K / A I -' ~~4*~'' ~,- ~ An Economic Assessment of Fisheries Development in .... J..IF. Research and Development Series No. 20 International Center for Aquaculture Ayricultural Experiment Station December 1978 R. Dennis Rouse, Director AID/la-C/1176 CL Auburn University Auburn, Alabama i__k1 vll ' F-4 CONTENTS Page INTRODUCTION-- -- - - 3 DESCRIPTION OF STUDY ..- 3 R E S U L T S ------ ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 4 The General Situation-- 4 Repelon 5 Gigante -- 5 L o s L la n o s ------------------------------------------- ....------------------------------ .....-- 6 OTHER ASPECTS OF THE COLOMBIAN FISHERIES PROGRAM ............-7 Use of Economists - 8 CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS - 9 A P P E N D IX A --------------------------- ....--------- ...... ..- ----------------- ------------------- 1 0 A Market Monitoring Program for Gigante 10 APPENDIX B 10 Itinerary of Donald R. Street 10 PUBLISHED 12/78-1M COVER PHOTO. Sampling fish population at Repelon Experiment Station. Information contained herein is available to all without regard to race, color, or national origin. An Economic Assessment of Fisheries Development in Colombia DONALD R. STREET* INTRODUCTION THE PRINCIPAL GOAL of the Auburn University-USAID fish- eries project with INDERENA is to devise means of increas- ing protein in the diets of Colombians, especially the poorer segments of the population. An implicit secondary goal is to increase the well-being of the rural population through im- proved income. These two goals are not necessarily in con- flict, and both seem to fit well in the National Development Plan of Colombia which was to be made available around the latter part of March 1978. Colombia has several advantages over some countries with respect to the creation of a fish culture program and develop- ment of an improved program of inland fisheries in continental waters. First, Colombia has a fishery tradition in a large part of the country, largely because of the effect of the expansive Magdalena River and its tributaries. Second, Colombia has a large amount of complementary resources which are amen- able to the creation of aquaculture and other inland fisheries programs. Third, the country has a well-developed technical base in its overall economy, which aids the implementation of new technology in fisheries. Fourth, the country has several universities with capacity to continue research and supplement biological training for ultimate extension services to the po- tential users of new information on fisheries. Fifth, Colombia has well developed market and transportation infrastructures on which new programs can be built. DESCRIPTION OF STUDY The purpose of the study summarized in this report was to give a preliminary socio-economic appraisal of the Auburn- USAID project and its potential. Special emphasis was given to changes needed to elicit favorable economic impacts and to assess such impacts. Primary attention was given to the Repelon Station in the northern part of the country, the Gi- gante Station in the southern part, and the Llanos area (with emphasis on the Meta River watershed, which drains into the * The author is Associate Professor of Economics at Auburn University. He was on loan to the Department of Fisheries and Allied Aquacultures during winter quarter 1978. Orinoco Basin). The study entailed examination of research techniques presently in use, data availability for answering specific questions relevant to the programs, and additional survey information which should be obtained to more fully satisfy project needs. The latter phase of the study was co- ordinated through the INDERENA fisheries economist. Both microeconomic and macroeconomic problems are en- countered in the programs which Auburn-USAID and INDERENA are carrying out in Colombia. At the micro-level are the costs and returns problems of business firms and the problem of potential pond owners in attempting to allocate their limited resources in an optimum manner. At the macro- level are such problems as determining total income impacts for the country, improving the nation's productivity through improved diets for the populace, and public investment needs for maintaining potential