47,401 7,401 Net return to operator labor, management and land Dol. 54,027,71 5 54h,158,881 68,246,916 87,866,818 109,147,581 Return to land " Dol. 8,793,099 8,793,099 8,793,099 8,793,099 8,793,099 Net return to operator labor and management Dol. 45,234,616 45,365,782 59,453,817 79,073,719 l00,354,h82 *Includes 6,700 part-time operators, and 11,894 full-time operators, and 680 full-time hired men. **Open land valued at $105 per acre. Return to land is 5% per year or $5.25 per acre per year. Appendix Table 2. - Model I: Aggregates for Specified Items, Wiregrass Area, Alabama (Advanced Technology - 1959 Farm Size Distribution - Varying Prices for. Cotton. - .Peanut. Prices _ at,.30 Per Cent Below Base) PriceCotton prices cents per pound of3 Item Unit 1. 002. 003. Acreage Cotton Peanuts Corn Oats Coastal bermudagrass hay Corn silage Pa sture Idle open land Total open land Steers Cows Sows Investment capital Operating capital Resident labor available" Resident labor used Seasonal labor. hired Acre Acre Acre Acre Acre Acre Acre Acre Acre No. No . No . Dol. Dol. Hour Hour Hour 322,5~68 )496, )482 1)42,320 1)46, 862 537, 16)4 29,48o 1W 76 621,,28)4 92,628 24790 139,123,532 103,582, 012 39, 087, 038 13,106, 280 3,131,822 97, 9314 322, 568 )1 9, 763 22)4,12)4 25, 6)46 )455,361 29,48o T7T87 732,093 135, 735 72,04)4 47l, 231 15,-9l 7 26,0)40 159,4562 62 ,46)4 1167 376 911,598 31, 7)46 16, )4.92 47l,5231 15, 817 6,076 10 8,2)40 113,676 1,67)41676 911, 98 31, 7)46 16,)492 47l, 231 15, 817 6,076 108,2)40 113 676 157487 Livetock 73,520 24, 790 111,972 63,201 26,0)40 63, 201 26,0)0 63, 201 Resources 13)4,962,807 93, 736, 892 39,087,038 12,802, 3)40 3,0)44,963 99,129, 232 )46,133, 33 39, 087, 038 9,963,9734 3,06)4,8)47 92,35)4,217 36, )47)4, 913 39, 087, 038 9,600, 365 3,062, 931 92,35),217 36,474,913 39, 087, 038 9,600,365 3,062,931 (Continued O\ Appendix Table 2. - Model I (Continued) Cotton prices (cents per pound of Item Unit 15.0 20.0 2 Production Cotton Bale ------- 122,535 886,i55 i,065,666 Peanuts Ton 322,568 322,568 135,735 31,746 Corn sold Bu. 1,064,280- Corn produced for feed Bu. 26, 242,230 23;086,965 3,962,420 907,060 Oats Bu, 8,539,200 13,447,440 28,273,860 28,273,860 Hay fed Ton 466, 648 399, 260 163,857 98,757 Market hogs sold No. 384, 245 Fat calves sold No. 69,471 5,l407 47,401 47,401 Net return to operator labor, management, and land Dol. 38, 336, 289 38,$694,299 53, 890, 491 79, 084, 620l072,3 Return to land" ~ Dol. 8,793,09 ,73099 8, 793, 099 8,793, 099 8, 793, 099 Net return to operator labor and management Dol. 29, 543,190 29,901,200 451097,392 . 70,291,521 693,3 /%Includes 6,700 part-time operators, 11, 894 full-time operators, and 680 full-time Irdmn O0pen land valued at $105 per acre. Return to land is 5% per year or $525 per acre e er ON Appndi Tble3.- Mde 1:ONAggregates for Specified Items, Wiregrass Area, Alabama (Advanced Technology - 1959 Farm Size Distribution - Varying Prices for Cotton - Peanut Prices at 30 Per Cent Above Base) Cotton .rices.(ents.pe. pound.f.lint PriceCotton prices (cents per pound of Item Unit 1500 20.0 25.000 30,0 Acreage Cotton Peanuts Corn Oats Coastal bermudagrass hay Corn silage Pasture Idle open land Total open land Cows Steers Sows Acre Acre Acre Acre Acre Acre Acre Acre Acre No . No. No . 322,5~68 496,482 142, 320 146,862 S37, 7164 29, 480 1, 674,576 92,628 621,1284 24,790 97, 934 322,5~68 419, 763 224,124 125) 646 x.5, 361 29,h.80 1,674,576 643, 344 322,5~68 4.71, 231 155 817 92, 616 129, 300 1, 6.74,57 64.3, 344 322,5~68 4.71, 231 155 817 .92,616 129, 300 1, 674576 64.3, 344) 322, 568 471, 231 9 2, 616 129, 300 1,674,576 Livestock 73, 520 531,524 24, 790 63,201 63,201 63,201 Resources Investment capital Operating capital Resident labor available" Resident labor used Seasonal labor hired Dol. Dol. Hour Hour Hour 139,123,532 103, 582,012 39,087,038 13,106, 280 3,131,822 134, 962, 807 93, 736, 892 39, 087, 038 12,802,3140 3,004,963 90, 235, 194 30, 685, 235 39,087,038 8,874,289 2,9686, 9774 90, 235,194 30,P685, 23 39,087,038 8,874,289 2, 686,9774 90,5235,194 30,68S, 235 39,087,038 8, 874,289 2, 686, 774 (Continued) Appendix Table 3. - Model 1: 00 Appendix Table 3. - Model 1 (Continued) . Cotton prices cents per.pound of lint) tem