development programs. The efficacy of actions at both levels depends on the proper balance of public and private inputs to programs. Without a proper market infrastructure and complementary transporta- tion available, private investments in fishculture at the farm level will not be feasible. Production of large volumes of fish will not be warranted unless the populace is made aware of the new products for consumption. Extension work is neces- sary ultimately for carrying new methods to potential fish farmers to enable them to supply a high-quality product which the populace can utilize. Consumption patterns in areas which presently buy fish in sizable quantities need to be de- termined to aid in planning for distribution in similar areas. The principle of using all natural resources wisely must be followed in planning for development of a country such as Colombia. Fish culture projects must be considered along with the development of inland waterways for fish production, and along with coastal waters, brackish waters, and other marine water fisheries as a complete package of development in which each component is properly related to all other com- ponents. In the total economic picture, fisheries must be considered as a competitor for resources with all other enterprises within an alternative cost context. Fisheries should compete for re- sources only to the extent that they put the country's factors of production to their "highest and best" use. fI4 Fisherman survey on the Meta River. RESULTS The General Situation Thrlee Ilmajor tieen I relauSWhte(d( to ti e piojec t goals ire ( 1) thet f)FOdtlICtiOll IOf fiJ sf W 1 pOIid tit .( 2 ) the mll a gi 'mel it alit 1 hltstiiltg of, food fish ft 011 inland ss atet s, aiid (3) the 11111)01talice, ecollonuei imipact, alit powtl1 of ori lietal flsh in the ecoliomY of C'olombia. The fli st step iii assessinig the s ations fishers- progr ams is to determlinie the avaiilbilit ' of data rtlevanltt to the SlbljeCt. \lI tifetttor-gallit/atiolis are iis ohs ed ill ft'e 5atious atsj'ct-s ot fishli is and there has betti little effiot tto pool informtlion. A f151111ies lbillitiapllx One' problemn is thle lack of' sulfficienit etifies of reports of soni of ' ttftie stud1it's rtelat ed toI fishe(rie s. Ill some studit's en- repor~lt are 1 idt'. Th tese tof tetn go to heat' o1l5tf 1)u1rt'aus andit lnevetr get in thet haiti', of t'e seit'ntists 55 lit ('all use thetmt. A lrgi' study! by ottsid agt' cies ' at a ti st o)f many' th ousandis of thtlhairS prtIll f~ot'd(lr hlad ol]\ Iarioundl 20 t'tpies matde. Often andi iti 'for ilittI tlal luse oid~ ' A ss-orfliv goa~l seenils to I)( plilI tit illY of sulfficienlt C-opies of studtv, rettflts ill "fill al'' fo tli andt tto exspress aill , t as ('is tor data fillltatiolis ovet'ly A tfair fii ll tletilli dailta ar collecte the jt'he t1111' 1111y is e pub-hi Stll as Ptossile tol bet of list' ill currt detcisionl makilig til fishiet , vfpolic'. R t', fi she~rjies a I es set'l tall~ a' floss il rere ill ft'e it olut tlallfagillg filit' fisli poipidlationf. ile \s lrk ill thw e ta mlanl agt'menllt an li hia rves t dtecis5ion IlS ',if I rtespec't to ftod for lianS c01151111pfiol. Both tlte Gigate~ an~d Repeloll pirojects il C tdesigneud to) shlow costs alid itullni', alit to demllonistralte pt'efe-rretd Illthodtlis of groill ig fish i il t'e Colon) 1 dam xs atetrs. ht 011r111m'lental fisheitries are tof ilntetrest as a meat'nl s to in- tI tast' ilittlet fromn tlit'ir capture areas. Survey s Culrrenltly I ti 1 cal lietl tot w,,ill aidl iti the dtltf'liiinititll of inicome re- et-cit't at thett first levecls, sp'ti's caturedl tti anit opporltutnitit's tto im~prov e t'e slystemi to fft'e benetfit iof tue poptulace. The folloss tog secttionis givt' a gelial appralisa] tof ftle prot- 'Tese setctitts arellt fios', t'tl Li rt'ct 11 n titi afiols for nteeed c hillges ill 1pol1icy tol~1 i s t' t-t t' efficttitsc of illit t thetlt progras. "~ I, ~ ( Fishing boat with port of the day's catch near Son Miguel. Repelon 'Ille (01st! uct iu progiram wxas piroceeding at tile Repl)(on Station. Several of the ponds are now in piroduction wvithi ex- periments inl progress. Other ponds were under construction at tile time, of the author's v isit. The Repelon Station xwiii aflnidi oppor tunities for significant expeirimentation and pro- duct ion in oine of the xxarmier climatic regions of the Counltry. Af ter sufticient researiclh to assure co(0nfideince in data onl pr o- duct ion, costs, i(id pirobale ireturn s, the resllts gai ned cail lie extendied to a wvide area of tile couiitrx 'vwith lairge ruaikets establishled to fill tile needs of the popuilace. Cities siuchi as C arta genla, B arrainquiill a, and inany sinaller toxxns arc in the spheri Co(f influence oIf the Repelon Station. Colombia ai eadx' has a fishei x tradlitioIn xvith abo(ut 60) per- cen t (If t ile fi sh sol d coi ii from inlainid xwaters. A( uaeil tuiral fish aire I ikclx t v 1o Ie oil].x a sin all part oif the total fish1 prodluc- tiii an I- sholud ilot 1), expected to affect the markets appi Cci- al ,v For dleterinin g economic feasillilit\ , cost of produic- i(I d (ata xlihiuld 11e coinplem ented bx inairket in iitorin g in the areas (If in flueince of' iexx ponds coiiig into p roducet ion. This monitoring could iclude pirices oif coml~petitive fish sim- ilai to tholse to 1),il arxvested fromn aqfuaciiltiiral operations as xx,(,]I as pirices of' the fish firom the m(fnu~lturil operations themiselves. The serxvices oIf the INDERENA economist should he used in this plrograml. The Repelon Station is in the basin oIf the Mlagdaleina Rivei, xxhIich has a bigl lx seasonial fluctuation of fisi qjuaintities and correspoindiing ighi fluctuations of p~rices accordiing to quan~- tities received iii the mairkets. Fish cultuire operations canl lie aIjuistcd toI take advantage (If thlese fluctuations. H arvesting can be timedr for tlue most proifitable exploitation of the mar ket aiio to level out the quantities supplied per unit oIf time dur- ill, ill(, duf l ilt 41 fII %( 11 tl( I c u i, Ii ult ii f))(l thu is also fiaxve the ffxifiilit x to]- fiilslihig tile fliodoiit at sp(ecial festixvC alid hiolidax times xx 11(1 the demnid is explected to iinciease gi eatix. Iii all projects under taken, every effort shiould he made to assess suich ecoinomic factors ais costs of different size olpera- tioiis iil terms oif const ructioin, life of tile facility, tile oplera- toi s alteirniat ixe oppor tuities f oi his labor, andl altei iat ix cost of using is oxxn caplital. This tx ,pe of data xxiii he x alu- abile, not oiily to INDERENA but also to other countries xvithl similar ci i a racteris ties to tilose in Colomrbia's production and experimnital areas. Other xwork presently in progress in this part of the loxver MIagdalena areCa fincludes data collection and analysis for ar- tis iiial fisheirie s iiludilig cert aini sociolecoiinmic chiaractei sties of tile fishiermain, equiipiment dlescrip~tions, equtipment costs, wxork patterins, andf other character istics. Price and xvalue of fish fly diiff ereiit species are also iincluded is these stud~ies. Tl lese data xxiii lie important in tile overall planllnig of total ICSOiirCO (developoment for the Co eri nent of Colombia ill future years. Giga nte The Cigante airea had( the good foirtulle to hsave aboui~t 40 local poinds either in experimental p~rojects or in production (of fish foi homne use and for sale a(t tise time of the author's xvisit. It xxas expectedl that tile contract for coinstructioii of exp('riinital facilities would he signed xxithin at fcxv dlaxys. Sex eral inlterestiing exflerirmniits xvere in flrogress includling feeding a local plant, bioire, to tilapia. Whien this plant xxas mised as the onlx isiti ient aiii fed to iiaxiillil (ilnslinption, fish yield xxas 4,00(0 kilogramns per hectare. ,~ ~I At 'I 04- ft 4. Jig g fish.Experimental plot of bore used for feedin 5, Lea semsreainngafer is hae onume bre lats It ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ -\,;l. taecnieal ii obul h xeietlpo ducio uit t i~an ad o rng it ' iit se,- rgti elarte remiin after fispetiave conume bre pqalnts. ptoxxcill tke prics ~eand)I aitme oful the ieperimenal pio- prducts un atricae and qt itlit iof copsie. intisl poteiaittotin prodcsSc i e pork quai tivti Tshe data. ofthe dtax of it elud te pcs anduanite of fih cur- ket, xx loch ii eludes on~ly oine fish stall, justifies this appiroach to the