Unit 15,.0 20.0 25.0 30.0 35.0 Production Cotton Bales ------ 122,535 784,796 784,796 78h,796 Peanuts Ton 322,568 322,568 322,568 322,568 322,68 Corn sold Bu. 1,064,280 Corn produced for feed Bu. 26,242,230 23,086,965 - ------- ------- Oats Bu. 8,539,200 13,h447, 40 28,273,860 28,273,860 28,273,860 Hay fed Ton 466, 648 399,260 79,661 79,661 79,661 Market hogs sold No. 38,245 38,245---- ------ Calves sold No. 69,h71 55,10 47,hO 47,hO 17,h01 Net return to operator labor, management, and land Dol. 69,245,428 69,603,438 82,880,h9 100,960,185 119,039,922 Net return to land") ' Dol. 8,793,099 8,793,099 8,793,099 8,793,099 8,793,099 Net return to operator labor and management Dol. 60,452,329 60, 810,339 7?,087,35.0 .:.92,167,086 0,26,823 *Includes 6,700 part-time operators, and 11,894 full-time operators, and 680 full-time hired men. -'Open land valued at $105 per acre. Return to land is 5% per year or $5.25 per acre per year. \O Appendix Table 4. - Model I: Aggregates for Specified Items, Wiregrass Area, Alabama o (Advanced Technology - 1975 Farm Size Distribution - Varying Prices for Cotton - Peanuts at Base Prices) Prices Cotton prices (cents per pound of Item Unit 1540 20.0 25,.0 30.0 3. Acreage Cotton Peanuts Corn Oats Coastal bermudagrass hay Corn silage Pasture Idle open land Total open land Acre Acre Acre Acre Acre Acre Acre Acre Acre 321,15~2 493, 233 98,090 1)47, 592 583,3)43 24, 640 1, 66,0 128,720 321,15~2 391, 969 203, 95)4 120,136 477, )479 214, 6140 1,P665, 050 6)40, 825 321, 152 )469, 328 21,)46o 125, 670 89, 615 1,66,050 6)40, 825 321,152 )469, 328 21, x.6o I25, 670 89, 615 1,9665050 747, 32 21)4, 515 )469, 328 21, )46o 125, 670 89, 615 1,6d.05 Livestock 101,322 5o85 43l 20, 720 Resources Investment capital Operating capital Resident labor available" Resident labor used Seasonal labor hired Dol. Dol. Hour Hour Hour 1)46, 715, 666 103, 675,)467 33, 821, 830 12, 730,)469 3,267,541 1)41, 291, 380 90, 963,592 33, 821,830 12,3)42, 063 3,101,389 98, 903, 50 31,)439, 8)42 33,821,830 8, 831, 898 256755630 98, 903, 550 31,L)39,8)4.2 33,821,830 8,831,5898 2, 67 ,630 99.191,943 32,)416, 279 33,821,830 9,0)4)4,068 2, 785, 87 7 (Continued Cows Steers Sows No. No. No. 126, 050 62)4, 591 20, 720 85, 752 85,752 85, 752 Appendix Table 4i , - Model 1 (Continued)Cotnpie (ctser oudfln) : tmCotton prices(cnsproudo Unit0 20.0 25,0 30.0 Production Cotton Bales ------ 161,064 781,595 781,595 Peanuts Ton 321,152 321,152 321,152 321,152 Corn sold Bu. 1,486,800 Corn produced for feed Bu. 25,641,015 21,558,295 Oats Bu. 5,885,400 12,237,2h0 28,159,68680 28,159,680 Hay fed Ton 468,911 381,703 108,096 108,096 Market hogs sold No. 321,160 321,160 Fat calves sold No. 62,92h 75,992 6h,314 64, 36 Net return to operator labor, management, and land IDol. 54, 9079,324 S5,075,67)1 69, 387, 854 88, 927, 71810,182 Return to land,-& IDol. 8,757,262 8,757,262 8,757,26 ,77262 8, 757, 262 Net return to operator labor and management Dol. 46,150, 062 .16, 318,h412 60,630,592 80,170,h45610,2L58 flIncludes 5,600 part-time operators, and 10,070 full-time operators, and 880 full-tim: iedmn **%Open land valued at $105 per acre. Return to land is 5% per year or $5.25 per acrepeyar H Appendix Table 5. - Model 1: Aggregates for Specified Items, Wi regrass Area, Alabama (Advanced Technology - 1975 Farm Size Distribution - Varying Prices for Cotton - Peanut Prices at 30 Per Cent Below Base) Item Unit /Cotton prices (cents per pound of lint) ItemUnt1500 200 25#0 30.0 3.0 Acreage Cotton Peanuts Corn Oats Coastal bermudagrass hay Corn silage Pasture Idle open land Total open land Acre Acre Acre Acre Acre Acre Acre Acre Acre 321, 152 493, 233 98,090 147, 592 583,343 24,640 128, 720 321,152 391, 969 203,5954 120,136 477,479 24,640 1,665,050 728, 952 169,180 4 )6, 895 469, 328 21, 460 16, 950 169,175 46,110 1.9666, 030 907,685 39, 602 10,735 469,328 21,1460 3,955 135, 840 79,445 1,665,050 907,685 39, 602 10,735 469,328 21, 460 3, 955 135, 840 79,445 1,7, 0 0 Livestock 101, 322 508,4.31 20, 7 20 Resources Investment capital Operating capital Resident labor available* Resident labor used Seasonal labor hired Dol. Dol. Hour Hour Hour 146, 715, 666 103,675,467 33, 8 21, 830 12, 730, 469 3, 267,11 141, 291, 380 90,5963,592 33,821,830 12,342,063 3,101,389 1041,678,873 41, 811, 969 33, 821, 830 9,595,368 2, 925, 222 100, 218,)43 7 36,173,183 33, 821, 830 9,1469, 760 2, 930, 976 100, 218,X37 36,173,183 33,821,830 9,4.69, 760 2,930,976 (Continued N3 Cows Steers Sows No. No. No . 126,050 624,591 20, 720 85, 752 72, 885 85,752 16,950 85,752 16,950 Appendix Table 5, - Model 1 (Continued) Cotton prices (cents per pound of Item Unit 15.0 20.0 25.0 30.0 Production Cotton Bale 161064. 882 Peanuts Ton 321,152 321,152 169,180 39,602 Corn sold Bu. 1,486,800 Corn produced for feed Buo 25,641,015 21,558,295 2,579,225 590,425 Oats Bu, 5,885, 400 12,237,240 28,159,680 28,159,680 Hay fed Ton 468, 911 381,703 162,901 120,526 Market hogs sold No, 321,160 321,160 Pat calves sold No. 9h,538 75,992 64,314 64,314 Net return to operator labor, management, and land Dol. 39, 209,188 39,684,042 54,876,874 79,754,96310,827 Return to land"" Dol. 8,757,9262 8,5728757,262 8,757, 262 8, 757, 262 Return to operator labor and management Dol. 30, 451, 926 30, 926, 780 46,119,612... 70,997,701 9,2,1 *-Includes 5,600 part-time operators, 10,070 full-time operators, and 880 full-time Irdmn -Open land valued at $105 per acre. Return to land is 5% per year or $5.25 per acre e er Appendix Table 6. - Model 1: Aggregates for Specified Items, Wiregrass Area, Alabama (Advanced Technology - 1975 Farm Size Distribution - varying Prices for Cotton - Peanut Prices at 30 Per Cent Above Base) Cotton Prices (cents per pound of lint) Iten Unit 15.0 20.0 2 .0 30.0 3. Acreage Cotton Peanuts Corn Oats Coastal bermudagra ss hay Corn silage Pasture Idle open land Total open land Acre Acre Acre Acre Acre Acre Acre Acre Acre 321,152 x-93, 233 98, 090 1)475592 583,3)43 2)4,6)40 1,665,050 128, 720 321, 152 391, 969 203,95)4 120,136 x.77, x.79 2)4,6)40 1,66,05 6)40, 825 321,152 x.69, 328 21,)460 125,670 89,615 1,6d.05 640, 825 321, 152 )469, 328 21,160 125,670 89,615 1.9665,050 6)4,825 321 152 )469, 328 21,)46o 125,670 89 , 615 1366.05 Livestock 101, 32 2 508,x)431 20,720 Resources Investment capital Operating capital Resident labor available' Resident labor used Seasonal labor hired Dol. Dol. Hour Hour Hour 146, 715, 666 103, 675, )467 33, 821, 830 12, 730, x.69 3,267,9hi' 1)41,291,380 90, 963, 59 2 33, 821, 830 12,3)42,1063 3,101,389 98, 903, 550 31,L)439, 8)42 33, 821, 830 8, 831, 898 2,675,630 98, 903,550 31, )439, 8)42 33, 821, 830 8,831,898 2,9675,630 98,903, 550 3', )439, 8)42 33, 8 21, 830 8,831,898 2,675,630 (Continued Cows Steers Sows No. No . No. 126,050 62)4,59]- 20, 720 85,752 85,752 85,752 Appendix Table 6. - Model 1 (Continued) Cotton prices (cents per pound of lint) item Unit 15.0 20.0 25.0 30.0 35.0 Production Cotton Bale ------- 161,064 781,595781,9 781,9 Peanuts Ton 321,1,152 321 321,2 321,12 321,12 Corn sold Bu. 1,h86,800 Corn produced for feed Bt 25,6h1,015 21,558,295 ------- ------- Oats Bu, 5,885,400 12,237,240 28,159,680 28,159,680 28,159,680 Hay fed Ton 468,911 381,703 108,096 108,096 108,096 Market hogs sold No. 321,160 321,160 Fat calves sold No. 94,38 75,992 6),31 6),31 6,31 Net return to operator labor, management, and land Dol. 69,992,416 70,467,270 83,632,395 101,020,647 118,)08,899 Return to land" Dol. 8,77,262 8,757,262 8,757,262 8,757,262 8,757,262 Net return to operator labor and management Dol. 61,225,15... 61,710,008 .74,875,133 .92,263,385 109,651,637 *Includes 5,600 part-time operators, 10,070 full-time operators, and 880 full-time hired men. 'Open land valued at $105 per acre. Return to land is 5% per year or $X5.25 per acre per year. Appendix Table 7. - Model 2: Aggregates for Specified Items, Wiregrass Area, Alabama (Advanced Technology - 1959 Farm Size Distribution - Varying Prices for Cotton Peanuts at Base Prices) Cotton prices (cents per pound of lint) Item Unit 1500 20.0 25.0 30.0 3. Acreage Cotton Peanuts Corn Oats Coastal bermudagra ss hay Corn silage Pasture Idle open land Total open land Acre Acre Acre Acre Acre Acre Acre Acre Acre 238915)4 357,071 76,x.23 1189 301 1410, 818 6,600 1, 237,367 97,592 238,15)4 280, 695 158,227 97,085' 359,01)4 6,600 1,237,367 )475, 372 238,15)4 3)48, 215 15,6)46 91,613 68,367 1,2336 )4759 372 238,1154 3)48,215 15,6)46 91, 613 68,9367 13237.,367 Live stock 72,153 410, 815 5,550 Resources