stuidy. Some f armers mnax 1begin po mid ciii ture opJera- tioiis as the experimn tal f acilitx is beingT 1 ilt. NIMarket mioni- tori ng xxill aIl~ oin t in geney phni ilg to prex cut failuires in the eficieit imoivement of fish to cilhice the protein in diets of the area's populace. If the aiea of ponds estalislhed is such t hat prooduct ion is greater thIan thei local mairket can hiandle, plans can be made to ship fish to outly ing ar eas such Its N(is a, ( II niI, 111 1 ('011)p0a11'(1e. N In ketitig outlets amid transportation means should he explored we ll ahead of time to prex cut losses to pioduceirs and potential consumners. De- tails of the piroposed market monitoring progiram ai e gix en ini the Appendix. A questioiniaire was desigined for setting tip the market monitoriing sx stein. Additional suxrveys considlered xx ere house-to-house inter- v iexvs to deteirmine the preferried sizes of fish by consumners, anld the segiregation of fishi by size in the markets to obseirve customer preferences. Piroducers hav e some leewvay in re(gti- lating the size of fish marketed by adjusting the tfime of bar- est. This ty pe of action imust h)e consideired in conjunction xx itli the pr ice of fish of diflereilt sizes and \%,itli the per unit (cist of production. It may lie difficult to create a tradition of eating fish in an amrea xx here fish hias not been a popular food. Ciganite seems to be in suich an airea. Suifficienit adv'ertising of fishi shouild he doiie before large quantities of thle newy fishi cultmie proluicts are mairketed. In amreas xwhere incomes are sufficiently high), such ats in El Salvador, fishi have mioved xwell oil the market. Quiestions remain on the iespouse oif both fishi farmer s in huld(inig facilities and( siippl -viiig the 1)1odiic t and of cons umners to the availability of the product. In addition to Tom Popnia, from inhiurn Unix cisitx ', the Ci gailt e Station is st affed byli All eu to Vi IIaneda, acting head, Ji ()](~ Trujillhi, biologist, an, adminiis trative an alys5t, a secretariyx xx ateien, aiid a cleaniing xx email. All of the ponds serviced bx, thle C igam Ite St at io n are xxith iii a 41)-inliiite (hiv se from th e Station and are ,tx teii 90t) and 1,60t0 ietem s abosve sea lev el. Los Lionos Thle bioloigi cal Nxork in thn Llanos airca uif the coun try Wxas miaki ig substanitial progress. Sexveia wxoirkers xvere par ticipat- log iii i sourveys on tlie M Ieta B asin and iii dlat a collection at the xvariouis shipping points, such as the onies at Puerto Lopez, Puei to Caitami, andl San Miguel. WVork xx as in progress vi ~ ~- ~ A~. -, 5-, Private fish pond used for experimental work in southern Colombia. INN, N- ~i >1 4 LEFT-Dried fish sales in market at Puerto Lopez in the Ilanos; RIGHT-typical catch Gaiton. for oirnamet al fish ats wseli as for food fish. Orntineintal fish decision inakit i a fford at siz /able oppoi tuni tv for ecol Iom I gain for ti e area cult ural Pondis. and ti (e s to b~e s tudcied i ore ft om the standcipinlt of cci ob iemc nat kct fi sih at ti e'xplitt io 111 d tiopt imulin deve (lopmenI t. Sot iocol'totI 011ic dtlai ifreais Wiill t1 1 ) 'lit ielatecd to thle fi shijeman, equipm enit, atd ci n et iods are being fot his tint e atndc collcted in tilet aiea. decision moakinig Fu 51 proi'e data aire being collectetd at Loving-collection tneilt pout 1 prodl points, lut tfta are lacking for it termnc diate levels of the matrket. Futhtier ,v ork is needed to trace the costs ofi market- itigT andc tranitsportation at poitits betw etn tile fit st Los ci level THE COI cthei retail leveci. In talkiiig wiit Satmplinig mtodts being osed ttm the Mieta his er ss stem ouce sucsin colonl aie ilitt'tlii' tot letetmnine the s aloe of tile fishery 5 tio tilt' cljlll- ant i moi extetl' trv, iii silliflar fashiionl to the sttodl% by Chillan oIil the \Iag- Thac'f>. ile P~ clalia ss stcn. ( bapian used an interest rate of 12 percent cci ned 'aboot tii( in his lisilutiting, wh ichi setns to be ses c -ls lows in tertins food fisllct opet- of carls v 19'78st Icitton s (a pime inteirest r ate iii thle 28 to :30 expor t produlcts perctlt I Iliwe anti actuald rates in the .30 to 45 percetit ran ge sxorld. lie \\,ias for btusiness loalns wsithi