Investment capital Operating capital Resident labor available' Resident labor used Seasonal labor hired Dol. Dol. Hour Hour Hour 105,5777,9758 80, 960,517 26, 6h3, 620 9, 220, 30)4 2,509,978 101, 623, 906 71, 110,x.4 26,6)43,620 8,915,51)4 2,53835h38 69,8)43,813 23, 279, )465 26,6)43,620 6,58), 464 2, 001,)497 69,8)43,813 23, 279, )465 26, 6)43,620 6,58)4,)46)4 210015)497 69,936,059 23, 93)4, 023 26,6)43, 620 6,717,185 2,066, 950 (Continued ONI Cows Steers Sows 545,570 167, 956 3)48, 215 15,6)6 91,613 68,367 1_27,6 No. No. No. 91,561 500,575 5,550 62, 517 62,517 62,517 Appendix Table 7. - Model 2 (Continued) Cotton prices (cents per pound oflit) Item Unit 15.0 20.0r 25. 003. Production Cotton Bale ------ 122,106 579,731 5799731 Peanuts Ton 238,15h 238,154 238,154 238,154 Corn sold Bu. 1,045,380 Corn produced for feed a":, 18,593,525 15,438,225 Oats Bu, 4,585,380 9,493,620 20,892,900 20,892,900 Hay fed Ton 375,868 308,480 78,797 78,797 Market hogs sold No. 86,025 86,025 Fat calves sold No. 44,242 54,340 46,888 46,888 Net return to operator labor, management, and land Dol. 41, 260, 553 41, 379, 726 51, 727, 295 66,220,580o 185,6 Return to land" Dol. 6,496,177 6,496,17.,46177 6,496,177 6,496,177 Net return to operator labor and management IDol. 34,764,376 34,883,549 45,231,118 59,7241,403 7,5,8 *Includes 1,500 part-time operators, 8,540 full-time operators, and 680 full-time hirdmn "' Open land valued at $105 per acre. Return to land is 5% per year or $5.25 per acre e er Appendix Table 8. - Model 2: Aggregates for Specified Items, Wire grass Area, Alabama (Advanced Technology - 1959 Farm Size Distribution - Varying Prices for Cotton - Peanut Prices at 30 Per Cent Below Base) Cotton prices (cents per pound of lint) Item Unit 1500 20.0 2500 30.0 3, Acreage Cotton Peanuts Corn Oats Coastal bermudagrass ha-, Corn silage Pasture Idle open land Total open land Acre Acre Acre Acre Acre Acre Acre Acre Acre 238,l5h 357,0713 118, 301 4)40,9818 6, 600 1, 237,367 97,592 238,1514 280, 695 158, 227 97,085 359,501h 6,1600 1, 237, 367 5)40, 620 112, 271 4 44,P579 348,215 15,646 16,113 132,9970 2 70, 010 1,237,9367 673, 291 26, 271 10, 205 318,215 15,6146 3,9760 101, 280 58,699 1, 237, 367 Livestock 72,1453 410, 815 5,550 Resources Investment capital Operating capital Resident labor available Resident labor used Seasonal labor hired Dol. Dol. Hour Hour Hour 105, 777, 758 80, 960,517 26,6143,620 9, 2 20, 3014 2,509,978 101,623, 906 71, 110, 1414 26, 6143, 620 8,9915,5114 2,5383,5438 75,3141,3014 32,962,520 26, 6143, 6 20 7, 2 73, 761 2,226,560 71,130, 70 3 27,2142, 727 26,6143,620 7,080, 778 2, 207,322 71,130, 703 27,2142, 727 26,6143,620 7,080,9778 2, 20 7, 32 2 (Continued co Cows Steers So ws 673, 291 26,271 10, 205 348, 215 15,6146 3, 760 101, 280 58,699 1, 237,367 No. No, No. 91,561 500,575 5,550 62,517 69, 286 62,517 16,113 62,517 16,113 Appendix Table 8. - Model 2 (Continued) Cotton prices(cents per pound of Item Unit 15.0 20.0 25.0 30.0 Pro duction Cotton Bale ---- 1-- 122,106 654,398 Peanuts Ton 238,l14 238,154 112,214 26,271 Corn sold Bu. ,OL[,380 Corn produced for feed Bu. 18,593,525 15,438,225 21451,845 561,275 Oats Bu. ,585,380 9,493,620 20,892,900 20,892,900 Hay fed Ton 375,868 308,480 130,896 90,613 Market hogs sold No. 86,025 86,02~ Fat calves sold No. 68,671 54, 340 46,888 46,888 Net return to operator labor, management, and land Dol. 29,607,283 29,9963,300 41, 006,145 59, 436, 822 7,l,4 Return to land" Dol. 6,496,177 6,496,177 6,49,76496,177 6, 496,177 Net return to operator labor and management Dol. 23,111,106 23,467,123 34,509,968 . 2,940,645 261,7 *Includes 1,500 part-time operators, 8,540 full-time operators, and 680 full-time hirdmn "+-Open land valued at $105 per acre. Return to land is 5% per year or $5.25 per acre e er Appendix Table 9.0 - Model 2: Aggregates for Specified Items, Wi regrass Area, Alabama (Advanced Technology - 1959 Farm Size Distribution - varying Prices for Cotton - Peanut Prices at 30 Per Cent Above Base) PriceCotton prices cents per pound of Item Unit 13.0 20.0 25 30,0 3, Acreage Cotton Peanuts Corn Oats Coastal bermudagrass hay Corn silage Pasture Idle open land Total open land Cows Steers Sows Acr e Acre Acre Acre Acre Acre Acre Acre Acre No No. No., 238,5)4 3573,071 76, .23. 118, 301 440,3818 6, 600 L,237(,367 91,561 500,95 75 5.,550 979592 238,15)4 280,695 158,227 97,085 359,01 ). 6,600 1237,73 Livestock 72,)453 )4109 81 5,550 Res ources ).75;372 238,15) 3)48, 215 15, 646 91,613 68,367 1 27,)x7 625517 )475, 372 2815)4 34~89 215 15,6L6 91,613 _68, 367 19 237, 3.67 62, 517 )-75, 372 238,15)4 3)48, 215 15,6)46 91, 613 68, 367 1237, 367 62517. Investment capital Operating capital Resident labor available" Resident labor used Seasonal labor hired Dol_ Dol. Hour Hour Hour 105, 777, 758 80, 960, 51 7 26,6)43,620 9,220, 304 2,509,978 101, 623, 906 71, 110,)4i)4 26, 6)43, 620 8,915,51)4 2,383,xh38 69,8)43,813 23, 279, h-65 26,6)43,620 6,958)4,46)4 2,9001,5497 69,8)43,813 23, 279,)465 26,6)43,5620 6,58)4,46)4 2,019 )9 69,8)43,813 23, 279,)465 26,6)43620 6,58)4,46)4 2, 001 ,)497 (Continued Go 0 Appendix Table 9, - Model 2 (Continued) Cotton prices(cents per pound of Item Unit 15.0 20.0 23.0 30.0 Production Cotton Bale ------- 122,106 579573l 579,7317 Peanuts Ton 238,15l4 238,l54 238,l54 238,l3l Corn sold Bu, 1,045,380 Corn produced;for feed Bu, 18,593,525 15,h38,225 Oats Bu h,9585,380 9,L493,620 20,892,900 20,892,900 Hay fed Ton 375,868 308,h80 78,797 78,797 Market hogs sold No. 86,025 86,025_ Fat calves sold No. 68,671 5L,3) 1 0 46,888 h6,888 Net return to operator labor, management, and land Dol. 52,h440,109 52, 796,126 62, 337, 223 75, 317, 694. 8,98l1 Return to land Dol . 6,h496,177 654965177 61496,17,h6177 696,177 Net return to operator labor and management Dol, L45,943,932..h6, 299,949 559841l,046 68,8219517 8,0,8 "Includes 1,500 part-time operators, 8,5h0 full-time operators, and 680 full-time hirdmn ' "0pen land valued at $105 per acre. Return to land is 5% per year or $5.25 per acrepeyar co Appendix Table 10. - Model 2: Aggregates for Specified Items, Wi regrass Area, Alabama (Advanced Technology - 1975 Farm Size Distribution - Varying Prices for Cotton - Peanuts at Base Prices).. Cotton prices (cents per pound of lint) Item Unit 15.0 20.0 25.0 30,0 3. Acreage Cotton Peanuts Corn Oats Coastal bermudagrass hay Corn silage Pastrue Idle open land Total open land Cows Steers So ws Acre Acre Acre Acre Acre Acre Acre Acre Acre No No . No . Investment capital Operating capital Resident labor available" Resident labor used Seasonal labor hired Dol. Dol. Hour Hour Hour 236, 739 353,822 32,193 119,031 ).86, 996 1, 760 1, 230, 541 124,984 503,882 1,480 113, 369, 892 81, 053, 97 2 21, 378,4X12 8,1844,5493 2,645,567 128,378 236, 739 25 2, 900 138,057 91,575 381,132 1,760 1,230,541 Li vstoc k 100, 256 387,722 1,480 Re sources 107, 95 2,479 68, 337,114. 21, 378,4x12 8,455,3237 2,479,865 4.72, 853 236, 739 346, 312 21,289 124, 666 28, 68 2 1192303541 85,068 78,512,169 24,034,071 21,378,412 6,542,074 1,990,353 472,P853 236, 739 346, 312 215289 12L, 666 28,$682 1,230,541 85,068 78,512,169 24, 034, 071 21,378,9412 6,542,9074 1,990,353 538,800 170, 792 346, 312 21, 289 124,666 28,682 1,230,541 85,068 78,522, 457 24,699,577 21,5378,412 6,660,649 2, 015,566 (Continued Appendix Table 10. - Model 2 (Continued) Cotton prices (cents per pound of lint) Item Unit 15.0 20.0 25.0 30.0 35.0 Production Cotton Bale ------- 160,634 576,530 576,530 Peanuts Ton 236,739 236,739 236,739 236,739 170,792 Corn sold Bu. 1,467,900 Corn produced for feed Bu. 17,992,310 13,909,500 Oats Bu. 1,931,580 8,283,420 20,778,720 20,778,720 20,778,720 Hay fed Ton 378,131 290,923 107,232 107,232 107,232 Market hogs sold No. 22,940 22,940 Fat calves sold No. 62,124 75,192 63,801 63,801 63,801 Net return to operator labor, management, and land Dol. 42,140,161 42,306,518 52,868,232 67,281,479 82,709,699 Return to land* - Dol. 6,460,340 6,460,3h0 6,h60,3h0 6,h60,3h0 6,460,340 Net return to operator labor and management Dol. 35,679,821 35,846,178 46,407,892 60,821,139 76,249,359 *Includes 400 part-time operators, 6,716 full-time operators, and 880 full-time hired men. ""Open land valued at $105 per acre. Return to land is 5% per year or $5.25 per acre per year. Appendix Table 11. - Model 2: Aggregates for Specified Items, Wiregrass Area, Alabama (Advanced Technology - 1975 Farm Size Distribution - Varying Prices for Cotton - Peanut Prices at 30 Per Cent Below Base) Cotton