somle risk) . A cuiiretit itfliation iate in wholesaile tradele the' ran1ige iof :t0 perlcent itmas itndcicate slome 01 l-tat iiig. butt it 01rtam ental ftisi i is toitkely to reach loss' lev els soon, expressed col cet Init situtatiotn ssit li 20 pe'rc'ent iniflation rate, at 20 percent at eas of tile fish(l noin a llIl initeriest rate is actutal]\ st ael rate iii it t erest lot zero. agetnci es werite ci( Ati ilit('i'st r ate ill excess oIf the iflationl iate inist be chatrged, their- mnatllaco ci ci iiic, to proid iti aposltis e ret urn 01oil ies loatneid. Risk atl interest 1itl k il 1111 st al sio be respondll ted to 1)5 a high er raite toi cover t I I pos- fishi c s anti pon sf1 ilits of' loss(' oill tile loan. Use of a tate of dliscioun t equal the Nliuaciina I to ilt iil tile proper rate will x icid ati expected v alue of steason s of the tree tiltIt's tihie ille whs' ich -w'ouild he pro per. alre. 111et efo ic, s( Thic e editcts to Lc' anl integration of tile ecoiotic datta ft om A sets extitnsi tite foo~d fish pr otittetuent areas to tile fix e titsy ciltsuttuer sitr in the \iinisti v si's Mulich%\sits tio lbe pubtlished bs' tile NI itistty sof Agtricullturte. ecoliotnlist. Thiis A dcittiptioi ofi tilis studs is gise itl it la ,ter sect ilon Tile suonetr iihlit's us tiflict ilcIs iii thet oiriia~l costs of the fish it tilt riser baniks Blocaratnlaltlga, N atnd till pi ices tol tiit constlmier at'( ('55i'tiailis the( costs o~f sigtnifc'icne ill s maritketiing ,llit tt'itlnportatioli. Intetmneciat(' le'vetl sailliltw to total jpipulationl ii it ii t 1111 pi ci's at te aiu Iwhole llt5 s le t steps swill facilitate 55'ilicii .v''e to it) from the Meta and Monococios rivers at Puerto il w shere c tI o market fish producced it) aqua Wheii'the itIt is t nore profit ale fiol fai 11crs to c' p)1)1 banltk or- to tratnsport thin to outside hIis eqi iptmenl t as ailablii t' . -I'lIt' satine tN lpt iii will apply to the Repelon anti Ciganlte eXIc'ri- OTHER ASPECTS OF .OMBIAN FISHERIES PROGRAM IIliii tilisml officials related to fishiltit's re- ihia, tilt itdea that tile cotlntiy needed Lt'ttt' ,iv t' lll c imt ll' st's \\-as lo Ug 1 t til tre- o-aiilitw Officc'r of IN DEIIENA a o elactk ill glood soc'ioecotloIlic stuiets oil titi' iteri'stei'l l tilt collectiotn oper atiotns, tilt' Iifit dletict levSels, atnd finl ilt'5des~tiaions of' tilt' ti sodic plactes i1s time Utlited States. Hei also1 TV ope'ratiotns of Colotnilia, ntinilg tihat lull it. Tile Prltgranmtlmg Office'r also e'xpre'sse'd oinlg traditii'iti of resoutrces bectwee'nt atrtisant (I cilitlui'. ihere is at sizab~le slack pcilot 1 ili si'r 1- becauisc' of tile 5111 ien dai' ibs dliifrt'ti (' Alti'rnlatisve eni pl os iellt o1p)p1riiuniit ies flifflit llt fishietmen sso ar) le aiffectedt. t' soct'ieconictitl studyx ssas being cairrie'c iltt ofi Agt i cuiitu in'idter tile direct ion of tllilI stitls ss ais illte'l to fish mlat ketilig ll( nd co- itthillin, atii C'ali. Th lese cities cnot' l~f gt m z/i' conitaitning ain itmportanlt frac tionl il' tiii' oif thiii countrs v. Tile reisiults oif this s t t v, e' lla avai' is'Ila le ablout P-1.ti illti Is afteir tile * d ~ - All, ~ - ,*-~ 4 - I Ice house and holding facilities for fish on the Meta River at San Miguel. author's v isit, may be useful for extenision to other cities onl a smnall sample basis for deteirmining differences in consumlp- tion patterns in dillferen t ar eas. Yielding income aiid plrice elasticity coefficients friom the areas wxith highly developed markets, this study should he hielpful for future pianncing in other arecas. The Director of Inland Fislherics repor ted on some of the projects of tile overall fisheries pr ogram of the country. WVork is in progr ess in tile Pacific area onl v arions shi ip fishei ics researchb. Studies ale lunderwsay in the Cartagena area relat- ing to mi cury pollution. Coiral mor tality studies are also in progr ess, in adidition to fisliciies, in tile Atlantic Ocean. CIDA, tile Economic Des elofinent agency from Can ada, is also do- illg res ear ch in) the Caibb ean area of Colombi a. Var ions shrimp experiments aire ill progress in tile Pacific area of Colombia inl sshich pond cultur e is used. Maci 01)1aelium, ml10jarra, .1111 othler fillfisil wer ce involvecd in the research. Four scientists hiorn Taiwan11 alnd six Colomb~ians svere iluvols ed in the progirami. ('IDA~'s insvolvenment in Colombia's Pacific and Caribbiean areas amiounts to S83.455 million ( Canadian ) over a 5 sear period. This insvestmnen t elntails equlipment suhl as ice planuts, electric pilai ts. presers ation eqjuipment, and a lorge fishing vessel. Colombia wxili htiild the vessel and Canada wsill don ate the en gilnes. T1 le combined girouip of L SAID, (ADA, FAO, and the Chi- lnese mission)1 involv5ecd inl tile aboveC resear ch ill maiime and in land ssaters fiwlucles 70) iNologists. No econlomists wveire melltiowlVd inl relation to these illsestigations. The ablove de- scrip~tionls swer e not mecant to 1w exhlaustive b ut wxere givenl to illustrate tha~t actions Ille bleinig takenl. Some good results are likels vto come of thlis sizabule cdimitmnent of the Government of C allada an id its coo perat inlg (01111trlies. Al so. a soun1d ill- trastructur e is in tile prlocess (If des elopniett in tile counltry. Iii a debriefing mneetinlg at tile Ministry of Agiriculture at tile eild of the svisit, the Colombian officials suggested that the blaseline mlarket monlitolrinlg studs dceveloped for Gigante lbe extemlled to olther outly ing cities for comparative pupss Data procur111emenlt could be included for tile cities of Carzon, ColopoalegI e, and Neix i in tile Department of H uila of tile tipper NMagdlalella Basil). It wxas aliso sulggested that tile salnlC kind of baseline data be pr ocuired from Cartagena aild Bar- rati l ia so flltulle market illg studlies mnight hase conlsumption and pr ice dlata accorcdiing to speci ,s an~d 01riginl of tile produlcts. Thle obljectives oIf tile market blaselinle study in the Giganlte areOld ainv outlinigo cities swerc to establlishl p1rice anid (fILIlil tity data for fishl. Suchl data swold then be used to determine seasonal patternls, to establish similar patternls for competitixve meats, and1( to) establlishl marketing plians for tile fuituire. Extensioin of the miarket monitor ing wlork sxouid recquire anothler economirist to set tip anld sup~vise tile w~ork. This ile' v r esoulrce req 1 uiremnent sihuld lbe gisven a hlighl priority by tile Government (If Colombia. The edclationlal aspect of thle IN DEREN A prolgrain hlas bleen growxxing rapidly. N inc Colombian stud~ents ale pr esen~tly stucising fisheries at Auhurn Ulli'el sits7 and twxo more are in WVashington, D.C., for lallguage training ill prcpai at iol for elterillg Aubhurn 11 I-~eSity. Other-~ studenlts ar1e plannling to elnt or Vl0\t scar and hasve sigiiclant researchl in progre(ss. Tile educationlal complemenlt of the IN DERENA IJSAID-Auhurn1 pr oject is a mneans to illerease tile hutman capital inlfrastructure (If tile clltiltrv anld add to tile future productiv e callacits. Use of Economists INi)ERENA can benefit from tile use of thecir own'l con- oinist ,ln(l f1r)1m othiers on a con~suiltilg hasis. Tile IN DEIAEN econom~list shold~ conltriblute to tile desvelolpmenlt andc appraisal of projects in general by converting price and cost data to constant or real terms, by correctly portraying opportunity costs for the other researchers, and by acting as a general ad- visor on business analysis related to fisheries. He should be able to aid in the formation and execution of sampling survey matters, some of which are listed. The INDERENA econo- mists should also act as a go-between in coordinating eco- nomic matters from the biological scientists to policy forming personnel with the Government of Colombia. Specifically, the economist will collect data related to agri- culture from the Census of Agriculture in Colombia. He will procure seasonal patterns from crops, harvest times, yields of crops per area unit, and other data relevant to agriculture as an alternative to fish culture. He will procure labor cost in- formation from the Ministry of Labor and working capital and investment funding information from the Caja Agraria and other sources. The economist may also aid in gathering diet information from Bienestar Familiar and from the USAID Health Group. He may contribute to background data pro- curement by working with the