prices cents per pound of lint ItmUnt1 020025030.0 3. Acre age Cotton Peanuts Corn Oats Coastal bermudagrass hay Corn silage Pasture Idle open land Total open land Cows Steers. Sows Investment capital Operating capital Resident labor available* Resident labor used Seasonal labor hired Acre Acre Acre Acre Acre Acre Acre Acre Acre No. No. No . Dol. Dol. Hour Hour Hour 236, 739 353, 82 2 32,193 119,031 486,5996 1,760 1,230,541 124,984 503,882 1,4 80 113, 369, 892 81, 053, 972 21,378,412 8,844,4.93 2,645,567 128,378 236, 739 252, 900 138,057 91,575 381,132 1,760 1,230,541 537,4L80 145,659 19,4.30 346,312 21,289 7 ,023 142,9 10,656 1, 230,541 669, 378 34,127 4,44 8 346,312 21, 289 1,639 128, 880 24,4.68 1, 230,541 669,378 34,127 4,448 346,312 21, 289 1,639 128, 880 24,468 1,92305541 Livestock 100, 256 387, 722 1,4x80 85,068 30,199 85,068 7,023 85,068 7,023 Resources 107, 952,4179 68, 33 7,114. 21,5378,412 8,4x55, 23 7 2,479,865 80, 890, 945 28, 41,154 21,378,412 6,905,395 2,086, 936 78, 99)4,924 26,940,996 21, 378, 412 6, 950,173 2,9075,367 78,994,924 26,940,996 21,378,412 6,950,173 2,075,5367 (Continued CX) 4::- Appendix Table 11. - Model 2 (Continued) Cotton prices (cents per pound of lint) Item Unit 15.0 20.0 25.0 30.0 35.0 Production Cotton Bale ------- 160,634 650,603 782,501 782,501 Peanuts Ton 236,739 236,739 145,659 3h,127 3h,127 Corn sold Bu. 1,467,900 Corn produced for feed Bu. 17,992,310 13,909,500 1,068,650 2h,6h0 2hh,6h0 Oats Bu. 1,931,580 8,283,h20 20,778,720 20,778,720 20,778,720 Hay fed Ton 378,131 290,923 129,9h0 112,382 112,382 Market hogs sold No. 22,9h0 22,90 ------- ------- Fat calves sold No. 93,738 75,192 63,801 63,801 63,801 Net return to operator labor, management, and land Dol. 30,480,182 30,953,043 41,992,528 60,107,165 79,669,68h Return to land - %% Dol. 6,460,340 6,460,3h0 6,h60,3h0 h,h60,3h0 6,L60,3h0 Net return to operator labor and management Dol. 2h,019,8)2 24,h92,703 35,532,188 53,646,825 73,209,3 "Includes 400 part-time operators, 6,716 full-time operators, and 880 full-time hired men. --Open land valued at $105 per acre. Return to land is 5% per year or $5.25 per acre per year. cD L\T Appendix Table 12. - Model 2: Aggregates for Specified Items, Wir egrass Area, Alabama (Advanced Technology - 1975 Farm Size Distribution - Varying Prices for Cotton - Peanut Prices at 30 Per Cent Above Base) Cotton prices (cents per pound of lint) Item Unit 15.0 20.0 270 30,0 3, Cotton Peanuts Corn Oats Coastal bermudagrass hay Corn silage Pasture Idle open land Total open land Cows Steers So ws Investment capital Operating capital Resident labor available" Resident labor used Seasonal labor hired Acre Acre Acre Acre Acre Acre Acre Acre Acre No. No. No . Dol. Dol. Hour Hour Hour 236, 739 353,822 32,193 119,031 486,996 1,760 1,9230,541 124,984 503, 882 1,480 113, 369, 89 2 81, 053, 972 21,378,412 8,844,493 2, 645,567 Acreage 128,378 236, 739 25 2, 900 138,057 91,575 381, 132 1,760 1, 230,541 472, 853 236, 739 346,312 21, 289 .1243-666 28,682 472, 853 236, 739 346,312 21,289 124, 666 28,682 1,230,541 472 853 236, 739 346,312 21,289 124,666 28,682 1, 230, 541 Livestock 100, 256 387, 722 1,480 85,068 85,068 Resources 107, 95 2,4x79 68, 337,114 21, 378,4x12 8,455,237 2,9479,865 78, 512,169 24,03)4,071 21, 378,412 6,542,074 1,990,9353 78,512,169 24,034,071 21, 378,412 6,542,074 1,990,353 78,512,169 24,034,071 21, 378,412 6,542,074 1,990,353 (Continued ON 85,068 Appendix Table 12. - Model 2 (Continued) Cotton prices(cents per poundof Item Unit 15.0 20.0 25.030.03 Production Cotton Bale ------ 160,63h 576,53O Peanuts Ton 236, 739 236,739 236,739 236, 739 Corn sold Bu, 14,h67,900 Corn produced for feed Bu. 17,992,310 13,909,500 Oats Bu. l,931,80 8,283,x20 20 20,778,720 20,778,720 Hay fed Ton 378,131 290,923 107,9232107,2321 Market hogs sold No. 22,90 22, 90- Fat calves sold No. 93,738 75,192 63,801 63,801 Net return to operator labor, management, and land Dol. 53,187, 098 53,659, 958 63, 089, 169 75,378,155 7,67lh Return to land""* Dol. 6,460,340 61460,3h0 6,460,340 6,hx60;,3)0 6h030 Net return to operator labor and management Dol. 46,726, 758 .h7,199, 618 56, 628, 829.. 