Ministry of Agriculture study related to fish consumption in five cities in Colombia as men- tioned above. He will also conduct studies on marketing and transportation costs and on prices of fish at intermediate levels of marketing. The work envisioned by INDERENA and the Ministry of Agriculture is too much for one economist to complete alone. It is advisable to employ another in the Repelon area to as- sume a part of the work load. CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS The Auburn University-USAID-INDERENA Fisheries Proj- ect has made significant progress to date and will vitally affect future opportunities of the populace through improved infor- mation. The Repelon and Gigante projects have begun to ac- complish parts of the work envisioned for them despite delays in construction and procurement of certain equipment and vehicles. Surveys in the Lower Magdalena and in the Llanos, which are bringing in much needed data on biological-pro- ductivity phases of the fisheries, also are useful in supplement- ing the socio-economic phases of the study. There has been a scarcity of serious economic studies in Colombia in the past, with economic content being given con- sideration largely as an afterthought. Thus, the present study of consumer patterns in five cities, which seems to have a val- uable content, will be welcomed by scientists interested in building on the data for future plans. The fishery bibliogra- phy in preparation at the Ministry of Agriculture should be a tremendous help to persons needing orientation on previous work. The recently-hired INDERENA economist will fill a vacancy from a previous resignation and should be able to aid in bringing economic information to potential users. The training element in the fisheries project is designed to get the most out of the economy's most valuable resource, its people. The nine persons presently in the program and the two in language training will add greatly to the human capital growth of the country. Several more plan to enter advanced degree programs later. Construction delays (for whatever reasons) are costly in view of the high inflation rates in Colombia at present. A fixed sum of money appropriated deteriorates rapidly in terms of buying power for buildings and equipment. Other development agencies, such as CIDA, the Chinese delegation from Taiwan, FAO, and similar agencies, comple- ment the Auburn-USAID work in favor of a balanced effort to develop the country's natural resources. Mutual informa- tion exchanges of these groups will make improved results available to all parties concerned. Specific recommendations for the project are given as fol- lows: 1. Another full time economist should be hired by IN- DERENA. He should have at least a masters degree with special training in econometrics. This economist would be used in upgrading demand studies and would aid in oppor- tunity cost and resource allocation problems as well as in macroeconomic matters. 2. Market monitoring should be started immediately in the Gigante area to make better plans on pricing, shipping prod- ucts, and preparing for contingencies. This plan should be car- ried out according to the details in the Appendix and by the survey questionnaire developed for use by the INDERENA economist. A simpler market monitoring plan is recommended for the Repelon area of influence only to trace price patterns for competitive fish to aquaculture production and to examine prices of the aquacultural fish. These data can be used to plan shipping patterns of aquacultural fish. 3. The pricing structure of river fish between the first buy- ers and retail levels needs to be studied to learn at what levels aquacultural fish can most economically break into the market and to determine costs of marketing and transportation be- tween important marketing points. 4. An in-city survey of ornamental fish needs to be set up to complement data which are presently being collected on the rivers at first-buyer collection points. This phase of the work would be carried out by the INDERENA economist. 