68, 917,8l 81 ,26,0 1,*Includes 400 part-time operators, 6,716 full-time operators, and 880 full-time hiredmn ' ,0pen land valued at $105 per acre. Return to land is 5% per year or $5 .25 per acre e er OD Appendix Table 13. - Model 1: Aggregates for Specified Items, Wi regrass Area, Alabama (Advanced Technology - 1959 Farm Size Distribution - Varying Prices for Peanuts - Cotton at Base Prices) Peanut prices (dollars per ton) Item Unit 96 125 160 19222 Cotton Peanuts Corn Oats Coastal bermudagrass hay Corn silage Pasture Idle open land Total 'open land Acre Acre Acre Acre Acre Acre Acre Acre Acre 754, 202 156, 711 444, 878 54.9998 201,623 62,464 1,674,5676 Acreage 643,34)4 322,5~68 4-71, 231 155817 9 2, 616 129,5300 1,9674,576 643,344 322, 568 4.71, 231 15.1817 .92,616 129, 300 1,674,76 643,344 322,568 4.71, 231 15,817 .92,616 129, 300 1,674,5876 643,344 322,5~68 4.71, 231 15, 817 92,616 129,300 1, 674L,576 Livestock 63,1201 Resources Investment capital Operating capital Resident labor available' Resident labor used Seasonal labor hired Dol. Dol. Hour Hour Hour 100,303,010 61, 261,5~90 39,087,9038 10, 736,5~87 3,228,013 90, 235, 213 30, 685, 235 39,087,038 8, 874, 289 2, 686,64.0 90, 235, 213 30, 685, 235 39,087,3038 8, 874, 289 2,686,640 90, 235, 213 30, 685, 235 39,087,038 8, 874, 289 2,686,5640 90, 235, 213 30, 685, 235 39, 087,038 8,874,5289 2,686,640 (Continued OD Cows Steers So ws No. No . No. 40,,220 234,062 2, 077 63,201 63,201 63,201 Appendix Table 13. - Model 1 (Continued) Peanut prices (dollars per ton) Item Unit 96 128 160 192 22 Production Cotton Bale 909,611 784,796 784,796 78, 796 784, 796 Peanuts Ton -- 322,68 322,568 322,568 322,568 Oats Bu. 26,715,120 28,273,860 28,273,860 28,273,860 28,273,860 Hay fed Ton 175,761 79,661 79,661 79,661 79,661 Market hogs sold No. 32,194 ------- ------- ------- Fat calves sold No. 30,165 47,401 47,401 47,401 67,401 Net return to operator labor, management, and land Dol. 4,748,749 59,847,247 70,150,916 80,454,132 90,757,394 Return to land '- * Dol. 8,793,099 8,793,099 8,793,099 8,793,099 8,793,099 Net return to operator labor and management Dol. 45,955,650 51,054,148 61,357,817 71,661,033 81,964,295 *Includes 6,700 part-time operators, 11,894 full-time operators, and 680 full-time hired men. /'Open land valued at $105 per acre. Return to land is 5% per year or $5.25 per acre per year. Appendix Table 14. - Model 1: Aggregates for Specified Items, Wi regrass Area, Alabama (Advanced Technology - 1975 Farm Size Distribution - Varying Prices for Peanuts - Cotton at Base Prices) Peanut prices (dollars per ton)Ui911 09 Acreage Cotton Peanuts Corn Oats Coastal bermudagrass hay Corn silage Pasture Idle open land Total open land Acre Acre Acre Acre Acre Acre Acre Acre Acre 747, 432 158, 295 434,940 56, 250 225,023 4.6,110 1,66b.,050 640, 825 321,152 469, 328 21,4.60 125, 670 8 9, 615 640,5825 321,152 469,328 21,x460 125, 670 89,615 1, 65,050 640,825 321,152 469, 328. 21,1460 125,670 89,615 1,665,050 640,825 321,152 )469, 328 21, t460 125, 670 89, 615 1366d.905 Livestock 85, 752 Resources Investment capital Operating capital Resident labor availabl&& Resident labor used Seasonal labor hired Dol. Dol. Hour Hour Hour 105,820,925 62,181, 310 33, 8 21, 830 10,555,442 3,121,186 98, 903, 577 31,439,842 33, 821, 830 8,831, 898 2,675,9518 98, 903, 577 31,,439, 842 33, 8 21, 830 8,831,898 2,675,518 98, 903, 577 31,4.39, 842 33, 821, 830 8,831,898 2,675,518 98, 903, 577 31,439, 842 33,821,830 8,831,9898 2,675,518 (Continued 0 Cows Steers Sows No. No. No . 54,578 238,562 1, 736 85,752 85,752 85,752 Appendix Table 14. - Model 1 (Continued) Peanut prices (dollars per ton) Item Unit 96 128 160 192 224 Production Cotton Bale 901,968 781,595 781,595 781,595 781,595 Peanuts Ton -- 321,52 321,152 321,152 321,152 Oats Bu. 26,118,900 28,159,680 28,159,680 28,159,680 28,9,680 Hay fed Ton 179,063 108,096 108,096 108,096 108,096 Market hogs sold No. 26,908 Fat calves sold No. 40,934 64,314 64,314 64,31 64,314 Net return to operator labor, management, and land Dol. 55,972,600 61,590,363 71,851,854 82,113,061 92,374,304 Return to land " Dol. 8,77,262 8,757,262 8,757,262 8,757,262 8,757,262 Net return to operator labor and management Dol. 47,215,338 52,833,101 63,094, 592 73,355,799 83,617,042 "Includes 5,600 part-time operators, 10,070 full-time operators, and 880 full-time hired men. -**Open land valued at $105 per acre. Return to land is 5% per year or $5.25 per acre per year. 1O Appendix Table 15. - Model 2: Aggregates for Specified Items, Wir egrass Area, Alabama (Advanced Technology - 1959 Farm Size Distribution - Varying Prices for Peanuts - Cotton at Base Prices) ItemUnit Peanut prices (dollars per ton) IeUnt96 125 160 19222 Acreage Cotton Peanuts Corn Oats Coastal bermudagrass hay Corn silage Pasture Idle open land Total open land Cows Steers So ws Acre Acre Acre Acre Acre Acre Acre Acre Acre No. No . No . 54-5, 570 123,200 324, 203 44,'756 172, 628 27,010 1,237,367 39,.783 190,051 465 475,372 238,7154 348s, 215 15, 646 91,613 68,367 1, 237,367 Livestock 62,517? Resources 475,372 238,9154 3)48, 215 15,646 91,613 68,9367 1.,237,367 62,517 Investment capital Operating capital Resident labor available" Resident labor used Seasonal labor hired Dol. Dol. Hour Hour Hour 75,893,463 47,9691,9475 26,643,620 7,905,9700 2, 350, 863 69,843,831 23, 279, 465 26,643,620 6,584,46)4 2, 001,467 69,843,831 23, 279, 4.65 26, 643, 620 6,5841,464 2, 001,9467 69,843,831 23, 279,4)65 26,643,620 6, 584, 464 2,001,467 69, 843,831 23, 279, 465 26,643,620 6,584,)46)4 2,001,3467 (Continued N) 475,372 238,154 3)48, 215 15,646 91,9613 68,9367 1,-27,367 62,517 475,372 238,154 3)48, 215 15,646 91,9613 68 ,36 7 1,237,367 62,517 Appendix Table 15. - Model 2 (Continued) Peanut prices (dollars per ton) Item Unit 96 128 160 192 224 Production Cottan Bale 659,654 579,731 579,731 579,731 579,731 Peanuts Ton ---- 238, 238,154 238,154 238,154 Oats Bu. 19,462,020 20,892,900 20,892,900 20,892,900 20,892,900 Hay fed Ton 142,670~ 78,797 78,797 78,797 78,797 Market hogs sold No. 7,208 Fat calves sold No. 29,837 46,888 46,888 46,888 46,888 Net return to operator labor, management, and land Dol. 41,947,129 46,019,985 53,631,295 61,242,298 68,853,365 Return to land -' Dol. 6,496,177 6,496,177 6,496,177 6,496,177 6,496,177 Net return to operator labor and management Dol. 35,450,952 39,523,808 47,135,118 54,746,121 62,357,188 "Includes 1,500 part-time operators, 8,540 full-time operators, and 680 full-time hired men. *"Open land valued at $105 per acre. Return to land is 5% per year or $5.25 per acre per year. Appendix Table 16. - Model 2: Ageae fo Spcfe ItmWrgasAeAaaa(Advanced Technology - 1975 Farm Size Distribution - Varying Prices for Peanuts - Cotton at Base Prices) UPeanut prices dollars per ton Acreage Cotton Peanuts Corn Oats Coastal bermudagrass hay Corn silage Pasture Idle open land Total open land Cows Steers Sows Acre Acre Acre Acre Acre Acre Acre Acre Acre No. No. No. 538,800 124, 784 314, 265 46,008 196,028 10,656 1,230,541 54,1i42 194,551 124 472,9854 236, 739 346,312 21, 289 124,666 28,681 1530 472, 854 236, 739 346, 312 21, 289 124,666 28,681 1.92305541 472, 854 236, 739 346,312 21,9289 124, 666 28,681 1, 230, 541 )472, 854 236, 739 346, 312 21, 289 124,666 28,681 1,2 30,54 Livestock 85,068 85,068 85,068 85,068 Resources Investment capital Operating capital Resident labor available~ Resident labor used Seasonal labor hired ]Dol. Dol. Hour Hour Hour 81,411, 378 48,5611,195 21,378,412 7,9724,555 2,9244,037 78,512,195 24, 034, 071 21, 378,412 6,542,074 1,990,345 78,512,195 24,034,071 21, 378, 412 6,9542,074 1,990,345 78,512,195 24,034,071 21, 378, 412 6,542, 074 1,990,9345 78,512,195 24,0o34, 071 21, 378, 412 6,542,074 1,990,9345 (Continued Appendix Table 16. - Model 2 (Continued) Peanut prices (dollars per ton Item Unit 96 12 160 192 Production Cotton Bale 652,011 576,530 576,530 576,530 Peanuts Ton 236,739 236,739 236,739 Oats Bu, 18,865,740 20,778,720 20,778,720 20,778,720 20,778,720 Hay fed Ton 145,971 1073 232 107,232 107,2323 Market hogs sold No. 1,922 Fat calves sold No. 40,606 63,801 63,801 63,801 Net return to operator labor, management, and land Dol. 43,171, 081 47, 763,102 5, 332, 232 62, 901, 226 7,7,7 Return to land~* Dol. 6, 460,34 ,40340 6, 460, 340 6, 460, 340 6,460,340 Net return to operator labor and management Dol. 36, 710, 741 41, 302, 762 48, 871, 892. . 6, 4h0,886 6,0,3 "Includes 400patim operators, 6,716 full-time operators, and 880 full-time hiredmn '8*Open land valued at $105 per acre. Return to land is 5% per year or $52 per acre e er viL