5. Market monitoring similar to the program recommended for Gigante should be extended as suggested by the officials at the Ministry of Agriculture to the extent of personnel avail- able. The hiring of an additional economist would aid in attaining this goal. 6. Plans should be made for extension personnel to carry research findings directly to potential fish farmers in Colom- bia. The proper allocation of the country's resources cannot be made without adequate information to the public. APPENDIX A A Market Monitoring Program for Gigante The Gigante market is open for 2 days per week with the opportunity to sell fish. New fish from aquaculture may be competitive with fish which are presently sold in the market and with other animal protein products. Market monitoring will allow at least a rough approximation of economic effects elicited by changes in quantities of fish. Gigante is located on the headwaters of the Magdalena River and is not affected by seasonal fish harvests from the rising and falling of the river as are other areas of the system. Gigante is affected by seasonal demands for fish induced by holidays and such na- ture-oriented patterns as the coffee harvest, which elicits large inflows of migrant workers. It is proposed that the market base monitoring for Gigante be set up as follows: 1. The first phase of the study will entail the aggregation of known data on prices, consumption, and socio-economic characteristics of consumers of fish. These data may be in the form of bulletins and unpublished data of various govern- ment organizations in Colombia. 2. The second phase of the study will entail collection of base line data at the Gigante market itself. These data will include prices and quantities sold for fish, beef, pork, chicken, and any other animal protein available. The consumption data will allow seasonal patterns to be determined. These data may be supplemented by past sales records of suppliers in the markets. As new supplies of fish enter the market, the moni- toring system will be able to note changes in prices and quan- tities of fish from the river system, prices and quantities of fish from aquacultural developments, changes in the quantity of beef and pork sold (local governments control retail prices of beef and pork), and changes in the price and quantity of chicken. 3. The third phase of the study will be to prepare alterna- tive contingency plans based on the flow of data from the market monitoring. Efforts may be necessary to even out the flow of the quantity of fish to prevent market disruptions in the Gigante area. As a part of the contingency planning, if excess quantities tend to flow into the Gigante area, other markets in Neiva, Garzon, Compoalegre, and other cities may be checked for the possibility of making shipments there. This alternative would entail studying the availability of transpor- tation, ice, and holding facilities for storing fish before ship- ment. An additional alternative is to market fish in Gigante more than the 2 days in which the market is'usually open. These phases of the study could be supervised by the INDERENA economist with data collection by the personnel at the Gigante Station. This study will have the limitations of a short time allowed for seasonal analysis and a lack of secular trend data to form a sophisticated econometric model. Cross elasticities and other devices useful in market analysis will not be available, but the new information should allow an improvement in decision making for production planning. APPENDIX B Itinerary of Donald R. Street February February February February March 1 March 2 March 3 March 4 March 6 March 7 March 8 March 9 25 26 27 28 March 10 March 13 March 14 March 15 March 16 March 17 Arrival in Cartagena. Project review. Visit to Repelon and North Coast area. Interview with project economist, interviews at Ministry of Agriculture, interviews at INDERENA to discuss National Program. Interviews with INDERENA to discuss fish marketing studies, afternoon trip to Gigante. Study of the Gigante area. Study of the Gigante area. Return to Bogota. Trip to Villavicencio. Study of the Los Llanos area. Study of the Los Llanos area. Return to Bogota via Villavicencio. Interviews with agricultural and economic agencies. Interviews with agricultural and economic agencies. Work at AID offices. Work at AID offices. Review of observations. Return to United States. 10